By Joe Fiorill Global Security Newswire
WASHINGTON — U.S. President George W. Bush said yesterday that talks on a nuclear cooperation agreement with India would take time and patience, and he offered no specific schedule for completing the deal (see GSN, Feb. 22). The basic principles šof the agreement were announced last year: U.S. provision of nuclear materials and technology to India, in exchange for New Delhi’s separation of military from civilian nuclear facilities and the submission of the latter to U.N. inspections. Differences persist over how the nuclear-armed country, which is not a Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty member, should determine which facilities it calls civilian and which it designates as military. Bush is slated to discuss the deal with Indian officials during his visit next week and reportedly plans to submit the agreement to U.S. congressional approval in the near future. “This is not an easy decision for India, nor is it an easy decision for the United States, and implementing this agreement will take time, and it will take patience from both our countries,” Bush said yesterday in a speech organized here by the Asia Society. “I’ll continue to encourage India to produce a credible, transparent and defensible plan to separate its civilian and military nuclear programs,” the president said. “By following through on our commitments, we’ll bring India’s civil nuclear program into the international mainstream and strengthen the bonds of trust between our two great nations.” Bush said India’s energy needs are growing and called nuclear power a “clean and reliable way to help meet this need.” “Nuclear power now accounts for nearly 3 percent of India’s electricity needs, and India plans to increase the figure to 25 percent by 2050, and America wants to help. … India first needs to bring its civilian energy programs under the same international safeguards that govern nuclear power programs in other countries,” Bush said. At a Brookings Institution discussion today on Bush’s coming trip to India and Pakistan, George Washington University international affairs professor Karl Inderfurth said the press has concentrated too much on the nuclear deal in its coverage of Bush’s trip, which is also expected to focus on economic matters. “There is no urgency to finalize this [nuclear agreement], in my view, before the president lands in New Delhi next week,” said Inderfurth, formerly a top State Department official for South Asia (see related GSN story, today). Speaking at the same event, Brookings foreign-policy expert Stephen Cohen said both countries are just beginning internally to work out a consensus on the nuclear deal and that a final agreement is not likely for months. “The core issue” in the Indian debate over separation of military and civilian nuclear sites, said the former State Department policy planner, is “the question [of] how much is enough.” “How many nuclear weapons does India really need for its own security?” Cohen asked. “What is overkill? Do you destroy the horde three times, four times or five times?” “These are questions that the Indians have not yet faced,” Cohen said. He added, though, that India seems to have decided not to follow the path of the United States and Soviet Union, which “just built nuclear weapons to excess.”
A top Iranian official announced today that Tehran was prepared to accept a proposed Russian nuclear compromise if four outstanding issues can be resolved, the Associated Press reported (see GSN, Feb. 22). “We are ready to compromise,” said Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki. “We believe that we should move from here to compromise, not go back.” Mottaki said four issues, including which countries and firms would be involved in enriching uranium in Russia on Iran’s behalf, must still be resolved. “If you ask me, the main element is timing and place or places,” he said. China, meanwhile, announced that Vice Foreign Minister Li Guozheng would travel to Tehran on Friday for three days of consultations on the issue. “We will discuss how to resolve this issue ... properly through dialogue and consultation,” said Foreign Ministry spokesman Liu Jianchao (Chris Brummitt, Associated Press I/Yahoo!News, Feb. 23). Russian President Vladimir Putin said yesterday that he remains hopeful that Iran will accept Moscow’s uranium enrichment offer, AP reported. “The talks are not going easily but we are counting on reaching a positive result,” Putin said. “We are not losing optimism.” A Russian nuclear official said the European Union, Russia and the United States had reached a consensus that Tehran cannot possess a domestic uranium enrichment program. If Iran does not accept Russia’s offer, Russia would support action by the U.N. Security Council against Tehran, the official said. The official warned, however, that Iran has no fear of sanctions because officials there believe a ban on Iranian oil supplies would send global oil prices soaring (Aida Sultanova, Associated Press II, Feb. 23). Elsewhere, former German Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer and Carter administration national security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski yesterday called on the United States to negotiate with Iran, AP reported. Brzezinski criticized the Bush administration for staying out of the negotiations and advocated establishing a multilateral forum like the one being used in North Korea nuclear disarmament efforts. “We have an important opportunity to solve this if we work together,” Fischer said. “Europe is not strong enough” (Barry Schweid, Associated Press III/Yahoo!News, Feb. 23).
