By Joe Fiorill Global Security Newswire
WASHINGTON — Breaching its obligations under international nuclear agreements, Libya failed over two decades to declare activities including importation and conversion of uranium and small-scale separation of plutonium, the International Atomic Energy Agency said Friday in a report to its Board of Governors (see GSN, Feb. 17). Two months ago, Libya announced that it had pursued illicit WMD programs, but would dismantle them with international verification, including by the IAEA. Agency Director General Mohamed ElBaradei left Vienna today for a two-day visit to Libya, telling reporters, according to Reuters, that he plans to “take stock of where we are and agree with them on the next set of inspection activities and hopefully to move forward.” In one disclosure that could have implications beyond Libya, the IAEA report states that Tripoli acknowledged secretly exporting uranium ore concentrate in 1985 to another country for processing into uranium compounds that were then sent back to Libya. The agency said Libya failed to report reimporting the material but was not required to report the initial export since the other country was a nuclear weapon state. The declared nuclear weapon states in 1985 were China, France, the Soviet Union, the United Kingdom and the United States. China and France had not then acceded to the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty but still would have been considered nuclear weapon states as pertained to Libya’s reporting obligations, said Brookings Institution proliferation expert Michael Levi. Institute for Science and International Security President David Albright said the Soviet Union and China “had a history of not reporting things to the IAEA” and are the most likely culprits in the Libya processing deal. “I think it’s just hard to know. … It was a time when people weren’t scrutinizing these things very carefully,” Albright said today in an interview. The IAEA said that “the Libyan declaration to the agency is not clear about the exact amount exported” and that uranium hexafluoride obtained by Libya in the transaction has now been transferred to the United States under IAEA seal. Report Shows Scope of Libyan ProgramsFriday’s confidential report precedes a board meeting slated to begin March 8. The report could lead the board to refer the Libyan case to the U.N. Security Council but, because it contains praise for Libya’s recent openness, is not likely to lead to U.N. sanctions, said a Western diplomat cited Friday by Reuters. Albright said the report shows that “it’s very important that Libya gave this up.” “I don’t know how long it would have taken them to finish, or make a bomb. It might have been many years,” Albright said. Levi said the report demonstrates the shortcomings of the existing international nonproliferation regime. “It shows a real failure of the system of controls over the last 20 years [but also] shows a real pattern of active cooperation on the part of Libya, which is really the model of how a state that wants to disarm should be disarming,” Levi said. The report provides a comprehensive account of information Libya has now provided to the IAEA. It also indicates shortcomings in Libya’s new cooperation, including a lack of clarity about certain subjects, failure to provide some information about foreign sources of nuclear material, and various instances in which Libya has “undertaken to submit” documentation but has not yet done so. “The pattern over and over,” said Levi, “is that the IAEA finds a problem, and Libya not only acts to redress that problem, but suggests further remedies, and that’s the behavior pattern of a state that wants to be engaged in this process.” Shortcomings in Libya’s cooperation are most likely the result of time constraints, Levi added. “We’re already far deeper into detail on the Libyan program than we ever have been on the Iranian program, for example. It is getting to a point where basic bookkeeping and accounting problems are maybe a legitimate reason for the slowness,” Levi said. The report includes frequent indirect references to the recently uncovered global nuclear underground allegedly run by Pakistani national hero Abdul Qadeer Khan with help from Sri Lankan businessman Buhary Syed Abu Tahir. The IAEA is investigating the network, which allegedly supplied nuclear weapon technology to Libya and other countries (see GSN, Feb. 20). “A network has existed,” the agency said Friday in its report, “whereby actual technological know-how originates from one source, while the delivery of equipment and some of the materials have taken place through intermediaries, who have played a coordinating role, subcontracting the manufacturing to entities in yet other countries. This supply chain appears to have made use of false end-user certificates whereby, in some cases, the original supplier may not have known the actual end use. However, in other cases, the original supplier may have been aware at least of the possibility of misuse and perhaps even the actual end use, since the identity of equipment, such as serial numbers, had been removed.” Libya announced on Dec. 19, 2003, that it intended to eliminate its WMD programs and sign the Additional Protocol to its IAEA safeguards agreement, which allows for more intrusive inspections and which Libya again vowed to sign in a letter received last week by the IAEA. The Dec. 19 announcement was followed by a meeting of IAEA and Libyan representatives the next day in Vienna, where the agency is located; a Dec. 27-29 visit by ElBaradei to Libya; and a Jan. 20-29 visit to Libya by a team of IAEA inspectors. Describing what it has learned since Libya’s