Global Security Newswire: By National Journal

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    Friday, October 17, 2008

    Week in Review

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  nuclear  
Iran Within 3 Months of Nuke Milestone, Report Says Full Story
China Plans Major Nuclear Expansion, Expert Says Full Story
Pakistan Can Deploy Sea-Based Nukes, Officer Says Full Story
India, U.S. Ink Nuclear Trade Pact Full Story
North Korea Agrees to Nuclear Verification, Monitoring Full Story

  biological  
U.S. Limits Anthrax Vaccine Legal Liability Full Story
Security Problems Found at Two Biodefense Labs Full Story
Panel May Advise Anthrax Shots for First Responders Full Story
Boston Biolab Plans Rigorous Internal Security Full Story

  chemical  
South Korea Completes Chemical Weapons Disposal Full Story

  missile2  
Congress Backs Space-Based Missile Defense Study Full Story
Corruption Case Highlights Wasteful Spending in U.S. Missile Defense Effort, Officials Say Full Story

  other  
U.S. Drops “Dirty Bomb” Claim in Terror Case Full Story

 

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Every single element of verification that we sought going in is part of this package.
—U.S. State Department spokesman Sean McCormack, on North Korea's acceptance of a plan to confirm the nation's nuclear disablement.


South Korea Completes Chemical Weapons Disposal

By Chris Schneidmiller
Global Security Newswire

WASHINGTON — A chemical-armed nation, widely assumed to be South Korea, has finished destroying its stockpile under a global treaty, U.S. and international disarmament officials said this week (see GSN, April 8)...Full Story

U.S. Limits Anthrax Vaccine Legal Liability

By Elaine M. Grossman
Global Security Newswire

WASHINGTON — The U.S. Health and Human Services Department early this month moved to shield government, industry and business officials from lawsuits filed by those who have received the anthrax vaccine (see GSN, Sept. 5, 2007)...Full Story

Panel May Advise Anthrax Shots for First Responders

By Elaine M. Grossman
Global Security Newswire

WASHINGTON — A U.S. government advisory panel next week could recommend that state and local public health officials consider administering anthrax vaccines to as many as 3 million first responders nationwide, Global Security Newswire has learned...Full Story

India, U.S. Ink Nuclear Trade Pact

The United States and India signed a historic civil nuclear cooperation agreement Friday, formally reversing a decades-old U.S. nuclear nonproliferation policy (see GSN, Oct. 9)...Full Story

North Korea Agrees to Nuclear Verification, Monitoring

North Korea has agreed to a full program to verify the extent of its nuclear operations, and in return on Saturday was removed from the U.S. list of state sponsors of terrorism, the Associated Press reported (see GSN, Oct. 10).

The Stalinist state has also allowed international inspectors to resume their work, just days after ordering them to suspend all monitoring at the Yongbyon nuclear complex.  Resumption of disablement activities at the site is also anticipated...Full Story

Current Issue Friday, October 17, 2008
nuclear

Iran Within 3 Months of Nuke Milestone, Report Says

From Friday, October 17, 2008 issue.

Iran could produce enough low-enriched uranium by January that if run through centrifuges again could generate fuel for a nuclear bomb in two to three months, the Wisconsin Project on Nuclear Arms Control reported Wednesday (see GSN, Oct. 16).

Iran maintains it only wants to produce low-enriched uranium to supply its nascent nuclear power program; however, the potential remains for Tehran to recirculate the uranium through its enrichment centrifuges to obtain material suitable for use in a nuclear weapon.

The independent report’s enrichment schedule is based on Iran’s estimated stock of low-enriched uranium and the estimated amount of material the country produces each month (Wisconsin Project on Nuclear Arms Control release, Oct. 15).

Meanwhile, China has blocked discussions of new economic penalties against Iran, possibly because the United States plans to sell $6.5 billion in defensive armaments to Taiwan, the Associated Press reported yesterday (see GSN, Oct. 15).

The Bush administration has attempted for days to arrange a telephone conversation between representatives for the five permanent U.N. Security Council member nations and Germany.  However, Beijing has so far avoided agreeing to a time for the discussion, according to U.S. officials and diplomats.

Earlier this month, U.S. officials said they did not expect China’s participation in multilateral initiatives on Iran to be affected by the planned weapons sale to Taiwan, which Beijing considers a rogue province.  China’s moves to delay action on potential new sanctions concerns the United States and its Western allies, which are eager to boost pressure on Tehran (Matthew Lee, Associated Press/International Herald Tribune, Oct. 16).

Elsewhere, Iranian state television said yesterday that a major air force exercise under way in the nation is intended to show that its it has the ability to strike against Israel, United Press International reported.  Tehran has threatened to swiftly retaliate against any Israeli attack on its nuclear sites.

The Iranian drill is aimed at addressing rumors that Jerusalem might authorize such a strike between U.S. elections next month and the presidential inauguration in January, according to the Israeli military intelligence Web site DEBKAfile (United Press International, Oct. 16).


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China Plans Major Nuclear Expansion, Expert Says

From Friday, October 17, 2008 issue.

