Indian Foreign Secretary Shyam Saran was expected to arrive in Washington today as part of an effort to sell the Indian-U.S. nuclear sharing agreement to U.S. lawmakers, the Associated Press reported (see GSN, March 27). Saran is to meet with lawmakers and State Department officials. His visit is expected to be followed by a number of Indian ministers who will meet with U.S. officials, and speak at think tanks, business gatherings and press conferences in Washington. These officials are expected to argue that the United States must approve the deal if India is to meet growing energy demands. Lawmakers are expected to ask difficult questions about the deal, as some are worried that it could undermine international nonproliferation efforts. Congress had little involvement in preparing the deal, according to Jon Wolfsthal, a nonproliferation analyst with the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Visits from Indian officials will give members of Congress the opportunity to ask questions on issues the White House has called deal-breakers, such as pressing New Delhi to agree to halt nuclear material production. Lawmakers “are going to want to find out for themselves where the limits of Indian flexibility are,” Wolfsthal said. U.S. Institute of Peace South Asia analyst Christine Fair said the Indian officials “know they have an uphill battle.” “There are a lot of skeptics in Congress who do not believe that we need to have a nuclear deal inked with the Indians for our relationship with the Indians to go forward,” Fair said. The Washington meetings indicate that the State Department does not “think they can sell this thing alone,” said Henry Sokolski, executive director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center. “They need all the help they can get.” A bill has been introduced on Capitol Hill that would allow India to receive civilian nuclear technology the United States despite not having submitted to full nuclear inspections. New Delhi has refused to sign the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty and join the international nonproliferation regime, according to AP (Foster Klug, Associated Press/Baltimore Sun, March 27). U.S. Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns said yesterday he is open to ideas from lawmakers “as long as they don't require us to go back and break the agreement, reopen negotiations,” AFX News reported. “We frankly think it is such a complex deal and we probably won't be able to put it back together again” if new demands are made by Congress, Burns said at a Council on Foreign Relations event. Representative Henry Hyde (R-Ill.) has said that lawmakers could only give conditional support to the deal. Lawmakers “may seek conditions” for the approval of the deal, he said. “This is a complex agreement with profound implications for U.S. and global interests. Congress will need to take a close look at its many provisions in order to come to an informed decision,” he added. Burns said the White House would consider ideas that would “strengthen” the agreement. “If members of Congress have ideas that would not be deal breakers or require us to renegotiate, and they think and we think those ideas can strengthen the arrangement, we are all ears,” Burns said. He added that “there is a difference between ideas or conditions that are meant to strengthen the agreement and ideas or conditions that are meant to essentially have us go back and renegotiate it. “And I said we are open to the former and not to the latter,” he said (AFX News/Forbes.com, March 28).
Envoys from the U.N. Security Council’s five permanent members yesterday held two rounds of inconclusive informal talks on the Iranian nuclear crisis, Agence France-Presse reported (see GSN, March 27). In between yesterday’s morning and afternoon sessions, the delegates from China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom and the United States met with envoys from the 10 other council members, diplomats told AFP. The five ambassadors said they planned to meet again morning. “We don’t have a deal but we continued our discussions, we will continue them and we edged forward. ... But it’s edging forward,” said British U.N. Ambassador Emyr Jones Parry. Chinese Ambassador Wang Guangya said there was minimal progress despite several new proposals from the European and Russian delegates. “We will refer back to capitals and come back tomorrow,” he said. Japanese Ambassador Kenzo Oshima said he did not expect any consensus to emerge prior to Thursday’s planned meeting in Berlin of foreign ministers from the five powers and Germany. “If they are to meet Thursday in Berlin, one would expect as the most likely ... that there will be no agreement before that,” Oshima said. “It’s not easy” (Agence France-Presse/Yahoo!News, March 28). U.S. State Department spokesman Sean McCormack said yesterday that lack of consensus at the United Nations would not stop the Berlin meeting from happening, the Associated Press reported. U.S. officials have indicated that the meeting had been intended to examine “next steps” beyond the U.N. statement on Iran. Some speculation has emerged, however, that Western powers would switch gears and push for a strong resolution, forcing China and Russia to either veto the move or abstain. “Right now we’re working on the presidential statement. That’s where the focus of our energies is,” McCormack said (Beth Gardiner, Associated Press/Pravda, March 28). International