Iran today followed through on its pledge to halt uranium enrichment work in advance of an International Atomic Energy Agency Board of Governors meeting beginning Thursday. The board meeting could involve U.S. efforts to refer Tehran to the U.N. Security Council for possible sanctions (see GSN, Nov. 19). “I think pretty much everything has come to a halt right now,” IAEA Director General Mohamed ElBaradei said. “We’re just trying to apply seals and make sure everything has been stopped,” he said, specifying that operations at the uranium conversion facility at the central Iranian city of Isfahan were suspended. The suspension should be verified by Thursday, ElBaradei said, according to Agence France-Presse (Agence France-Presse/SpaceWar.com, Nov. 22). ElBaradei also confirmed today that Iran had produced around 2 tons of uranium hexafluoride, an allegation by Western diplomats that Iran had previously denied. Two tons would not be enough material to produce a nuclear weapon, he said (Louis Charbonneau, Reuters, Nov. 22). A U.S. State Department official and a senior administration official had charged Friday that Iran was accelerating its conversion of uranium ore into uranium hexafluoride gas before today’s suspension deadline at a facility in Isfahan, Knight Ridder reported The State Department official said Iranian officials are likely to argue that their agreement with the United Kingdom, France and Germany did not prohibit that process because the agreement was set to take effect today. “Technically, it may not, but it violates the spirit profoundly,” the official said. “It’s absolutely unacceptable. It’s a tremendous show of bad faith by Iran.” The alleged conversion work “only heighten[s] our concerns that Iran continues to pursue nuclear activities and does not honor its commitments,” said State Department deputy spokesman Adam Ereli. Ereli also said the United States stood by U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell’s assertions Wednesday that Iran was developing delivery systems for nuclear warheads. “We believe we are on very, very solid ground in pointing to a clandestine effort by Iran to develop weapons of mass destruction and their delivery systems,” Ereli said. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Hamid Reza Asefi denied the allegations, saying, “There is no place for weapons of mass destruction in Iran’s defense doctrine.” U.S. officials should “reconsider their intelligence sources,” he said. U.S. experts were working to verify the information, the State Department official and the senior administration official told Knight Ridder (Jonathan Landay, Knight Ridder/Kansas City Star, Nov. 20). Powell himself yesterday defended his allegations. “The people who are raising the questions are people who have not seen the information,” Powell said (Agence France-Presse/IranMania.com, Nov. 21). Iranian officials yesterday said Powell’s imminent departure from the Bush administration meant there was no point for him to meet with Iranian officials on the sidelines of an international conference on Iraq beginning today at the Egyptian Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh, AFP reported. “Powell had four years to change the attitude of the United States towards Iran but he didn’t. Now he is not in charge anymore, and it would not be very useful to meet him,” Asefi said (Agence France-Presse/Khaleej Times, Nov. 21). U.S. President George W. Bush, in Chile for the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, warned Iran Saturday following reports that it had accelerated some uranium enrichment activities, AFP reported. “It’s very important for the Iranian government to hear that we are concerned about their desires, and we’re concerned about reports that show that prior to a certain international meeting, they’re willing to speed up processing of materials that could lead to a nuclear weapon,” Bush said. Bush and Russian President Vladimir Putin discussed the issue later at the meeting. Putin “is on the same page as far as the goal is concerned,” said a senior Bush aide. “They both agree that they need to maintain the pressure on Iran and that, clearly, both agree that a nuclear Iran is not in our interests; we need to work to prevent that from happening,” the official said. The official clarified that Russia’s opposition is to a nuclear weapons program; Russia built the Bushehr reactor for Iran (Agence France-Presse/Yahoo!News, Nov. 20). Elsewhere, Israeli officials blasted Iran and the European powers over the nuclear situation. “The Iranians have once again indulged in state lies. They have no intention of halting their nuclear program, which will continue in secret,” a senior Foreign Ministry official told AFP. “Like the Europeans and Americans, we have precise information on a network of secret installations where Iranians will continue to enrich uranium. Only known sites have been inspected,” said an aide to Prime Minister Ariel Sharon. “The Europeans don’t seem to understand the danger they face — the Iranians have given notice they intend to add to their arsenal long-range missiles that can carry nuclear warheads and will threaten London, Paris or Berlin in a few years,” the aide added (Agence France-Presse/SpaceWar.com, Nov. 21). Meanwhile, IAEA ambassadors from Malaysia, Cuba, South Africa and Algeria left Friday for talks in Tehran, Malaysian Ambassador Hussein Haniff told AFP. Haniff said he saw no reason to refer Iran to the Security Council. “Iran honored the resolution from the last board meeting. When the resolution is honored, why should we refer Iran to the Security Council,” he said. The ambassadors were expected to return to Vienna early today, according to Haniff (Agence France-Presse/SpaceWar.com, Nov. 19).
