North Korea today announced that it would not participate in six-nation talks on its nuclear weapons programs unless the United States ends sanctions against several of its firms suspected of illicit activities, including supporting WMD proliferation, the Associated Press reported yesterday (see GSN, Dec. 5). “It is impossible to resume the six-party talks under such provocative sanctions applied by the U.S.,” the official Rodong Sinmun announced in a commentary. “The U.S. should take substantial steps to lift financial sanctions on our country at an early date as agreed upon in the fifth round of talks if the U.S. wants the resumption of nuclear talks and their progress,” it said. Meanwhile, Seoul’s top envoy to the talks, Deputy Foreign Minister Song Min-soon, said he would discuss a timetable for a new round of talks with the other participants this week and could attempt to mediate between Pyongyang and Washington. He added that Seoul’s “role is to make sure that the North-U.S. row won’t affect the six-party talks” (Kwang-Tae Kim, Associated Press/CNN.com, Dec. 5).
By David Ruppe Global Security Newswire
WASHINGTON — Sixteen Democratic lawmakers yesterday criticized a draft U.S. military nuclear weapons doctrine describing nuclear pre-emption options against WMD targets as “unwise” and threatening to nuclear arms control (see GSN, Sept. 12). The doctrine “threatens the very foundation of nuclear arms control,” they wrote in a letter sent to President George W. Bush, noting that the United States has issued limited promises that non-nuclear-weapon states would not be threatened with U.S. nuclear forces. In that regard, “The draft doctrine contradicts clear statements and assurances of your administration,” the Democrats wrote. They argued further that the costs of using nuclear arms against weapons of mass destruction would almost always outweigh the benefits. “Striking a nuclear, chemical, or biological weapons cache would require perfect intelligence and is impossible to do without significant collateral damage,” they wrote. The lawmakers included Senators Dianne Feinstein (Calif.), Daniel Akaka (Hawaii), Edward Kennedy (Mass.), Jack Reed (R.I.), Byron Dorgan (N.D.), John Kerry (Mass.), Frank Lautenberg (N.J.) and Representatives Ellen Tauscher (Calif.), Neil Abercrombie (Hawaii), Rob Andrews (N.J.), Marty Meehan (Mass.), Ed Markey (Mass.), Susan Davis (Calif.), Loretta Sanchez (Calif.), Adam Smith (Wash.) and Mark Udall (Colo.). Said to Eliminate AmbiguityThe draft document, titled “Doctrine for Joint Nuclear Operations” and prepared by the Office of the Joint Chiefs, was posted on a military Web site in the spring and then withdrawn, and its pre-emption provisions were not reported until September. The doctrine states that U.S. regional combatant commanders may request presidential approval for nuclear strikes to counter an enemy believed to be “intending” to use weapons of mass destruction; against a suspected “imminent attack” using biological weapons; or against enemy WMD facilities, such as deeply buried storage or command and control facilities. The draft “removes the ambiguity of the previous [1995 version of the] doctrine, and now suggests that your administration will use nuclear weapons to respond to non-nuclear WMD threats and suggests that this use could include pre-emptive nuclear strikes thereby increasing reliance on nuclear weapons,” the Democrats wrote. “We believe this effort to broaden the range of scenarios in which nuclear weapons might be contemplated is unwise and provocative,” they wrote. If approved, “it could exacerbate the danger of nuclear proliferation by giving states of concern, such as North Korea and Iran, an excuse to maintain their nuclear weapons options and would send a green light to the world’s nuclear states that it is permissible to use these weapons offensively.” The nuclear doctrines are understood to be articulations of the policies of top civilian government leaders. Military analyst and journalist William Arkin wrote that Bush three months before the invasion of Iraq signed a memo allowing for such nuclear strikes. The Democrats urged Bush to “personally review” the draft doctrine “and consider its serious negative consequences for U.S. national and international security interests.” “It is one thing to threaten a devastating response to a biological or chemical weapons attack or the threat of a biological, chemical, or nuclear attack. It is quite another to say explicitly that the United States is prepared to counter non-nuclear weapons threats or attempt to pre-empt a suspected WMD attack by striking with nuclear weapons,” they wrote. They noted the draft doctrine itself says that “the belligerent that initiates nuclear warfare may find itself the target of world condemnation.” The document continues, though, that “no customary or conventional international law prohibits nations from employing nuclear weapons in armed conflict.” The White House at press time had not responded to a request for comment this morning on the Democrats’ letter. The draft doctrine was said to be nearly complete in March, but has since been subject to an additional lengthy review that may continue through much of next year, officials have said (see GSN, Oct. 21).