Atomic Energy Agency Director General Mohamed ElBaradei yesterday called on Tehran to fully suspend uranium enrichment work and resume negotiations with the European Union, Reuters reported. “We are not in a position today to say that (Iran’s nuclear) program is exclusively for peaceful purposes,” ElBaradei said after meeting with German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier. “We would like Iran to suspend its enrichment program,” he said. ElBaradei said he hoped adoption of a Security Council statement would push all parties to the negotiating table (Louis Charbonneau, Reuters, March 27). German Deputy Foreign Minister Gernot Erler said today that Tehran should freeze all uranium enrichment-related activity for the time being, Reuters reported. Erler said a proposal released last month by the International Crisis Group that would allow Iran to keep a limited enrichment capability after a waiting period and more intrusive inspections could be a solution to the standoff. “I was very impressed by the ICG proposals. I think we can consider these proposals but only on the basis that we have a united and common position in the Security Council,” he said. Iran’s ambassador to the agency said the EU powers had rejected an offer earlier this month whereby Tehran would have suspended industrial-scale enrichment and continued only nuclear fuel research. “Iran has been and still is ready to go for negotiations,” said Ali Asghar Soltanieh (Louis Charbonneau, Reuters, March 28). Meanwhile, analysts said that resolving the standoff would require several rounds of negotiations, U.N. diplomacy and possibly direct U.S. contact with Iran, the Christian Science Monitor reported today. “My guess is that something like ‘smart sanctions,’ that are essentially limited to making life less agreeable for the Iranian regime, would take three diplomatic cycles [at the U.N.] and are six months to a year out,” said James Dobbins, director of the International Security and Defense Policy Center at the RAND Corp. “That means anything like (economic) sanctions or legitimized military action is pretty far away.” While the Bush administration appears to be counting on a diplomatic solution, one analyst said Washington seems unwilling to take the initiative. “The U.S.-Iran relationship would have to change dramatically,” said Ray Takeyh of the Council on Foreign Relations. Iran would want “a reduction of its strategic anxieties” (Howard LaFranchi, Christian Science Monitor, March 28).
A deal for Australia to sell uranium to China could be finalized next week, Agence France-Presse reported (see GSN, March 14). Australian Prime Minister John Howard said today that talks have focused on Australia’s condition that the material be used only for energy purposes. “We have made very good progress,” he said. “It's possible that the discussions could be satisfactorily concluded so that something could be said or signed when the Chinese premier visits Australia next week.” A Chinese official said two deals were close to being signed — one that allows the export of uranium to China and another that allows China to participate in uranium mining and exploration in Australia. The agreements are expected to be signed during Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao’s visit to Australia, which is scheduled to begin Saturday, said Chinese Foreign Ministry official Liu Jieyi. The agreements address “the peaceful use of nuclear energy” and would meet International Atomic Energy Agency standards, Liu added. Howard also has not ruled out allowing uranium sales to India, which is now forbidden because it has not signed the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. The prime minister added that Canberra was “not contemplating” a change in that policy, AFP reported. He said a delegation of Australian officials would visit India and the United States in April to discuss details of a planned nuclear technology sharing agreement between New Delhi and Washington (Agence France Presse/TODAYOnline.com, March 28).
The United States yesterday left open the possibility of discussing financial issues it has previously said are off the table at multilateral nuclear disarmament talks with North Korea, the Yonhap News Agency reported (see GSN, March 24). A U.S. State Department official said yesterday that, while the stalled negotiations should focus on the nuclear issue, participants “can bring up whatever they want to in the six-party talks.” Pyongyang has said it would boycott nuclear talks until the United States retracts penalties Washington says were imposed on North Korean entities in retaliation for illicit financial activities (Yonhap News Agency, March 28). North Korea warned today that U.S. pressure tactics would not work, the Associated Press reported. “The U.S. is calculating that it can achieve its intended purpose if it ties up our hands and legs and stifles us,” the officials Minju Joson newspaper announced. “This is a policy error and mistake that can be committed only by the Bush administration that belittles the other side and has overconfidence in itself.” “We make this clear that the U.S. will pay a high price for all consequences.” Pyongyang also urged Washington to give “us nuclear cooperation too,” apparently referring to a pending civilian nuclear technology sharing agreement with India, AP reported (Jae-Soon Chang, Associated Press/China Post, March 28).
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