Russia has said it would not block moves to refer Iran’s nuclear case to the U.N. Security Council, U.S. and European officials said yesterday (see GSN, Jan. 11). Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice of Moscow’s policy shift during a Tuesday night phone conversation, the Washington Post reported today. Lavrov said Russia would abstain if a vote is taken by the International Atomic Energy Agency Board of Governors to move the issue to the Security Council, according to three senior diplomats. Bush administration officials said they would lobby China for a similar commitment. “We spent much of our time working on the Russians, but we’re now moving the focus to China,” said one administration official. China and Russia are among the five permanent members that have veto power on Security Council decisions. Despite Moscow’s decision on referral, its potential reaction to efforts by the Security Council to punish Iran remains unclear, U.S. officials told the Post. The White House is pushing for Security Council referral before President George W. Bush delivers the State of the Union address in late February, according to two senior administration officials. Vice President Dick Cheney yesterday told Fox News Radio that “the No. 1 item on the agenda” at the Security Council would be a “resolution that could be enforced by sanctions.” British Prime Minister Tony Blair said sanctions were possible. “We don’t rule out any measures at all,” Blair said. “It is important Iran recognizes how seriously the international community treats it” (Dafna Linzer, Washington Post, Jan. 12). British, French and German foreign ministers today announced plans for talks next week in London on the Iran nuclear issue involving the United States, Russia, China and the European powers, Reuters reported. The European Union is expected to abandon its 2 1/2-year diplomatic effort with Iran, according to Reuters. British Foreign Minister Jack Straw said it was “highly probable” Iran would be referred to the Security Council (Louis Charbonneau, Reuters, Jan. 12). A Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman today declined to say whether Beijing would support Security Council referral, Agence France-Presse reported. “We hope that the Iranian side can do more to help build mutual trust and promote the resumption of talks between Iran and the EU countries,” said spokesman Kong Quan. “We also hope all parties concerned can exercise restraint and seek a solution on the Iranian issue through dialogue,” he said (Agence France-Presse I/al-Jazeera, Jan. 12). The secretary general of the Gulf Cooperation Council, which represents Iran’s Persian Gulf neighbors, said today that Iran’s nuclear plans were alarming, the Associated Press reported. Abdul Rahman al-Attiyah told the Al-Watan daily that neighboring Arab nations “fear and worry” about Iran’s nuclear plans, particularly potential accidents at atomic facilities (Associated Press I/Combined Jewish Philanthropies, Jan. 12). A Western diplomat said today that Iran is not yet able to enrich uranium, Reuters reported. Iran is “probably going to have to rebuild the entire (cascade of enrichment centrifuges). There’s a lot of humidity, corrosion. It’s going to take a long time,” said the diplomat (Reuters, Jan. 12). Former Iranian President Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani said yesterday that sanctions would not prevent Iran from resuming sensitive nuclear work, AP reported. “Even if (the Westerners) destroy our scientists, their successors would continue the job,” he said. “It would not be easy for them to solve the (nuclear) case by imposing sanctions or anything like that” (Associated Press II/USA Today, Jan. 12). Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said Iran was not intimidated by international reaction to its resumption of nuclear research, AFP reported. “I am telling all the powers that the Iranian nation and government, with firmness and wisdom, will continue its path in seeking and utilizing peaceful nuclear energy,” Ahmadinejad said yesterday. “The Iranian nation is not intimidated by the fuss you have made,” he said (Agence France-Presse II/IranMania.com, Jan. 11). Former IAEA Deputy Director General Pierre Goldschmidt has called for the Security Council to authorize a three-step program to push Iran to abandon its nuclear program, United Press International reported yesterday. Goldschmidt, a visiting scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, called for a resolution that would automatically authorize three steps if a state is found in noncompliance by the agency. First, the council would increase the agency’s inspection authority, he said. “In particular, the IAEA’s inspectors and experts should have immediate and unfettered ‘access at all times to all places and data and to any person,’” Goldschmidt said. Second, the state would be requested to conclude a detailed safeguards agreement for all its nuclear facilities within 60 days. Third, the state “would be suspended ... for a period of 10 years subject to an extension of suspension by the U.N. Security Council by further periods of 10 years,” he said (Martin Sieff, United Press International, Jan. 11).