China aspires to field a strategic nuclear deterrent of up to 500 warheads, a major increase, Richard Fisher of the International Assessment and Strategy Center said in a book published this week (see GSN, March 7).

The China expert estimated Beijing aims to field 120 missiles with multiple warheads as part of an expansion to its nuclear arsenal, the Washington Times reported.

“What the current American leadership, both in the military and intelligence community, is not telling us is that China is on a track to become a global competitor with the U.S. in the 2020s," Fisher told the Times.  “By that time, they will be well on their way to assembling all the elements of global power that we have today, and we need to prepare for this threat now.”

Fisher’s book, China's Military Modernization: Building for Regional and Global Reach, also asserts that China has a secret missile defense program that includes antisatellite weapons (see GSN, Jan. 19, 2007).

China’s frequent calls for a ban on space-based weapons are merely a “propaganda campaign intended to limit or delay defensive programs of others,” Fisher’s book says (see GSN, Feb. 13; Bill Gertz, Washington Times, Oct. 16).

China currently deploys about 176 nuclear warheads, and has several dozen in storage, for a total arsenal of about 240 warheads, according to a recent  assessment by Robert Norris of the Natural Resources Defense Council and Hans Kristensen of the Federation of American Scientists.  The estimate appears in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists’ “Nuclear Notebook.”

Determining China’s nuclear plans is a difficult task, the two argue, but they do caution that of the five main nuclear-weapon states, “China alone is believed to be increasing its nuclear arsenal.”

They cite a U.S. intelligence estimate that projects China deploying 75-100 warheads by 2015, but note that the estimate depends upon Beijing successfully fielding “several dozen” long-range missiles by then.

Fisher’s claim that China plans to arm its missiles with multiple warheads would be a change from current practice, according to Norris and Kristensen.

China has the technical capability to develop multiple re-entry vehicles (MRVs) and multiple independently targetable re-entry vehicles (MIRVs) but has chosen not to deploy such systems on its missiles,” they said (Norris/Kristensen, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July/August 2008).


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Pakistan Can Deploy Sea-Based Nukes, Officer Says

From Thursday, October 16, 2008 issue.

A high-level Pakistani navy official said Tuesday his country is “fully capable” of placing strategic weapons on sea-going vessels, the Press Trust of India reported (see GSN, Feb. 26).

Vice Adm. Asif Humayun, the navy’s chief of staff, would not tell participants at a workshop in Karachi whether the country planned such a deployment, how it would happen or whether Pakistan possesses submarines capable of firing missiles.

The navy is responsible for safeguarding Pakistan’s borders and protecting surrounding waters from terrorist organizations or other nonstate entities, Humayun said, adding that new submarines and battleships would help the country defend itself (Press Trust of India I, Oct. 15).

Meanwhile, a judge in the South Asian state yesterday declined to rule on former top Pakistani nuclear scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan’s request to challenge his 4-year-old confinement in court (see GSN, Aug. 11).

Khan has largely been restricted to his home since he admitted past involvement in a nuclear smuggling ring.   Pakistan’s top court barred Khan from speaking to the media after he renounced his confession earlier this year (see GSN, July 23; Press Trust of India II, Oct. 15).


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India, U.S. Ink Nuclear Trade Pact

From Tuesday, October 14, 2008 issue.

The United States and India signed a historic civil nuclear cooperation agreement Friday, formally reversing a decades-old U.S. nuclear nonproliferation policy (see GSN, Oct. 9).

The trade pact will enable India to purchase U.S. nuclear materials and technology which have been denied since 1974 because New Delhi has refused to join the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty or permit international monitoring of all of its nuclear activities.  Under the new deal, India has agreed to place its civilian nuclear program under International Atomic Energy Agency supervision.

“Many thought this day would never come, but doubts have been silenced now,” said U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice at the signing ceremony in Washington.  “The world’s largest democracy and the world’s oldest democracy, drawn together by our shared values and, increasingly, by our many shared interests, now stand as equals, closer together than ever before.”

Indian Foreign Minister Pranab Mukherjee signed the agreement for his nation.

“We look forward to working with U.S. companies on the commercial steps that will follow to implement this landmark agreement,” he said.

The three-year process to enable the deal also frees India to pursue nuclear technology from other nations, such as France and Russia.  The 45-nation Nuclear Suppliers Group agreed earlier this year to exempt New Delhi from its prohibition on trade with non-NPT nations.

While signing U.S. legislation enabling the deal last week, U.S. President George W. Bush said the agreement would promote efforts to curb nuclear-weapon proliferation.  Rice echoed that theme yesterday.

“Let us use this partnership to tackle the great global challenges of our time:  energy security and climate change, terrorism and violent extremism, transnational crime and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction,” she said (Greg Webb, Global Security Newswire, Oct. 14).


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North Korea Agrees to Nuclear Verification, Monitoring

From Tuesday, October 14, 2008 issue.

North Korea has agreed to a full program to verify the extent of its nuclear operations, and in return on Saturday was removed from the U.S. list of state sponsors of terrorism, the Associated Press reported (see GSN, Oct. 10).