By David Ruppe Global Security Newswire
WASHINGTON — In a significant blow to the Bush administration’s nuclear weapons plans, Congress on Saturday rejected funding research and development of a large earth-penetrating nuclear weapon and other “advanced” capabilities (see GSN, Nov. 19). The money requested by the White House ð— $27.6 million for the Robust Nuclear Earth Penetrator program and $9 million for the Advanced Concepts Initiative — was excluded from the fiscal 2005 Omnibus Appropriations bill passed by both houses on Saturday. Congress also eliminated $30 million in funding to shorten the preparation time to conduct a nuclear test, if ordered by the president, and all but $7 million of $29.8 million requested for constructing a new facility to build plutonium pits, according to a statement by Senator Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.). It further barred any of that money for use in selecting a new construction site. The Senate had included the money in its version of the multiagency appropriations bill, but the House of Representatives did not and the House’s cuts ultimately won out. Critics said the programs were globally destabilizing and would undercut U.S. efforts to persuade other countries to end suspected nuclear weapon proliferation. “If we are to convince other countries to forgo nuclear weapons, we cannot be preparing to build an entire new generation of nuclear weapons here in the U.S,” Representative Edward Markey (D-Mass.) said in a statement released on Sunday. He called the cuts, “The biggest victory that arms-control advocates in Congress have had since 1992, when we were able to place limits on nuclear testing.” Opposition to the funding was led by a House Republican, Representative Dave Hobson (Ohio), who chairs the House Appropriations Subcommittee on Energy and Water Development. The Robust Nuclear Earth Penetrator program was to continue studies of options for a new capability for striking deeply buried and hardened facilities. The Advanced Concepts Initiatives included planned studies to modify a cruise missile nuclear weapon to improve its safety, security and control, on using nuclear weapons to destroy chemical and biological agents in storage, and on replacing some existing warheads with longer-lasting warheads that would be less likely to require nuclear testing (see GSN, July 16). Advocates of the programs had argued that new nuclear weapons, of high and low yield, are needed to deter other countries from someday attacking the United States. “To be effective deterrents in the future, our nuclear weapons must have greatly increased accuracy, reduced yields, specialized capabilities (such as deep earth penetration) and tailored effects (such as ability to neutralize chemical-biological agents), wrote Robert Monroe, a retired Navy vice admiral and former director of the Defense Nuclear Agency, in a commentary published last week in the Washington Post. Critics have argued the United States already has low-yield capabilities inherent in its stockpile and that potential adversaries would be deterred by the current U.S. arsenal.
By David Ruppe Global Security Newswire
WASHINGTON — Parties to the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty have chosen Hungarian Ambassador Tibor Toth to lead the pact’s implementing organization (see GSN, Nov. 8). The decision was made during a meeting of treaty participants that ended Friday. Toth was a participant in the final treaty negotiations in 1996 and served as a permanent representative to the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty Organization’s Preparatory Commission from 1997 to 2001. He was chosen from a list of eight other candidates from various countries. More recently, Toth led an international effort to create measures to enforce the Biological Weapons Convention, an effort that was blocked by the Bush administration (see GSN, Nov. 18, 2003). He will succeed the commission’s first executive secretary, Wolfgang Hoffmann of Germany, on Aug. 1, 2005. Toth will inherit the difficult task of persuading 11 key member states, including the United States, to ratify the treaty so that it can enter into force. The other holdout states, whose ratification is necessary for entry into force, are China, Colombia, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Iran, Israel, North Korea, Pakistan and Vietnam. The Democratic Republic of Congo, which was once a key holdout, ratified on Sept. 28 (see GSN, Sept. 17). Under Hoffmann’s direction, the number of treaty signatories has steadily climbed to 173, with 119 ratifying. Hoffmann, in a phone interview with Global Security Newswire, today praised the Hungarian for his diplomacy skills. “In the negotiations [over a Biological Weapons Convention protocol] he had shown a considerable amount of diplomatic skill that will serve him well in this new position here,” he said. Although the biological treaty protocol has yet to find success, “it only shows that even a good diplomat from time to time fails, you cannot avoid this,” Hoffman said. On the direction of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty Organization, Hoffmann said, “I have [just] had an hourlong conversation with him … and we really see eye-to-eye and [it] is his and my interest that we have a smooth transition here,” he said. Other analysts also praised the Toth’s selection. “I think Tibor Toth is serious, he’s experienced, he’s well known. I think he should pick up where Hoffmann left off,” said Daryl Kimball, executive director of the Arms Control Association. Tough Challenges AheadWhile the United States contributes the most money annually to the test ban organization, helping to expand a growing global network of sensor stations for detecting illicit nuclear weapons tests, the Bush administration repeatedly has indicated its opposition to the treaty and has refused to rule out future U.S. testing. The United States was the only country to vote against a U.N. resolution on Nov. 1 that called on all states to become parties to the treaty and on all nuclear states to maintain their testing moratoria (see GSN, Nov. 5). Four countries abstained. The United States has abided by a self-imposed testing moratorium since 1992. In addition to choosing Toth, a commission of member states last week also extended the appointments of a U.S. diplomat in his role as director of administration of the Provisional Technical Secretariat, and a diplomat from China as director of legal and external relations, according to an organization press release. States signatories agreed to a dual-currency 2005 budget for the organization of $51 million and 43 million euros, in sum effectively the same amount as last year. It will be the organization’s first use of a split currency system, which is intended to buffer the organization against losses from currency fluctuations.
