By Joe Fiorill Global Security Newswire
WASHINGTON — Islamist terrorists and criminal organizations operating in the former Soviet Union are forging partnerships that could be helping terrorists living in the West to acquire Russian nuclear materials, two organized-crime experts said here yesterday (see GSN, Sept. 20). Speaking at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, the two American University researchers refused to provide many sensitive details about the specific nuclear-smuggling cases they have been studying. They spoke of “complex” links between terrorism and organized crime in the former Soviet Union, however, and stressed the importance of European prisons as a place where terrorists meet organized-crime figures and hatch cooperative plans. “There needs to be much more understanding of what’s going on in prison,” said Louise Shelley, director of the university’s Transnational Crime and Corruption Center. Complex networks of diverse, cooperating groups appear to be smuggling highly enriched uranium and other materials regularly out of Russia and into Western Europe, said Shelley and colleague Robert Orttung, an associate research professor at the center. In smuggling operations that have been detected in progress, Shelley said, nuclear materials typically have been transported “thousands of miles” before detection and have been passed along via a cooperative network that makes it difficult to discern an overall organization. The materials’ movement, she said, follows established Caucasus routes for more mundane smuggling operations. “There is little understanding of the actors involved or the target destinations of these [nuclear] materials,” Shelley said. “There is a market for small amounts of these materials, and different groups are seeking these.” The destinations and quantities involved suggest the recipients are Western-based terrorists rather than “rogue states,” Shelley said. “You’re looking at a route that is going from central parts of Russia through the Caucasus and out towards a Western destination,” she said. Asked repeatedly about the specific sources and destinations in the nuclear-smuggling incidents they studied, the researchers indicated they knew but could not reveal the information. The researchers suggested ties made in prison between organized crime and terrorism practitioners could be a major factor behind the operations. “The prisons in Russia, as anywhere else in the world, are a very useful meeting place for different networks,” Orttung said. The common conception that terrorists use criminal activity to finance attacks, Shelley said, fails to convey the complexity and scope of terrorism-organized crime ties. “These links are much, much more complex,” Shelley said. For example, she said, “Often, criminals do have a political sense. … They may have shared enemies that they share with the terrorists, and therefore they’re motivated by a shared-enemy perspective.” Orttung described the researchers’ study of the vulnerabilities of nuclear facilities in the Ural region of Chelyabinsk, Russia, which he said demonstrate the plausibility of organized-crime involvement in terrorist nuclear smuggling. In 1998, employees of a nuclear facility in Chelyabinsk were foiled in a plot to steal weapon-usable material. “Extremist recruiters” are at work in the Chelyabinsk population, said Orttung, and nuclear workers are drawn from the same population. Some officials in the region are corrupt, he said, and drug dealers around the nuclear sites are connected, via Tajik groups, to terrorist-tied drug sources in Afghanistan. Meanwhile, he said, the Chelyabinsk population includes ex-convicts who have forged ties with terrorists while in prison. The researchers said the United States should take regional crime groups into consideration when working on nuclear-security and nonproliferation projects in Russia. Shelley said Washington invests heavily in security technology in such operations but has no “consistent analysis” of the “crime and terrorism challenge to nuclear materials” — failing, for example, to screen subcontractors on U.S.-funded Russian nuclear projects.
International Atomic Energy Agency Director General Mohamed ElBaradei yesterday called on the United States to pledge that it would not attack Iran, as an incentive for a negotiated solution to Tehran’s nuclear standoff with the West, Agence France-Presse reported (see GSN, Dec. 9). “I see security assurances provided by the U.S. as part of the solution,” ElBaradei said. “I hope that as the negotiations with the European Union will resume that the U.S. at some point will be more engaged,” he said (Agence France-Presse/Yahoo!News, Dec. 12). State Department spokesman Adam Ereli said yesterday that for the Bush administration to consider granting security guarantees to Iran, Tehran must first stop violating its international agreements, the Associated Press reported. “That would represent a sea change in its behavior,” Ereli said. “Then maybe other kinds of notions might be more palatable.” “But right now, I don’t think people should be asking the United States, ‘Why don’t you do this or why don’t you do that?’” he said (Barry Schweid, Associated Press/Yahoo!News, Dec. 12). Top Iranian nuclear negotiator Ali Larijani yesterday dismissed the idea of security assurances from the United States, Deutsche Presse-Agentur reported. “Iran needs no such generous guarantees and is quite capable of taking care of itself,” he said (Deutsche Presse-Agentur, Dec. 13). Meanwhile, a senior State Department official in Vienna on Monday disputed Iran’s claims that it has a right to enrich uranium, AFP reported. “The whole premise of the question is that Iran has this right to enrich. Iran does not. No non-nuclear-weapons state party to the [Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty] has the right to enrich if the purpose of that enrichment is for a weapons program,” said the official. “The red line of enrichment is just that, it is a bright red line and if Iran crosses it, I think the issue ought to go immediately to the [U.N.] Security Council,” he added (Agence France-Presse/SpaceWar.com, Dec. 12). The United States would not participate in nuclear reactor construction in Iran, as suggested this week by Iran’s Foreign Ministry, ITAR-Tass reported. “Nobody should be talking about U.S. participation in any Iranian nuclear program. That’s the biggest pipedream I’ve ever heard of. So if anybody wants to put it forward, great, but they might as well as be living in Alice in Wonderland,” he said (Alexander Pakhomov, ITAR-Tass, Dec. 13). Iran’s insistence on domestic uranium enrichment may undermine planned European Union talks this month, diplomats said Monday. “It’s hard to see the point now. If we agreed to Iran’s agenda, we’d have to abandon our whole historical approach to its dossier,” a diplomat from one of the European powers told Reuters. The European Union was also considering delaying the resumption of talks in response to inflammatory anti-Israel remarks by Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, he said (Mark Heinrich, Reuters, Dec. 12). Elsewhere, Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki is scheduled to visit Pakistan this week, AFP reported today. “We will discuss bilateral issues, we will discuss regional and international issues and [the nuclear issue] will probably figure in the meetings,” said Pakistani Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Tasnim Aslam (Agence France-Presse/Yahoo!News, Dec. 13).
South Korea is expected to push for resuming multilateral talks on North Korea’s nuclear effort as officials from the two countries meet this week on the southern resort island of Jeju, the Associated Press reported today (see GSN, Dec. 8). South Korean Unification Minister Chung Dong-young is scheduled to travel Sunday to Washington after the meeting concludes to attempt to mediate the latest U.S. dispute with Pyongyang, a ministry official told AP (Bo-Mi Lim, Associated Press, Dec. 13). North Korea today again pushed for a resolution of the dispute over U.S. financial sanctions against eight of its firms, AP reported. “The U.S. should show sincerity in resolving this issue at a time when the U.S. financial sanctions stand in the way of progress of six-way nuclear talks,” the official Minju Joson newspaper said in a commentary. “Frankly, it is our position that we cannot discuss the nuclear issue with the U.S. under sanctions,” the commentary adds (Kwang-Tae Kim, Associated Press/Pravda, Dec. 12). State Department spokesman Adam Ereli said yesterday that the United States looks forward to the disarmament talks “resuming as soon as possible” (Associated Press, Dec. 12).
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