The Stalinist state has also allowed international inspectors to resume their work, just days after ordering them to suspend all monitoring at the Yongbyon nuclear complex.  Resumption of disablement activities at the site is also anticipated.

The entire North Korean denuclearization process, crystallized in a 2007 agreement signed by six nations, had appeared threatened by the dispute between Pyongyang and Washington on verification.

The Bush administration had demanded that North Korea accept a U.S.-drafted protocol for confirming details of a declaration of its nuclear activities and holdings before coming off the terrorism list.  Pyongyang in response began to reverse the disablement of facilities at Yongbyon, moving to resume plutonium-production activities and last week barring International Atomic Energy Agency personnel from all plants.

U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Christopher Hill traveled to Pyongyang in early October in hopes of breaking the deadlock.  That apparently led to last week’s actions.

“Every single element of verification that we sought going in is part of this package," State Department spokesman Sean McCormack said during a press conference Saturday.

Anticipated verification measures include sampling and forensic testing at declared and — following North Korean consent — undeclared nuclear facilities, which might include the site of North Korea’s 2006 nuclear test.  The agreement also covers examination of the regime’s suspected nuclear proliferation and uranium enrichment activities, the State Department said in a statement.

“Verifying North Korea's nuclear proliferation will be a serious challenge.  This is the most secret and opaque regime in the entire world," said Patricia McNerney, assistant secretary of state for international security and nonproliferation.

The delisting went into effect immediately.  While the action frees North Korea from some U.S. sanctions, there is little immediate change in its standing due to a host of other penalties that have been placed on the regime.

The deal quickly came under attack, AP reported.

“By rewarding North Korea before the regime has carried out its commitments, we are encouraging this regime to continue its illicit nuclear program and violate its pledge to no longer provide nuclear assistance to extremist regimes," said Representative Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fla.), ranking Republican on the House Foreign Affairs Committee (Matthew Lee, Associated Press I/Yahoo!News, Oct. 12).

Japan also registered its displeasure, according to Agence France-Presse.  Tokyo has been the most reluctant member of the five nations negotiating with Pyongyang, pressing for the regime to also address its abduction of Japanese citizens during the 1970s and 1980s.

While Japan understands that the U.S. move was intended to reignite the faltering denuclearization process, “we have made it clear that we are not content with the delisting,” Prime Minister Taro Aso told lawmakers today.

If there is progress on verification, North Korea is likely to “demand energy and economic assistance,” Aso said.  “As long as there is no progress on the abduction issue, however, we will not respond to this kind of demand” (Agence France-Presse/Spacewar.com, Oct. 14).

Japan last week said it would maintain sanctions preventing imports of material from North Korea and use of Japanese ports by ships registered to the Stalinist state for at least another six months, Kyodo News reported (Kyodo News/Japan Times, Oct. 11).

Disablement activities at Yongbyon, which houses North Korea’s only operating reactor and other plants needed for plutonium production, were expected to begin again today, AP reported.  North Korea stopped work at the site in August.

Facilities that have undergone full disablement would theoretically be prevented from resuming operations for at least one year.

There was no word by this afternoon on the Korean Peninsula whether disablement was actually under way again (Jae-Soon Chang, Associated Press II/Yahoo!News, Oct. 14).

U.N. nuclear watchdog inspectors yesterday were allowed to resume monitoring of the nuclear reactor, fuel fabrication plant and the plutonium reprocessing plant at Yongbyon, according to an IAEA release.  North Korea had barred the monitors from the sites on Oct. 9.

“The agency inspectors were also informed that as of [today], core discharge activities at the reactor would be resumed, monitored by agency inspectors,” IAEA spokeswoman Melissa Fleming said in a prepared statement.  “Agency inspectors will also now be permitted to reapply the containment and surveillance measures at the reprocessing facility” (International Atomic Energy Agency release, Oct. 13).


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biological

U.S. Limits Anthrax Vaccine Legal Liability

From Friday, October 17, 2008 issue.

By Elaine M. Grossman
Global Security Newswire

WASHINGTON — The U.S. Health and Human Services Department early this month moved to shield government, industry and business officials from lawsuits filed by those who have received the anthrax vaccine (see GSN, Sept. 5, 2007).

Health and Human Services Secretary Michael Leavitt established legal immunity for public and private officials who oversee the production or distribution of the anthrax vaccine by declaring a “public health emergency” due to the risk of a bioterrorism attack.  He said the emergency began on Oct. 1 and would run through Dec. 31, 2015.

U.S. law provides protection from lawsuits to individuals responsible for selected countermeasures, including antibiotics, during a declared emergency. 

Under the Public Readiness and Emergency Preparedness Act, which President George W. Bush signed into law in December 2005, a health and human services secretary’s emergency declaration can limit financial risk for government program planners and the manufacturers or distributors of pharmaceutical countermeasures.  One exception to this immunity would be willful misconduct on the part of covered individuals.

The ramifications, in this instance, could be to prevent individuals who have received one or more anthrax inoculations from taking grievances to court, based on claims that the vaccine caused severe adverse reactions or did not work.