announcement, the IAEA said, “Over an extended period of time, Libya was in breach of its obligation to comply with the provisions of the [IAEA] safeguards agreement. The failure by Libya to report nuclear material, facilities and activities, particularly those related to enrichment, and its acquisition of nuclear weapon design and fabrication documents are matters of the utmost concern.” The IAEA added, though, that Tripoli is now displaying “active cooperation and openness,” including granting “unrestricted access” to IAEA inspectors. Violations highlighted in the report include failure in 1985, 2000 and 2001 to declare uranium hexafluoride imports; failure in 1985 and 2002 to declare importation of other uranium compounds; failure to declare conversion of uranium ore concentrate into uranium oxides, uranium tetrafluoride and uranium metal; failure to declare production and irradiation of uranium targets and subsequent processing of the material, including the separation of a small amount of plutonium; and failure to provide design information for a pilot centrifuge facility, a uranium conversion facility and hot cells for a research reactor. Libya Says It Never Tested Equipment With Nuclear MaterialThe most comprehensive section of the report centers on Libya’s foreign-aided efforts to build facilities for enriching uranium in centrifuges. Libya told the agency it obtained a large amount of uranium enrichment equipment in a multifaceted effort over two decades but never tested its enrichment centrifuges with nuclear material. “In the early 1980s,” the IAEA said it was told by Libya, “a foreign expert assisted by Libyan technicians initiated research and development on uranium gas centrifuge enrichment at Tajura, using a centrifuge design that the expert had brought with him. ... By the time the expert left (around 1992), Libya had not yet been able to produce an operating centrifuge and had not conducted any experiments using nuclear material. However, experience had been gained in the design and operation of centrifuge equipment, vacuum technology and mass spectrometry, which proved to be useful in the next phase of the enrichment program.” Libya told the agency that in 1995, it moved to “reinvigorate its nuclear activities, including gas centrifuge uranium enrichment.” Tripoli said that in the following years, it imported 20 assembled L-1 centrifuges and components for assembly of 200 others, ultimately installing a complete single centrifuge at al-Hashan and successfully testing it in October 2000. According to the agency, Libya said it then installed more centrifuges in cascades at the same site but dismantled and moved them “for security reasons” in April 2002. The agency said some of the equipment remains in storage in Libya, while the rest has been moved out of the country — presumably to the United States. “Libya has stated that no nuclear material had been used during any tests conducted on the L-1 centrifuges,” the IAEA said. In a separate program, Libya claims to have received two L-2 centrifuges in September 2000 and to subsequently ordering 10,000 more. The centrifuges began arriving from abroad in large quantities in December 2002, and according to the agency, “Libya had received a considerable number of parts, mainly casings,” by December 2003. “Libya has also given information to the agency about the seizure in early October 2003 of a freight ship at a northern Mediterranean port, carrying centrifuge enrichment-related equipment manufactured elsewhere,” the agency said. Uranium Imports, Plutonium ProductionLibya says that between 1978 and the entry into force of its safeguards agreement in 1980, it imported 1,263 metric tons of uranium ore concentrate, material that was undeclared until recently, according to the report. In December 2003, the IAEA said, Libya “provided information about the export in 1985 of some of the UOC [uranium ore concentrate] for processing into a variety of uranium compounds” by the unnamed nuclear weapon state. Libya told the agency the processed uranium was returned to Libya in 1985. Libya has also told the agency it secretly imported two small cylinders of uranium hexafluoride in September 2000 and a large cylinder of the same material in February 2001. “Libya has not yet confirmed the origin of these UF6 imports,” the agency said, adding that it has determined the small cylinders contain natural and depleted uranium and the large cylinder contains about 1.7 metric tons of low-enriched uranium. “It’s enough to start up your centrifuge program. … It’s not enough for a bomb,” Albright said. As recently as 2002, according to Libyan claims cited in the report, Libya failed to report the import of more uranium compounds for use in chemical laboratories. Regarding uranium conversion activities, the IAEA said Libya claims to have conducted undeclared laboratory- and bench-scale conversion experiments in the 1980s; in 1984 received a pilot conversion facility ordered from abroad; and used the facility’s portable modules to build a full-fledged conversion facility. Libya said most of the facility was dismantled in 2003 and relocated. Libya said no uranium was processed in the facility, which is estimated to have an annual feed capacity of 30 metric tons of uranium. The facility could produce uranium tetrafluoride, uranium oxide and uranium metal but not uranium hexafluoride. According to Tripoli, there has been no production of the latter inside Libya. Libya also told the IAEA it failed to report making “several dozen” uranium oxide and uranium metal targets “on a gram scale” and irradiating them in a research reactor between 1984 and 1990. Libya extracted radioactive isotopes from 