Top Iranian nuclear negotiator Ali Larijani yesterday reaffirmed Tehran’s intention to maintain its uranium enrichment program within the country, Agence France-Presse reported (see GSN, Dec. 5). Larijani added, however, that Iran still planned to meet with representatives from France, Germany and the United Kingdom to discuss ways to resolve the nuclear crisis. The three EU nations have backed a Russian compromise proposal to operate a jointly run enrichment facility on Russian soil. “We don’t see the need for such a thing. What can be done in a few years we can do right now. It is not proper and not politically reasonable,” he said. “Very certainly, enrichment will take place in Iran, but for confidence building we decided on negotiations,” Larijani said. “We prefer to have a result on enrichment through negotiations, and then start it,” he added, noting that negotiations should be finished within “several months” (Agence France-Presse I/SpaceWar.com, Dec. 5). French Foreign Minister Philippe Douste-Blazy said Iran’s insistence on enriching uranium amounted to a “unilateral” rejection of Moscow’s compromise proposal to transfer such work to Russia, the Christian Science Monitor reported today (Scott Peterson, Christian Science Monitor, Dec. 6). Larijani also said Iran’s plan to construct two more nuclear reactors should not interfere with the EU negotiations, the London Independent reported today. “We plan to construct two more nuclear power plants. We will do it through an international tender. It is part of meeting our electricity needs; it is not a secret issue,” Larijani said (Anne Penketh, The Independent, Dec. 6). Larijani responded forcefully to former Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s suggestion that Israel could attack Iran’s nuclear installations, AFP reported. “The Islamic republic is a tough target and there would be heavy consequences,” he said (Agence France-Presse II/SpaceWar.com, Dec. 5). Tehran is willing to risk a confrontation with the West over its nuclear work, according to a report released Saturday by the United States Institute of Peace. “Iran’s leaders appear to have calculated that they can withstand the diplomatic pressure they are likely to face … and that even if sanctions are imposed, Iran has the will and financial resources to ride them out,” Reuters quoted the report as saying. The outcome of the standoff will depend on the ability of Washington and its allies to remain united, the report says (Reuters I/Yahoo!News, Dec. 5). Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov yesterday rejected calls for punitive sanctions or military action against Iran, the Associated Press reported. He encouraged Tehran to cooperate with the International Atomic Energy Agency. The crisis over Iran’s nuclear work does not “have a military solution” and “can’t be settled through sanctions,” Lavrov said in a statement. “Problems can be settled through engagement ... not the isolation of ‘problem’ nations.” Lavrov said the U.N. nuclear watchdog should continue its “calm, apolitical work” in Iran (Associated Press/Jerusalem Post, Dec. 5). Russian Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov yesterday defended Moscow’s decision to sell missile systems to Iran, IRNA reported. “The agreement conforms to all international agreements and commitments legally binding on Moscow,” Ivanov said (IRNA/BBC Monitoring, Dec. 6). The United States yesterday repeated its objections to the arms deal, Reuters reported. “I think it’s important to remember and underscore that Iran is a state sponsor of terror, they have engaged in actions that we think are hostile and unhelpful, and that we view this proposed sale in that context,” said State Department deputy spokesman Adam Ereli. Another senior U.S. official, however, admitted that the Bush administration could do little to contest the sale because it does not violate any international agreement. He added that it is understandable why cash-strapped Moscow would welcome such a deal with Iran. Moscow should first have pushed Iran to accept its proposed nuclear deal, said Joseph Cirincione, nonproliferation director for the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. “Russia has just given away one of the possible negotiating chips,” Cirincione said (Reuters II/Yahoo!News, Dec. 5).
Russia has extended the service life of 80 percent of the ICBMs in its Strategic Missile Troops arsenal, Interfax-AVN reported last week (see GSN, Dec. 1). “Though guaranteed service lives of 80 percent of missile systems have expired, the technical servicing and operational system that exists in the SMT, and the advanced professional skills of personnel ensure reliability and technical readiness of missile systems at a proper level,” said a report issued by the Strategic Missile Troops. Most of Russia’s mobile missile force uses the Topol missile systems, which are designed to penetrate missile defense systems. They have a range of more than 6,000 miles, a 1-ton warhead and a 45-ton launch weight, and patrol areas of more than 77,000 square miles. “As railway-based missile systems are being removed from combat duty and destroyed, the importance of the Topol missile force's contribution to the potential of the strategic nuclear forces' retaliation strike has grown considerably,” the report states. Earlier reports indicate that the Strategic Missile Troops in early 2004 had 312 Topol systems, each containing a warhead with a 559-kiloton yield. The service life of the Topol is 10 years, although it has been extended several times. From 1993 to 1996, nine regiments with 81 launchers were moved from Belarus to Russia, according to Interfax (Interfax-AVN/BBC Monitoring Dec. 5).
In a news story Friday, Global Security Newswire misidentified the affiliation of nuclear weapons expert Hans Kristensen. He is director of the Nuclear Information Project at the Federation of American Scientists. We regret the error.
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