The anthrax vaccine has proven particularly controversial following reports of serious adverse events, including some deaths, among U.S. recipients (see GSN, Nov. 21, 2005).  In addition, there are some doubts about the vaccine’s efficacy in protecting people from developing anthrax after breathing in spores during a biological attack.

A 2003 lawsuit — based on lapses in the Food and Drug Administration’s drug-approval process for the vaccine — temporarily shut down the Defense Department’s compulsory anthrax shots program.  Mandatory inoculations resumed in 2006 for personnel whose assignments are judged to put them at heightened risk of exposure to anthrax (see GSN, Dec. 16, 2005).

Leavitt’s declaration was published in the Federal Register and quietly heralded at the end of a two-page news release devoted largely to another anthrax-related initiative (see GSN, Oct. 2).

Among the activities now afforded liability protection are those “related to developing, manufacturing, distributing, prescribing, dispensing, administering and using anthrax countermeasures in preparation for, and in response to, a potential anthrax attack,” the HHS news release states.  “This includes entities, such as large ‘big-box’ retail stores, retail pharmacies, and other private sector businesses, that help to deliver and distribute medicines.”

Health and Human Services argued the legal shield is essential to guarantee that countermeasures are there if U.S. citizens need them.

“Providing liability protection to all involved in such efforts will help ensure their full participation and bolster response efforts,” according to the news release.

“Preparedness is a shared responsibility that must involve all sectors of society, including the private sector, community groups, families and individuals,” Leavitt stated in the release.  “We are using the authorities available to us to do all we can to support preparedness at all levels.”

The move comes as a pivotal advisory group convened by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention prepares to decide whether state and local health officials should consider giving anthrax vaccines to as many as 3 million civilian first responders nationwide (see GSN, Oct. 16).

Millions of U.S. military personnel have already received the vaccines since the Pentagon’s shots program began in 1997, but the law prohibits service members or their families from holding the government liable for injury or death. 

Now that the population of vaccine recipients could expand to include millions of civilians — who normally do have a right to take medical injury claims to court — federal response planners and government contractors might be growing nervous about their potential legal vulnerability, according to vaccine critics.

“There are people still getting ill from side effects and from the vaccine,” John Michels, an attorney in litigation targeting the Pentagon’s inoculation program, told Global Security Newswire this week.  “When they expand this vaccine from the military population to a civilian population, they’re going to have people who sue.”

Emergent BioSolutions of Rockville, Md. — the nation’s only manufacturer of an FDA-approved anthrax vaccine — recently announced that Health and Human Services had ordered 14.5 million doses of its BioThrax vaccine, worth as much as $404 million.  The company is already under a $448 million contract to produce 18.8 million doses of the vaccine.

The vaccine regimen calls for six shots over an 18 month period, plus annual boosters.

Michels said commercial interests appear to be playing a role in the legal immunity issue.  He questioned whether there had been any bona fide escalation in the anthrax threat sufficient to justify the declaration of an emergency.

“We have no indications [now] … that we’re much more likely to be attacked by anthrax,” Michels said.  “But [government officials] see the writing on the wall.  They see … an erosion of [lawsuit] immunity for vaccine manufacturers as a result of widespread civilian use.”

Meryl Nass, a bioterrorism expert who has been highly critical of federal handling of anthrax vaccine issues, accused Leavitt of taking more interest in protecting bureaucrats from legal action than in protecting the public from health threats.

“How do you decide there is an emergency when there is no evidence of one?” she asked in e-mailed comments last week. 

Noting the HHS secretary’s designation of “governmental program planners” as among those afforded legal immunity by the declaration, Nass asserted that the agency “designates an emergency as a means to protect itself.”

Leavitt’s declaration, though, states that “targeted liability protections for anthrax countermeasures” are “based on a credible risk that the threat of exposure to [anthrax] and the resulting disease constitutes a public health emergency.”  The document does not offer additional details on the nature or level of threat.

A request that Health and Human Services elaborate on the basis for the public health emergency declaration went unanswered at press time.


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Security Problems Found at Two Biodefense Labs

From Thursday, October 16, 2008 issue.

A potential terrorist would face few obstacles to infiltrating two high-security U.S. laboratories cleared to work with lethal biological agents, congressional investigators said in a report released today (see GSN, Aug. 22).

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention endorsed the Biosafety Level 4 sites, which are not named in the Government Accountability Office report but were identified today in an Associated Press article.

The Southwest Foundation for Biomedical Research in San Antonio, Texas, was considered the most vulnerable site.  Personnel at the privately operated site work with disease materials in a room that has a window directly to the outside of the building.  Investigators also described the deployment of surveillance cameras, intruder detectors and armed guards at visible entrances as inadequate.  Depending on an outside contractor to watch the detection systems and notify police of security breaches could slow response times, the report says.

"We already have an initiative under way to look at perimeter security," said laboratory head Kenneth Trevett.  "We're waiting for additional input but we're not waiting long.  The GAO would like us to do some fairly significant things.  They would like us to do it sooner rather than later."

