Global Security Newswire: By National Journal

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    Issue for Monday, September 30, 2002

  Terrorism  
U.S. Response:  Japanese Ports Allow U.S. Inspectors Full Story
Recent Stories

  Weapons of Mass Destruction  
Iraq I:  U.S. Psychological Operations Focus on WMD Prevention Full Story
Iraq II:  U.N.-Iraq Talks Begin in Vienna as U.S. Hits Wall on Draft Resolution Full Story
U.S. Response:  Military Is Not Ready for Chemical Attack, Memo Says Full Story
International Response:  NATO, Russia Complete Anti-Terrorism Exercise Full Story
Recent Stories

  Nuclear Weapons  
United States:  Energy Facility Defends Handling of Returned Fuel Full Story
CTBT:  Georgia Ratifies Treaty Full Story
Recent Stories

  Biological Weapons  
U.S. Response:  New CDC Director Julie Gerberding Takes the Helm Full Story
Anthrax:  EPA Orders Third Test of Brentwood Cleaning Equipment Full Story
Recent Stories

  Chemical Weapons  
Pakistan:  Islamabad Opens Chemical Plants to International Inspectors Full Story
United States:  Report Examines Neutralization at Blue Grass Depot Full Story
Recent Stories

  Missile Proliferation  
India:  Sea-to-Surface Missile Tests Complete Full Story
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  Missile Defense  
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  Missile Defense  
Recent Stories
 

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I want to give peace a chance to work.  I want the United Nations to work.  I want him to do what he’s said he would do.  But, for the sake of our future, now’s the time.
—U.S. President George W. Bush, on his policy regarding Iraq and Saddam Hussein.


Iraq:  U.S. Psychological Operations Focus on WMD Prevention

By Bryan Bender
Global Security Newswire

WASHINGTON — U.S. military commanders, in preparation for a pre-emptive strike against Iraq, are planning to mount an information campaign aimed at persuading Iraqi commanders to disobey orders to unleash chemical, biological or radiological weapons against invading troops, according to administration officials and news reports. ...Full Story

Iraq:  U.N.-Iraq Talks Begin in Vienna as U.S. Hits Wall on Draft Resolution

Informally circulating its draft U.N. Security Council resolution on Iraq to other council members this past weekend, the United States failed to garner any endorsement from China, France or Russia...Full Story

India:  Sea-to-Surface Missile Tests Complete

India has completed testing on its first sea-to-surface missile, the Times of India reported yesterday (see GSN, Dec. 12, 2001)...Full Story



Current Issue Monday, September 30, 2002
Terrorism

U.S. Response:  Japanese Ports Allow U.S. Inspectors

Japan has tentatively agreed to join the U.S. Container Security Initiative, in which the United States is working to station its Customs Service inspectors at non-U.S. seaports, U.S. Customs Commissioner Robert Bonner said Wednesday (see GSN, Sept. 24).

Under a joint declaration of principles, U.S. inspectors are to be stationed on a pilot basis at the seaports of Tokyo, Nagoya, Kobe and Yokohama, according to a Customs press release.  Out of all cargo containers entering the United States, 8 percent are shipped from those ports, Customs said.  Japanese customs officials also plan to take stations at some U.S. ports to be determined later.

“I applaud the Japanese Customs and Tariff Bureau for joining the Container Security Initiative,” Bonner said.  “This joint declaration of principles will help secure the global trading system as a whole, and in particular, it will provide increased security for trade between Japan and the United States.”

The United States is working to enact similar agreements with several other countries, Customs said (see GSN, Aug. 1).  U.S. officials have already made arrangements to station inspectors at ports in Hong Kong, Singapore, Germany, France, Belgium, the Netherlands and Canada (U.S. Customs Service release, Sept. 25).

For further information, see:

Fact sheet on U.S. Container Security Initiative

U.S. Customs Container Security Initiative Information


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Weapons of Mass Destruction

Iraq I:  U.S. Psychological Operations Focus on WMD Prevention

By Bryan Bender
Global Security Newswire

WASHINGTON — U.S. military commanders, in preparation for a pre-emptive strike against Iraq, are planning to mount an information campaign aimed at persuading Iraqi commanders to disobey orders to unleash chemical, biological or radiological weapons against invading troops, according to administration officials and news reports.