38 of the targets, each of which contained “about 1 gram” of uranium, the IAEA said, adding that another 48 irradiated targets were not processed and are now in storage. “Libya has indicated that plutonium (in very small quantities) was separated from at least two of the irradiated targets,” the agency said. Levi said the separation “shows that safeguards short of Additional Protocol safeguards are next to useless.” “They were playing around and didn’t tell the IAEA. … It confirms they had bad intent,” Albright said. Materials Sent to U.S. Are Subject to IAEA “Requirements and Procedures”Some of the material Libya handed over following its December announcement was transported to the United States, where IAEA seals are being opened in the presence of IAEA personnel (see GSN, Feb. 6). Libya told the IAEA during the Jan. 20-29 visit that it “had agreed to transfer to the U.S.A. sensitive design information, nuclear weapon-related documents and most of the previously undeclared enrichment equipment, subject to agency verification requirements and procedures,” the IAEA said in Friday’s report, adding that it told Libya at the time that “these items constituted a part of the agency’s evidence and were to remain under agency seal and legal custody until the agency has been able to verify the correctness and completeness of Libya’s declarations.” Libya has told the agency it provided copies of nuclear weapon design and production documents — “the only such documentation existing in Libya” — to the United Kingdom and the United States before the December 2003 IAEA visit to Libya. The agency said it initially sealed the original documents on Dec. 31, 2003, and sealed them again Jan. 20 after reviewing them and before they were sent to the United States. “The agency has been assured that these documents will remain accessible to the agency for further examination, including forensic analysis, until the agency has been able to verify the correctness and completeness of Libya’s declarations,” the IAEA said.
Iran yesterday acknowledged that it had covertly purchased components for its nuclear program on the international nuclear black market, according to Reuters (see GSN, Feb. 20). “We have bought some things from some dealers but we don’t know what the source was or what country they came from,” Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Hamid Reza Asefi said yesterday. “It happens that some of those (dealers) were from some subcontinent countries,” he said. Top Pakistani nuclear scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan has reportedly confessed to having transferred nuclear technology to Iran and other countries. On Friday, Malaysian police investigating the nuclear black market revealed by Khan reported that he had sold millions of dollars worth of uranium enrichment centrifuge components to Iran in the mid-1990s (see related GSN story, today). Iran has informed the International Atomic Energy Agency about the purchases, Asefi said. Western diplomats in Vienna said Tehran has provided the IAEA with the names of five European middleman and six Pakistani scientists who aided Iran’s nuclear program (Parinoosh Arami, Reuters, Feb. 22). Asefi’s statement came after the head of the Iranian Supreme National Security Council, Hassan Rohani, met with IAEA Director General Mohamed ElBaradei in Vienna, according to the New York Times. During the meeting, ElBaradei is believed to have summarized the results of a report the IAEA is expected to release this week on Iran’s nuclear program, which may have led to the Iranian Foreign Ministry statement, according to U.S. and European diplomats. “The Iranians are admitting to the dimensions of their program bit by bit, as they are confronted with individual pieces of evidence,” said a senior U.S. official. “The Iranians are still stonewalling,” the official said (David Sanger, New York Times, Feb. 23). A senior Western diplomat in Tehran said yesterday, though, that he did not expect any more revelations about Iran’s nuclear program. “I don’t think there will be more nasty surprises on the nuclear file,” the diplomat said (Arami, Reuters).
Malaysia has cleared Sri Lankan businessman Buhary Syed Abu Tahir of any wrongdoing after he confessed to aiding top Pakistani nuclear scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan in transferring nuclear technology to Iran and Libya, CNN.com reported yesterday (see GSN, Feb. 20). A three-month investigation found no evidence that Tahir or the company Scomi Precision Engineering, which he contracted to produce parts for Libya’s nuclear program, violated Malaysian law, national police chief Mohamed Bakri Omar said Saturday (CNN.com, Feb. 22). “We are not imposing anything on him,” Mohamed Bakri said. “There is no law to bar anybody from leaving this country.” Malaysian authorities have also cleared Scomi Precision Engineering of participating in nuclear trafficking, according to the Associated Press. They said the company did not know the purpose or the intended recipient of the centrifuge components (Rohan Sullivan, Associated Press/Yahoo!News, Feb. 22). In a report released Friday, Malaysian police said Tahir had told them he had aided Khan in selling used centrifuge units to Iran for about $3 million. Tahir also told police that Khan had arranged for uranium hexafluoride and centrifuges to be sent by air from Pakistan to Libya in 2001 and 2002 (The Star, Feb. 21). Meanwhile, Swiss police said Friday that they were investigating whether Swiss engineer Urs Tinner, who was identified by Tahir as playing a role in the international nuclear network, contributed to the production of nuclear weapons (Sullivan, Associated Press).