The other vulnerable facility, an Atlanta laboratory managed by Georgia State University, was not fully walled off and had other security vulnerabilities.  Congressional auditors said they watched an unknown person enter the building through its unmonitored shipping gate.

"Georgia State clearly wants its BSL-4 to be as safe as possible," university Assistant Vice President DeAnna Hines said, without acknowledging that the Georgia State site was singled out in the GAO report.  "We are already taking steps that will enhance the lab's safety and security standards."

The report notes that robust security measures are in place at the three other U.S. laboratories cleared to work with the deadliest pathogens:  CDC headquarters in Atlanta (see GSN, May 16); the U.S. Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases at Fort Detrick, Md.; and the University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston (Larry Margasak, Associated Press/Google News, Oct. 16).


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Panel May Advise Anthrax Shots for First Responders

From Thursday, October 16, 2008 issue.

By Elaine M. Grossman
Global Security Newswire

WASHINGTON — A U.S. government advisory panel next week could recommend that state and local public health officials consider administering anthrax vaccines to as many as 3 million first responders nationwide, Global Security Newswire has learned.

The panel, convened by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, would leave it to regional and local authorities to determine whether the risks of biological terrorism — weighed against the potential benefits of a controversial inoculation — justify vaccinating emergency personnel.

In an anthrax attack, victims could inhale tiny airborne particles capable of infecting them with a highly fatal disease.  The 2001 mailings that targeted congressional and media offices, launched just days after the Sept. 11 terrorist strikes, killed five people and sickened another 17 (see GSN, Oct. 1).

The CDC panel decision, slated for release at an Oct. 22 meeting in Atlanta, could reverse a nearly 8-year-old recommendation against pre-exposure vaccinations for first responders. 

By contrast, U.S. military personnel operating in assignments considered at risk of exposure to anthrax attack have been subject to mandatory inoculation for several years (see GSN, Sept. 5, 2007).  While the compulsory program was suspended at one point under court order, the Defense Department has administered millions of shots since the late 1990s.

The CDC Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices said in December 2000 that it could not recommend anthrax shots for civilian first responders as a matter of national policy because “the risk of exposure cannot be calculated.”

Even if the threat were considered higher in one city or another, the panel concluded that precautionary vaccines were unnecessary.  For emergency personnel who enter an attack site, “studies suggest an extremely low risk for exposure related to secondary aerosolization of previously settled [anthrax] spores,” the group wrote at the time.

If a first responder were exposed to anthrax, the “initiation of prophylaxis should be considered with antibiotics alone or in combination with vaccine,” the panel concluded.  Post-exposure treatment with these drugs is standard for unvaccinated patients.

In 2002, the panel updated other aspects of its anthrax vaccine recommendations but refrained from changing its guidance for first responders.

However, at a meeting in Atlanta four months ago, a working group convened by the advisory committee said the full panel should alter its 2000 statement.

“Post-event vaccination in combination with antibiotics is an effective intervention following exposure to [anthrax] spores, but the workgroup felt that pre-event vaccination could offer additional protection beyond that afforded by antibiotics and post-vaccination by providing early priming of the immune system,” according to a CDC summary of the review group’s presentation to the panel.

In addition, some first-responder organizations “have stated that their members would be more willing to respond to a bioterrorism event if they were vaccinated prior to the occurrence of the event,” working group member Jennifer Gordon Wright told the committee, according to the meeting summary.

“The workgroup felt that implementing a recommendation for pre-event vaccination of first responders would be difficult, but it may have a positive impact on first-responder preparedness,” she reportedly said.

If embraced by the expert panel next week, the new statement would read:  “Groups for whom potential contact with aerosolized anthrax is a reasonable expectation based on occupation and duties (e.g. first responders expected to be called to the scene of a bioterrorism event) and for whom a calculable risk is not available may consider pre-event vaccination on the basis of an estimated risk benefit and in the context of an occupational health and safety program.”

A Host of Challenges

Among the challenges facing any mass inoculation effort for first responders would be finding a method of tracking a complicated anthrax shot regimen for millions of personnel who might come and go from their jobs, according to the June meeting minutes.  The schedule for the existing vaccine calls for six priming shots over an 18-month period, followed by annual boosters.  Recent medical research suggests that fewer shots might be needed to establish immunity, but the official regimen has not yet changed (see GSN, Oct. 1).

Another hurdle could be organizing a vaccine campaign in the absence of any single organization representing the first-responder community nationwide, according to the June meeting summary.  “There are multiple types of first responders and defining this group can be difficult,” Wright told the CDC panel.

Litigation pending in federal court could pose another complication for state and local officials who might contemplate setting out a requirement that their first responders take the anthrax shots. 

Two attorneys who in 2004 won a 16-month injunction against the Pentagon’s initial mandatory vaccine effort filed a second lawsuit in late 2006, challenging the science behind a 2005 Food and Drug Administration decision allowing the drug to be used for protection against an attack (see GSN, Oct. 28, 2004). 

They argue that the vaccine has been proven only in the prevention of anthrax contracted through the skin or digestive system, but has not been shown to work against a more serious form of inhaled anthrax posed by biological weapons.