By David Ruppe Global Security Newswire
WASHINGTON — The Bush administration is seeking to provide increased U.S. support for the international effort to build a global nuclear test monitoring system, after a sharp drop requested last year (see GSN, Nov. 2, 2005). The State Department in its fiscal 2007 budget request this month asked Congress to provide $19.8 million for the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty Organization’s preparatory commission in Vienna, up from $14.35 million sought and received for the current fiscal 2006. The administration sought and received $19 million for fiscal 2005. Administration officials last year said the requested fiscal 2006 reduction was a temporary result of budget difficulties. The proposed amount for fiscal 2007 is still short of the assessed U.S. commitment of 22 percent of the commission’s roughly $104 million annual budget, which is about $23 million. Still, “It’s a lot better than where we were,” said David Culp, legislative representative for the Friends Committee on National Legislation in Washington. Though not preferred, underpayment of contributions by the treaty’s membership is not unusual, CTBTO spokeswoman Daniela Rozgonova said by e-mail earlier this month. “On average, the CTBTO Preparatory Commission receives 90 percent of the assessed contributions in any given year,” she wrote. “Every shortfall in contributions has an impact on program implementation. The higher the collection rate the better the organization can fulfill its mandate,” she wrote. Most of the contributions pay for ongoing construction of nuclear test detection stations around the world. “At the end of 2005, 219 [International Monitoring System] stations were installed and certified or substantially met specifications. We expect that in 2006 another 37 stations will be completed so that by year’s end approximately 246 stations will be either installed or certified,” Rozgonova wrote. The commission aims to build 337 International Monitoring System facilities, for operation if the treaty banning nuclear weapons testing comes into effect. Ratification by another 11 countries from a special list of 44 contained in a treaty annex is required for entry into force. The United States is on the list and has not ratified the treaty, reflecting opposition in the Republican-led Senate and the administration’s unwillingness to rule out resuming U.S. testing at some point. The treaty has 176 member states, 129 of which have ratified the pact, with new ratifications occurring regularly.
Former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Nonproliferation Robert Einhorn called for careful consideration of a plan to separate Indian civilian and military nuclear sites, a move necessary for the U.S.-Indian nuclear technology sharing agreement to move forward, the Washington Post reported today (see GSN, Feb. 22). “If the Bush administration wants to demonstrate clearly that civil nuclear cooperation is not contributing to an increased Indian nuclear weapons capability, then it will have to be very demanding on the separation issue,” Einhorn said. “If it cuts unwarranted compromises, it will further erode the administration's credibility on nonproliferation issues in general” and hurt the U.S. ability to address the nuclear programs of Iran and North Korea. India to date has offered three separation plans, none of which met U.S. expectations. In December, Indian negotiators suggested to U.S. chief negotiator and Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns that it wanted military control over fast-breeder reactors, which are capable of producing large amounts of weapon-grade plutonium, until 2010. The facilities are not yet online. “We've made significant progress, but the last part of any complex negotiation is the most challenging,” Burns said. “We'd like to have an agreement, but not at any cost.” Burns is in India to continue negotiations before President George W. Bush visits the country next week. He met with high-ranking congressional officials before he left, and is expected to brief them upon his return (Dafna Linzer, Washington Post, Feb. 23). An official close to Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said New Delhi would not put its fast-breeder reactors under civilian control, Agence France-Presse reported. “Who said we are going to put the fast-breeder reactors in the civilian side? We cannot and will not do so,” said Singh’s scientific adviser, C.N.R. Rao. Also yesterday, junior foreign minister Anand Sharma told the Indian parliament that reactors would be separated “voluntarily” and based on “national interests.” Unidentified government officials said in media reports that India is willing to put up to 32 reactors under civilian control. The United States has asked for 60 facilities to be designated as civilian, which would place them under international safeguards (Parul Gupta, Agence France-Presse/Yahoo!News, Feb. 23). Undersecretary Burns added that he is not sure whether a deal would be in place before Bush visits next week, the Associated Press reported. “We simply don’t know if we’ll have an agreement ready for President Bush’s visit. We’re trying our best,” Burns said following a meeting with Indian Foreign Secretary Shyam Saran. The two are expected to meet again today. “There is no question both of us want to complete these negotiations. But there are still some remaining differences between us and those differences need to be worked out,” Burns added (Matthew Rosenberg, Associated Press/Khaleej Times, Feb. 23).
Malaysia has proposed a nuclear weapon-free zone for West Asia, the Malaysian National News Agency reported Sunday (see GSN, Oct. 5, 2005). Malaysian Foreign Minister Datuk Seri Syed Hamid Albar said such a zone existed in Southeast Asia under the Association of Southeast Asian Nations Zone of Peace, Freedom and Neutrality. The 10 ASEAN nations established their zone in 1995. Syed Hamid said a West Asia zone could reduce fears over Iran’s nuclear program. He called for a diplomatic solution to standoff with Tehran. “We don't want any more conflicts in the region,” he said (Lena Liew, Bermana, Feb. 19).
Some South Korean lawmakers who have examined specimens of counterfeit U.S. currency provided by Washington said the $100 “supernotes” are printed in North Korea and circulated through a state-run trading firm, Reuters reported today (see GSN, Feb. 22). A nondescript building in Pyongyang prints the notes, as well as other “special documents” such as portraits of North Korean leader Kim Jong Il, said Kim Jae-won, a member of parliament from the opposition Grand National Party. “The information comes from a recent defector from the North who was a high-ranking official,” said the lawmaker. An expert at the Korea Exchange Bank has deemed the notes of superior counterfeit quality, according to his aide. South Korean Prime Minister Lee Hae-chan, however, maintained that North Korea was not conclusively implicated in the scheme. “It has not been clearly and unmistakably confirmed where, who and how these counterfeit notes were issued and circulated,” Lee said. “But the government is looking at various worrying situations, and that’s why we have conveyed our serious concern to the North,” he said (Jack Kim, Reuters, Feb. 23).
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