Chinese officials said that North Korea has offered to end its nuclear weapons program in return for diplomatic concessions and aid, the BBC reported today. It was not clear if the North’s proposal added any concessions to earlier such offers (see GSN, Feb. 20). Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Wang Yi today told Japanese Senior Vice Foreign Minister Ichiro Aisawa that North Korea has told China it would “freeze all of its nuclear activities as a step” toward abolition of the program (BBC News, Feb. 23). However, South Korean Deputy Foreign Minister Lee Soo-hyuck said, “A freeze by itself is meaningless.” Lee told reporters after meeting U.S. and Japanese officials in Seoul that the position of those three countries is that “All nuclear programs, including the highly enriched uranium program, must be dismantled.” (Ansfield/Kim, Reuters, Feb. 23). In response to North Korea’s offer, the South unveiled a proposal detailing “countermeasures” to the North’s plan, which the United States is considering, according to the Washington Times (Soo-Jeong Lee, Washington Times, Feb. 23). Lee presented a multiphase plan that includes verification through inspections. A freeze, “is only meaninguful when it is the first step towards dismantlement,” Lee added (Reuters, Feb. 23). Meanwhile the Chinese Xinhua news agency reported that Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Losyukov said today that Russia’s position on North Korea’s nuclear prpogram was “very close” to the position held by China. The Chinese position remains unclear, however, as Beijing refuses even to comment on whether ot believes the North has a uranium enrichment program, as the U.S. alleges (Agence France-Presse, Feb. 23). In a story reported by the Asahi Shimbun yesterday, a U.S. official said China seized nuclear weapons manufacturing materials last summer that North Korea had planned to import, inducation that the United States and China may be cooperating under the table for the sake of a nuclear-free Korean Peninsula (Dong-A Iibo, Feb. 22).
U.S. officials have suspended some operations at the Energy Department’s Pantex facility in Texas after the Los Alamos National Laboratory detected an anomaly in a plutonium pit removed from a nuclear depth charge, according to the Amarillo Globe-News (see GSN, Dec. 12, 2003). The Texas plant stores more than 12,000 pits, the radioactive cores of nuclear weapons, and is responsible for disassembling and repackaging U.S. nuclear weapons into safer storage containers. On Feb. 4, LANL notified Pantex it detected an anomaly in a B-57 pit, officials at the plant said. In response, Pantex officials decided to suspend all handling of B-57 and similar pits until they complete a review of their safety and storage measures. The B-57 is an antisubmarine nuclear weapon dismantled by Pantex in the 1990s. Blair Rhodes, lead manager for the B-57 pit evaluation team, gave no additional information about the anomaly. “For classification reasons, a description of the pit’s anomaly is not public information,” Rhodes said. “LANL officials had previously notified Pantex that this type of anomaly was possible and that such a condition would not pose safety concerns,” he added. John Conway, chairman of the Defense Nuclear Facilities Safety Board, said the National Nuclear Security Administration constantly reviews issues that could affect the U.S. atomic stockpile. “As these things age, you want to look at it more carefully,” Conway said. “In the past, we never had weapons maintained as long as these … because we haven’t had nuclear testing for a long time,” he added (Jim McBride, Amarillo Globe-News, Feb 22).
CIA Director George Tenet visited Pakistan earlier this month, in part to discuss nuclear nonproliferation measures, senior Pakistani officials said today (see related GSN story, today). Tenet traveled to Pakistan shortly after top nuclear scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan reportedly confessed to have transferred nuclear technology to Iran, Libya and North Korea, according to the Associated Press. During his visit, Tenet discussed with Pakistani intelligence officials the implications of the nuclear black market revealed by Khan’s confession, an intelligence official said. The Pakistani Foreign Ministry refused to confirm Tenet’s visit, AP reported. The U.S. Embassy in Islamabad refused to comment on the matter (Munir Ahmad, Associated Press/Yahoo!News, Feb. 23).
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