The second case is now on appeal following a federal judge’s move to dismiss it in late February (see GSN, March 3).

If the lawsuit moves forward in the U.S. Court of Appeals, “it would affect the current thinking of CDC and FDA” regarding the advisability of giving the vaccine to millions of first responders, said Mark Zaid, plaintiffs’ co-counsel in both legal actions.

The CDC advisory panel’s working group reported in June that “available vaccine efficacy data suggested that the vaccine is effective and provides protection against inhalation anthrax.”

However, Zaid said state and local authorities should think twice before requiring the shots for emergency personnel, in the absence of a substantial threat.

“It would be virtually unprecedented in modern times to mandate any vaccination on civilian populations without the clear existence of a current outbreak of disease,” he told GSN yesterday.

Critics of the vaccine have alleged that officials at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention — an arm of the U.S. Health and Human Services Department — have underemphasized the risk of severe adverse reactions carried by the anthrax vaccine.

For example, a new CDC study of the anthrax vaccine’s safety and efficacy logged 229 “serious adverse events” — including seven deaths — in 186 out of 1,563 volunteer participants receiving inoculations since May 2002. 

Such instances might include events that are life-threatening, require hospitalization or surgical intervention or cause significant disability or birth defects.  Results were published in the Oct. 1 issue of the Journal of the American Medical Association.

However, the researchers concluded that just nine of these serious events — none resulting in death — were “possibly related” to the vaccine.

Analysis of the research data will remain “double-blind” through next year, meaning the medical investigators and patients do not know which participants received anthrax inoculations and which received a placebo, according to CDC officials.

Until the serious-event data can be correlated with an understanding of which patients actually received the anthrax vaccine, an empirical analysis of the drug’s safety in this study cannot be done, according to Meryl Nass, a longtime critic of the U.S. government’s handling of the vaccine.

An internist who has consulted with the U.S. government on bioterrorism issues, Nass questioned how CDC researchers could have concluded that just nine of the 229 serious adverse events might have been connected to the vaccine.  In e-mail comments sent to GSN last week, she accused the agency of “glossing over” the severe reactions potentially related to the vaccine and of offering few details about them.

The working group’s June presentation to the CDC advisory group identified vaccine safety as a possible issue for consideration in treating first responders, but voiced confidence in the research findings.

“While the workgroup [members] believe the vaccine is safe, rare adverse events do occur and a serious adverse event is not a small matter, regardless of whether it is vaccine-associated,” Wright told the panel, according to the CDC minutes.

The government advisory panel “has been given a one-sided picture from the working group at the CDC,” Nass said in an interview this week.  She rued the fact that few, if any, of the advisory panel’s current members took part in the committee’s debate nearly eight years ago, which resulted in its initial guidance against mass inoculations for first responders.

This year, Nass said, the committee has heard nearly no critical perspectives about the safety and efficacy of the anthrax vaccine, and the group might similarly be unaware of skepticism about biowarfare threats facing the United States.  The CDC panel has scheduled just five minutes of public comment about the issue during its upcoming meeting, she said.

A review of the committee’s membership shows that none of the advisory panel’s 15 voting members sat on the group in 2000, so there is little track record on which to base projections about how it will decide the issue this time.

Eight liaisons from medical associations and industry organizations, “ex officio” members and others associated with the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices served in similar roles in 2000, but none of them have a vote.

Of the voting advisory panel members, several voiced support at the June meeting for making what they termed a “reasonable” change in the group’s guidance regarding anthrax shots for first responders.

One of them, Jonathan Temte — a faculty member at the University of Wisconsin’s School of Medicine and Public Health in Madison — said “allowing smaller [state and local] groups to consider their own risks is a very worthwhile approach,” according to the CDC summary.

Others expressed a degree of concern.  For example, Franklin Judson — a professor at the University of Colorado Health Sciences Center in Denver — said he would support the new statement but thought “practically it would do little at the local level,” the summary states.

Another, Ciro Sumaya of Texas A&M Health Center in College Station, “was uncomfortable with the wording” in the statement about assessing a risk-benefit tradeoff, adding that “there should be some type of algorithm to make risk determinations that can be useful to the practitioner and at the local level,” according to the CDC minutes.


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Boston Biolab Plans Rigorous Internal Security

From Wednesday, October 15, 2008 issue.

Scientists seeking to handle lethal biological agents at a planned high-security Boston University biodefense laboratory would face regular psychological vetting and scrutiny of their finances, the Boston Globe reported yesterday (see GSN, Aug. 13).

"We consider someone who is under financial duress to be a risk," said Gary Nicksa, Boston University’s vice president for operations.  "Do you want someone who could … have access to sensitive information or sensitive materials in a position that they could be approached by someone who says, 'Would you be willing to do something for me?'"

Scientists at the federally funded National Emerging Infectious Diseases Laboratories would also be required to work with partners and remain under electronic surveillance, university officials told the Globe.  Secured areas would be equipped with iris scanners to verify workers’ identities, and security personnel would automatically respond to an area where a researcher worked for too long outside a camera’s range, they said.