The largely covert strategy, details of which are being closely held by military and intelligence officials, underlines the Bush administration’s growing concern that Iraqi President Saddam Hussein, facing the overthrow of his regime, might resort to using weapons of mass destruction against U.S. troops or allies such as Israel (see GSN, Aug. 1).

“There are a lot of discussions on what to do and how to do it,” said one Pentagon official.  He added that Pentagon policy officials and military planners at the U.S. Special Operations Command are joining forces to determine how best to sway Iraqi soldiers and civilians to abandon Hussein.

Officials said a variety of both traditional and nontraditional means will be employed to convince Iraqi forces of the futility of mounting a defense against U.S. and allied troops and warn of future consequences should they follow instructions to mount a chemical, biological or radiological attack. 

Ranging from the low-tech to highly sophisticated, some of the U.S. efforts include dropping leaflets on enemy position, broadcasting from special aircraft messages tailored for particular audiences within Iraq, corrupting Iraqi military communications systems, communicating by electronic mail and pursuing other clandestine means to appeal directly to Iraqi commanders.

Intelligence officials suspect that Hussein, fearing that U.S. air strikes will quickly dismantle his military command, control and communications networks, may have already instructed battlefield commanders to use weapons of mass destruction.  The Washington Post, quoting a Bush administration official, reported that Hussein has ordered his commanders to launch the weapons if allied forces advance to the western outskirts of the city of al-Amarah.

Judith Yaphe, an Iraq expert at the National Defense University, said that in the 1991 Gulf War to remove Iraqi forces from neighboring Kuwait, Hussein tried to persuade his commanders to use weapons of mass destruction but failed.

This time, however, U.S. military forces cannot be so sure.  U.S. war planners are hoping to identify and communicate with the right Iraqi military units and press upon them the consequences of using weapons of mass destruction, including a clear message that officers at every level of command will be held responsible and prosecuted for war crimes.

“If [Hussein] were to issue such an order to use chemical or biological attack, that does not necessarily mean his orders would be carried out,” Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld told the Senate Armed Services Committee last month.  “He might not have anything to lose, but those beneath him in the chain of command most certainly would have a great deal to lose.  Wise Iraqis will not obey orders to use weapons of mass destruction,” he warned.

Psychological operations are a traditional ingredient for military operations, but have grown in importance in recent years with the proliferation of information technologies and new ways to communicate messages to enemy forces and civilian populations.  The United States has improved its capabilities particularly since the 1999 conflict over Kosovo, which left U.S. officials frustrated by their inability to sway Yugoslav military or public opinion.

According to Vincent Vitto, who chaired a series of studies in 2000 and 2001 that advised the Defense and State departments on ways to improve their ability to get their message across, psychological operations are becoming an increasingly important “extension of diplomacy.”

He said that with the advent of satellite television such as the Bahrain-based al-Jazeera and other modes of communication, U.S. forces can communicate with target audiences more effectively, he said.

“The world has changed,” he said. “There are a lot of new ways to do this than just broadcasting from an aircraft to outline a truthful, modern approach toward getting information about the U.S. out.”

Indeed, psychological operations could define the outcome of a conflict.  “In the future, bombs and missiles will still determine who militarily wins or loses a conflict at tactical level,” according to a 2000 Pentagon study on psychological operations by the Defense Science Board and chaired by Vitto, the president and CEO of Draper Laboratories.  Psychological operations “will help determine how long a conflict lasts and the impact of a military struggle on long term U.S. strategic interests.”

Reaching the target audience in Iraq, and making a convincing case, will not be easy, according to government officials and private experts.  For one, there is very little hard intelligence on who controls Iraqi weapons of mass destruction.  Another challenge will be to compete with Iraqi government-controlled media and other well established propaganda arms.  Even threats from the United States may not be enough to overcome fear of disobeying a dictator, officials acknowledge.

