U.S. financial regulatory actions against a Macao bank accused of laundering money for North Korea have been more effective in putting pressure on Pyongyang than anyone had expected, senior Bush administration officials told the New York Times (see GSN, March 9). Banks around the world are now wary of dealing with North Korea, the Times reported today, and Pyongyang is protesting the action strenuously. It has been so effective that a North Korean delegation met with U.S. officials on Tuesday to try “to get their money unfrozen,” a senior official said. “It really struck a nerve,” said the official. Other U.S. officials said further such enforcement actions are planned and that the use of those tactics has coalesced into a strategy. They said the Justice and Treasury departments have been granted full authority to take additional legal and financial actions against Pyongyang. One senior official characterized the new strategy as: “Squeeze them, but keep the negotiations going.” Several administration officials said Washington had concluded that the multilateral North Korea disarmament negotiations were unlikely to succeed unless accompanied by pressure tactics. By late summer, the administration had decided “to move toward more confrontational measures,” a former senior Bush administration official said. One senior State Department official complained that the new policy would turn the talks into a mere “surrender mechanism.” David Asher, who was coordinator of the State Department’s working group on North Korea until last summer, said officials believed “the beauty of this approach is it is not full-bore sanctions” (Joel Brinkley, New York Times, March 10).
U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice warned yesterday that Iran’s threat to U.S. interests in the Middle East would grow considerably should Tehran acquire nuclear weapons, Reuters reported (see GSN, March 9). Rice said Iran was already Washington’s top challenge in the region. “If you can take that and multiply it by several hundred, you can imagine Iran with a nuclear weapon and the threat they would then pose to that region,” she said at a congressional hearing. “We may face no greater challenge from a single country than from Iran, whose policies are directed at developing a Middle East that would be 180 degrees different than the Middle East we would like to see developed,” she added (Reuters, March 9). The U.N. Security Council is expected to consider a nonbinding statement next week listing Iran’s failures to meet International Atomic Energy Agency demands, the New York Times reported today. A draft document provided to the Times indicates the council continues to hope for a negotiated settlement “that guarantees Iran’s nuclear program is for exclusively peaceful purposes.” The draft, composed by France and the United Kingdom, calls for a report on Iran’s compliance from agency Director General Mohamed ElBaradei “within a short time frame” after the statement is adopted, the Times reported. Diplomats are still negotiating the time frame, according to the Times (Warren Hoge, New York Times, March 10). U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations John Bolton said yesterday that the council must deliver a statement that “gets the Iranians’ attention,” the Associated Press reported. “We’re going to press for as vigorous a response in the council as we can get and hope that that gets the Iranians’ attention,” said Bolton. “If the Iranians do not back off from their continued aggressive pursuit of nuclear weapons, we’ll have to make a decision of what the next step will be” (Nick Wadhams, Associated Press/Yahoo!News, March 10). European Union foreign ministers met today to discuss the issue, AP reported. Asked whether sanctions might be imposed on Iran over its nuclear activities, EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana told the Austrian daily Der Standard that such a move was not imminent. “We are only at the beginning. I don’t exclude sanctions, but it depends on the type of sanctions. We certainly don’t want to target the Iranian people,” he said. French Foreign Minister Philippe Douste-Blazy urged Iran to return to “reason.” “The hand is extended. Negotiations are possible,” said Douste-Blazy. “Iran must understand that it has no choice. It has the right to civilian nuclear energy, it does not have the right to something else” (Associated Press, March 10).
Indian Prime Minster Manmohan Singh told the Indian parliament that the United States would not demand that New Delhi place its fast-breeder nuclear reactor under international safeguards under the terms of a nuclear technology-sharing agreement between the two countries, Electricity Daily reported today (see GSN, March 9). “We are preparing a list of 14 reactors that would be offered for safeguards, over the next eight years, between 2006 and 2014,” he said. “We do not wish to place any encumbrances on our fast breeder program, and this has been fully ensured in the separation plan.” “India has decided to place under safeguards all future civilian thermal power reactors and civilian breeder reactors, and the government of India retains the sole right to determine such reactors as civilian. This means that India will not be constrained in any way in building future nuclear facilities, whether civilian or military, as per our national requirements,” he added (Electricity Daily, March 10). Meanwhile, Chinese Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Dai Bingguo is expected to meet today with Indian National Security Adviser M.K. Narayanan, the first interaction between the two countries since the nuclear sharing agreement was finalized, the Financial Times reported. China’s reaction to the deal has been cold, according to defense experts. “China is pleased the deal will place restraints on India’s nuclear program but concerned at the showcasing of the new strategic partnership with Washington,” said Brahma Chellaney, defense analyst at the Centre for Policy Research. “Anybody sitting in Beijing or Islamabad can’t miss the larger strategic ramifications of what is happening,” he added. “The Chinese can see that March 2 was not just about nuclear cooperation. It was a major geopolitical realignment.” Shen Dingli, a professor of international relations at Fudan University, said China would not openly criticize the deal but is not pleased with the agreement. “China would view this as something that is not good,” he said. “It challenges China’s own strategic interests in adhering to the current shape of nonproliferation and not seeing an increase in the US presence in the region.” Dingli said China is now more likely to enter into nuclear sharing agreements with Pakistan. “If the U.S. can violate [the nuclear rules], then we can violate them,” he said. China has also offered nuclear sharing agreements to Bangladesh, according to the Times (Johnson/McGregor, Financial Times, March 10).
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