The strict security is intended to keep workers from tapping a deadly agent for use in a devastating weapon.

Fears of such a breach took on new urgency when the U.S. Justice Department identified the perpetrator of the 2001 anthrax mailings as a former veteran microbiologist at the U.S. Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases at Fort Detrick, Md. (see GSN, Oct. 1).  Bruce Ivins committed suicide in July as federal prosecutors prepared charges against him.

As details on the case became known, "we really started testing it against some of our procedures" for securing the future laboratory, said Ara Tahmassian, an associate vice president at the university.  The university could revise the planned security rules as a result of the investigation, she said.

The controversial Biosafety Level 4 facility is scheduled to open no earlier than 2009.  It would conduct research on potentially lethal disease agents such as Ebola and plague.

Roughly 15,000 scientists across the country are cleared to work in BSL-4 laboratories, which handle the most dangerous biological agents, according to Rutgers University professor Richard Ebright.  The sites are run by the federal government as well as universities and private entities, he added.

"The number of people with the means to mount a bioterror attack exactly analogous to the 2001 anthrax attack has increased tremendously," he said.

The FBI reviews all applicants for work in the secured laboratories and repeats checks every five years.  It could reject applicants for being placed in a mental hospital or for being incarcerated for more than a year, the Globe reported.  Since starting the checks in 2003, the bureau has performed roughly 28,500 screenings and blocked clearances for 170 people, according to its criminal justice information branch (Stephen Smith, Boston Globe, Oct. 14).


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chemical

South Korea Completes Chemical Weapons Disposal

From Friday, October 17, 2008 issue.

By Chris Schneidmiller
Global Security Newswire

WASHINGTON — A chemical-armed nation, widely assumed to be South Korea, has finished destroying its stockpile under a global treaty, U.S. and international disarmament officials said this week (see GSN, April 8).

“In 2008 another milestone was marked in the history of chemical disarmament when, on 10 July, a state party completed the destruction of its entire chemical weapons stockpile,” Rogelio Pfirter, head of the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons, said during an address Wednesday at the United Nations.

Albania last year became the first nation to meet its disarmament obligations under the Chemical Weapons Convention (see GSN, July 12, 2007).  The other known possessor states of weapons banned by the treaty are India, Libya, Russia and the United States.

“I have wholeheartedly congratulated this second OPCW member for its achievement and for the unwavering commitment it has shown in reaching this important goal,” Pfirter said.  “The achievement of this state party takes us a step closer to the goal of complete disarmament and reinforces the validity of the CWC.”

Statements this week by Pfirter and Eric Javits, U.S. ambassador to the Hague-based organization that monitors compliance with the treaty, appeared to be the first official acknowledgment of completion of the highly secretive program in South Korea.  As per the norm, they never identified the country in question by name, but references to “a state party” are understood to mean Seoul.

The remarks were first noticed by Daniel Feakes of the University of Sussex.

Pfirter’s organization today said it could provide no information except to confirm that on July 10 it verified full chemical weapons disposal by a state party.  The South Korean Embassy in Washington had not responded to requests for information by deadline today, while the U.S. State Department said it would respect the request for confidentiality of the state party.

Seoul invoked a confidentiality clause in the convention that allows any member nation to withhold information about its stockpile of banned weapons or the destruction program, said Paul Walker, security and sustainability chief at Global Green USA.  Seoul went so far as to keep from being named as one of the world’s chemical weapons holders.

Walker said that discussions with informed sources and his own research indicate that South Korea probably held between 3,000 and 3,500 metric tons of chemical warfare material.  That is likely to have included 400 to 1,000 metric tons of sarin nerve agent contained in artillery shells, while the rest could have been binary agents that would have become dangerous when mixed together.

There are several possible reasons for South Korea’s refusal to address its possession or elimination of chemical weapons, Walker said. 

Seoul might have wanted to avoid causing further complications in its always-tense relations with North Korea, which could have used public acknowledgment of the chemical stockpile as a justification for keeping its nuclear weapons, he said.  The strategy could also have been aimed at avoiding community outcry about how and where the destruction was carried out or to cover up any possible support South Korea received from the United States in building up its arsenal, according to Walker.

Walker argued that South Korea misused the confidentiality clause, which he characterized as a security measure intended to protect vulnerable stockpiles from theft of weapons or other troubles.

“It was never intended to hide the fact that the country had a stockpile, or it was never intended to hide what [destruction] technology they were using,” he said.

The precedent set by South Korea could allow suspected chemical weapons possessors such as Egypt, Israel, North Korea and Syria to operate under similar levels of secrecy should they join the treaty and begin to eliminate their arsenals, according to Walker.

Conversely, Seoul coming clean could increase pressure on Pyongyang to acknowledge its own alleged chemical weapons operations, Walker said.  That would, in turn, serve as a confidence-building measure in the six-nation negotiations aimed at elimination of North Korea’s nuclear arsenal, he said (see related GSN story, today).

“It’s worth their while really to come forth now with the whole story of how they did it and why they did it, you know, really turn it into a positive confidence-building measure on the Korean Peninsula,” Walker said.