The top U.S. envoy to stalled nuclear disarmament negotiations with North Korea, traveling in Asia, said today he was pressing efforts to restart the talks, Reuters reported (see GSN, Jan. 11). “We’re going to discuss a way forward on the six-party talks,” Assistant Secretary of State Christopher Hill said on arrival in Beijing. Leaving Beijing several hours later, Hill suggested that North Korean leader Kim Jong Il might also be in China, as reported earlier this week. “I understand we have some North Korean visitors here today,” said Hill, adding that he had no plans to meet with the reclusive Kim or other officials from Pyongyang. However, ITAR-Tass reported today the visitor to China might have been a high-level person other than Kim. U.S. Ambassador to South Korea Alexander Vershbow said the United States had few details on Kim’s whereabouts. He expressed hope that the North Korean leader was conducting meetings that might lead his country back to the six-party talks (Reuters, Jan. 12). Hill met his Japanese counterpart, Kenichiro Sasae, yesterday in Tokyo and his South Korean counterpart, Song Min-soon, this morning in Seoul, Agence France-Presse reported. “I had good discussions in Tokyo last night and with the South Koreans this morning and we are all pretty much on the same page,” he said. “We are all pretty much anxious ... on implementing and to implement on the principles as they were laid out in the September agreement,” he added (Agence France-Presse, Jan. 12). Meanwhile, Asian analysts said they do not expect China to exert much pressure on North Korea, the Washington Times reported today. While China is seen to have substantial economic leverage over its impoverished neighbor, Choi Jin-wook of the Institute of National Unification in Seoul told the Times that Beijing is unlikely to threaten financial penalties if North Korea does not return to nuclear talks. “Nothing would convince [the Chinese] to use their leverage,” he said. “China said it does not tolerate North Korea’s nuclear programs, but it does not want North Korea to collapse.” “They (China) don’t want border instability,” said Moon Chung-in, a foreign policy analyst at Yonsei University in Seoul and an adviser to South Korean President Roh Moo-hyun (Andrew Salmon, Washington Times, Jan. 12).
U.S. Senator John Kerry (D-Mass.) yesterday gave guarded support to a nuclear technology sharing deal between the United States and India, Reuters reported (see GSN, Jan. 9). Kerry said he backed the agreement, “providing you are not undermining the broader goal of nonproliferation itself.” “In principle, it is better to have India as a participant in the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) procedures and standards with respect to its civilian program than not to have it,” he said yesterday in New Delhi. “And to have a majority portion of that program under those constraints reduces what is available to go into military, so there is a step forward.” “But ... we cannot only look at this agreement in its bilateral context, it also has larger implications,” he added. “What Congress will or won't do is going to depend on what the four corners of the agreement finally say when it is arrived at,” Kerry said (Reuters/New York Times, Jan. 12).
The United States yesterday announced the appointment of officials who will manage intelligence on North Korea and Iran, the New York Times reported (see GSN, Jan. 5). National Intelligence Director John Negroponte named Joseph DeTrani, who recently left the position of special envoy to North Korea nuclear talks, the mission manager for North Korea. Leslie Ireland, a Middle East specialist, is the manager for Iran. Ireland and DeTrani are charged with identifying and filling intelligence gaps on the two countries and leading intelligence-gathering efforts across federal agencies (Douglas Jehl, New York Times, Jan. 11).
The University of Texas and Lockheed Martin have decided not to protest their defeat in the competition for the contract to manage the Los Alamos National Laboratory in New Mexico, the Associated Press reported yesterday (see GSN, Dec. 22, 2005). The team led by the University of California and Bechtel Corp. received the contract last month. “Although we are very disappointed with the outcome, we have decided not to protest the decision,” said Lockheed spokeswoman Wendy Owen (Associated Press/Denton Record-Chronicle, Jan. 11).
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