The United States has conducted the 100th shipment of low-enriched uranium, created from surplus weapon-grade material, to a facility in Tennessee for conversion into civilian nuclear power plant fuel, the U.S. National Nuclear Security Administration announced last week (see GSN, Oct. 6). The shipment, from the Savannah River Site in South Carolina to Nuclear Fuel Services in Tennessee occurred four months ahead of schedule. It is part of an NNSA effort to eliminate stockpiles of surplus highly enriched uranium that could be used in nuclear weapons. Under the effort, the highly enriched uranium is blended down at the Savannah River Site to a lower enrichment level for use in power generation by the Tennessee Valley Authority. “The HEU Blend Down project not only supports our nonproliferation objectives of eliminating nuclear materials declared surplus to U.S. national security requirements, but it also reduces future year security costs. Once this material is downblended it no longer requires the same level of security that HEU does,” NNSA Deputy Administrator Paul Longsworth said in a press release (U.S. National Nuclear Security Administration release, Nov. 18).
U.S. President George W. Bush, in Chile for a meeting of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, said Saturday the United States and other nations in the six-party talks are united in insisting that North Korea resume negotiations on its nuclear program, Reuters reported (see GSN, Nov. 19). “Five APEC members are working to convince North Korea to abandon its pursuit of nuclear weapons,” Bush said, referring to the United States, Russia, Japan, China and South Korea. “I can report to you today, having visited with the other nations involved in that collaborative effort, that the will is strong, that the effort is united, and the message is clear to [North Korean leader] Mr. Kim Jong Il: Get rid of your nuclear weapons programs,” Bush said. There are three separate proposals being offered by North Korea, South Korea and the United States for a new round of talks, according to U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell. “Let’s discuss these proposals at the table and not by public exchange of our views,” he said. Powell’s comments might have been an indication that Pyongyang could receive more energy aid sooner than in the U.S. offer if it resumed negotiations, according to Reuters (Holland/Morgan, Reuters, Nov. 20). South Korean Foreign Minister Ban Ki-moon said yesterday that Bush’s meetings with counterparts from South Korea, China, Japan and Russia provided an opportunity to renew efforts at resuming the stalled talks. “This kind of diplomatic effort will help to create a very favorable atmosphere and we sincerely hope North Korea will not lose this opportunity,” he told Reuters. “It’s our firm determination to keep this momentum alive,” he added (Paul Eckert, Reuters, Nov. 21).
Terrorist mastermind Osama bin Laden is seeking to acquire a Russian nuclear weapon to use in an attack on the United States, former CIA analyst Michael Scheuer said Friday (see GSN, Nov. 15). CIA assessments indicate that bin Laden has put together “a very professional acquisition system” consisting of scientists and engineers to aid his efforts to obtain weapons of mass destruction, Scheuer said. Al-Qaeda would be “most likely” to obtain a nuclear weapon from Russian sources, such as organized crime, because of corruption in that country and the large size of the Russian nuclear weapons complex. Bin Laden “clearly has a presence in the former Soviet Union and he has shown a strong willingness to work with non-Islamic people if it furthers his game,” Scheuer said. Were bin Laden to obtain a nuclear weapon, there is little doubt he would use it against the United States, Scheuer said. “He has clearly said that he would use it. He doesn’t intend it as a deterrent. It is going to be a first-strike weapon,” Scheuer said (Hearst Newspapers/Omaha World-Herald, Nov. 20).
The Pantex nuclear plant in Texas has completed upgrades for all U.S. W-87 warheads, which are carried on the MX strategic missile, the Amarillo Globe-News reported Saturday (see GSN, Aug. 23). The W-87 Life Extension Program was authorized by Congress in 1994 to enhance the warhead’s structure and extend its shelf life by 30 years, according to the Globe-News. Pantex delivered the first rebuilt W87 warhead to the U.S. Defense Department in 1999. “This was a priority at Pantex. The entire project team and their ability to work together at Pantex and other sites made it possible to complete this project,” Jeff Yarbrough, manufacturing division manager for contractor BWXT Pantex, said in a statement. “The completion of this LEP is a success for the entire weapons complex.” The program was not without its troubles. The U.S. General Accounting Office reported in 2000 that it was two years behind schedule and had increased in cost by $300 million, according to the Globe-News. The W-87 is the first of four planned Life Extension Programs for U.S. nuclear warheads, according to the Globe-News. Work on the W-80 warhead, designed to be carried on a cruise missile launched from an attack submarine or a bomber, is expected to begin in 2006, as is work on the B-61 bomb carried on the B-52 or B-2 bomber. The program in 2007 is set to begin improving the W-76 warhead, which is carried on the Trident 2 missile, according to congressional reports (Jim McBride, Amarillo Globe-News, Nov. 20).
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