South Korea was the first nation to meet its treaty deadline for completion of all chemical agents, Walker noted.  The nation in 2006 received an extension to the end of this year.

Albania went two months beyond its deadline to incinerate more than 16 metric tons of mustard agent.  India has until April 2009 and appears to have finished off more than 95 percent of a stockpile believed to consist of mustard agent.  Libya has not begun significant preparations for elimination of more than 23 metric tons of mustard agent and roughly 1,300 metric tons of nerve-agent precursors;  it could request an extension past its current deadline of Dec. 31, 2010, Walker said.

The United States and Russia — both with arsenals of tens of thousands of tons of chemical warfare materials — have already received the full one-time, five-year deadline extension to April 2012.  Washington has acknowledged that work will not be complete by that time, while Walker said he doubts Moscow’s claims that it can meet the schedule.


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missile2

Congress Backs Space-Based Missile Defense Study

From Friday, October 17, 2008 issue.

U.S. lawmakers have approved $5 million for the first review of a possible space-based missile defense system since the 1990s, the Washington Times reported yesterday (see GSN, Feb. 13).

Senator Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.), a strong missile defense proponent, said the study’s passage within a larger funding bill signals the demand for robust protection against enemy ballistic missiles as well as measures to help guard key satellites.

“We have the potential to expand our space-based capabilities from mere space situational awareness to space protection," Kyl said Sept. 29 on the floor of the Senate.  "In the past 15 years, the ballistic missile threat has substantially increased and is now undeniable."

He added that the Defense Department has expressed concern about the ramifications of China’s 2007 antisatellite test (see GSN, Jan. 19, 2007) and about the potential for the Asian nation to fire long-range missiles either accidentally or without authorization.

President George W. Bush has concentrated on deploying sea-based missile defenses and the Ground-Based Midcourse Defense system in Alaska and California, but a defense official said a space-based system would be the only means of guarding against missile threats worldwide.

"It's really the only way to defend the U.S. and its allies from anywhere on the planet," the official said (Bill Gertz, Washington Times, Oct. 16).


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Corruption Case Highlights Wasteful Spending in U.S. Missile Defense Effort, Officials Say

From Tuesday, October 14, 2008 issue.

Poor oversight of a complex Defense Department procurement system has slowed U.S. efforts to develop effective missile defenses, the New York Times reported Sunday (see GSN, April 17).

The problems were illustrated by a corruption case involving two midlevel managers at the Army Space and Missile Defense Command in Hunstville, Ala.  The two men violated a ban on lobbying by working directly with U.S. lawmakers, lobbyists and defense contractors to ensure a steady flow of work, much of it unwanted by Pentagon leaders.  The two men collected kickbacks from contractors, but were eventually caught and are now awaiting sentencing after pleading guilty earlier this year to conspiracy and bribery charges.

Engineer Michael Cantrell and his deputy, Doug Ennis, ultimately persuaded Congress to fund $350 million in missile defense activities that Pentagon leaders never supported, diverting those funds from more viable programs, according to the Times.

“What they did may have been a scandal,” said Ennis lawyer Walter Braswell.  “But even more grotesque is the way defense procurement has disintegrated into an incestuous relationship between the military, politicians and contractors.”

“The system needs to change,” concurred Richard Fisher a former Cantrell supervisor.  “But it is not likely to do that.  There is just too much inertia — and too much self-interest” (Eric Lipton, New York Times, Oct. 12).


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other

U.S. Drops “Dirty Bomb” Claim in Terror Case

From Wednesday, October 15, 2008 issue.

The United States has dropped “dirty bomb” and poison gas accusations against an alleged co-conspirator of Jose Padilla, a U.S. citizen who is serving a 17-year prison sentence for supporting terrorism, the Washington Post reported today (see GSN, June 4).

British resident Binyam Mohammed was arrested in Pakistan in 2002 and, after spending more than two years in unknown locations, was placed at the U.S. military prison at Guantanamo Bay in 2004.  U.S. Justice Department officials originally alleged that he and Padilla planned to detonate a radiological weapon in the United States or release cyanide gas in nightclubs.  Those charges were eventually dropped from the case against Padilla, and the department recently removed them Mohammed as well (see GSN, Jan. 22).

“There are no serious, hard charges against Mohammed," said his attorney, Air Force Lt. Col. Yvonne Bradley.  “The whole thing the government was hanging its hat on, pursuing Mr. Mohammed, was the dirty bomb.”

Mohammed attorneys told the Post that they believe the charges were dropped so the Justice Department would not be forced to reveal classified documents showing that Mohammed had been tortured.

A U.S. judge had ordered the department to provide exculpatory material to Mohammed’s lawyers by Oct. 6.  Serious charges were dropped that day.

“It's no coincidence that this happened when the judge ordered discovery,” said Clive Stafford Smith, another Mohammed attorney.  “It's clear they think that by dropping the allegations they can avoid having to turn over the documents.”

Mohammed now faces a remaining charge of receiving al-Qaeda training in Afghanistan, and British officials have asked that he be released to their custody, Bradley said (Peter Finn, Washington Post, Oct. 15).


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