Still, “the technology exists to get the message through,” said Michael O’Hanlon, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution.

What remains unclear is “our ability to convince them that we are serious,” he said. “We can lay out our best claim why they shouldn’t use WMD and that they will be held responsible … but in the end it is not likely” the United States can persuade Iraqi commanders to ignore their orders, O’Hanlon said.  “I think the chances of success are less than 50-50, but still worth a try.”


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Iraq II:  U.N.-Iraq Talks Begin in Vienna as U.S. Hits Wall on Draft Resolution

Informally circulating its draft U.N. Security Council resolution on Iraq to other council members this past weekend, the United States failed to garner any endorsement from China, France or Russia.  In addition, Iraq declared that it would not cooperate with any new council demands (see GSN, Sept. 27).

Meanwhile, chief U.N. weapons inspector Hans Blix began to meet with Iraqi officials today to discuss terms for a new round of inspections under current U.N. mandates.

The draft resolution, which the United States will probably submit to the Security Council this week, is a starting point for negotiations, Bush administration officials said.  It would require Iraqi President Saddam Hussein to allow no-notice inspections at sites such as political and religious facilities that had previously been off-limits (see GSN, Sept. 25).

“All presidential palaces and mosques are fair game for inspections,” a Bush administration official said.  “We will put down new requirements that force the Iraqi regime to comply with the spirit of their obligations to the weapons inspectors.”

Under the draft resolution, Iraq would have a seven-day deadline to comply after being notified by U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan, officials said.  If Iraq failed to comply the resolution would authorize “all means necessary” — which is understood to include military action — to force compliance, according to the Washington Post.

Iraq would also have to submit within 30 days of the resolution’s adoption a “full, final and complete declaration” on the status of the country’s programs involving weapons of mass destruction, the Post reported.  U.S. officials said this condition would allow them to verify Iraq’s claims.

“Teams shall have unrestricted rights of entry into and out of Iraq, the right to free, unrestricted and immediate movement to and from inspection sites and buildings, including unrestricted access to presidential sites,” the draft resolution says. 

Any “false statements or omissions in the declaration submitted by Iraq to the council and failure by Iraq at any time to comply and cooperate fully in accordance with the provisions laid out in this resolution shall constitute further breach of Iraq’s obligations,” it says.

The United Nations should have the chance to force Hussein to surrender his weapons of mass destruction, U.S. President George W. Bush said Friday.  If the United Nations fails to do so, however, the United States and its allies would act, he said.

“He can either get rid of his weapons and the United Nations can act, or the United States will lead a coalition to disarm this man,” Bush said.  “I want to give peace a chance to work.  I want the United Nations to work.  I want him to do what he’s said he would do.  But, for the sake of our future, now’s the time.”

Iraq Opposes U.S. Resolution

Iraq denounced the draft resolution yesterday.  Baghdad has agreed to readmit U.N. weapons inspectors under conditions outlined in past U.N. resolutions and would not accept any new requirements, Vice President Taha Yassin Ramadan said.

“The stance on the inspectors has been decided and any additional procedure that aims at harming Iraq will not be accepted,” he said.

The issue is for the U.N. Security Council to decide, not Iraq, the White House said yesterday.

“Iraq does not have a say in this matter,” White House spokesman Ari Fleischer said.  “Even if they did, it again shows that they want to string things out, change their tune and build up their arms” (Preston/Tyler, New York Times, Sept. 29).

Security Council Members Reject Resolution

Meanwhile, French, Chinese and Russian officials have said they want to avoid a resolution that includes automatic military action (Colum Lynch, Washington Post, Sept. 28).  Russia said yesterday that it agrees with France and China that military action is not needed because Iraq has already agreed to readmit weapons inspectors (see GSN, Sept. 18).

Interfax Sunday quoted senior Russian officials who said they are “disappointed” with the U.S. draft resolution.

“In its current form, this resolution cannot be implemented by its very nature,” they said.  The Interfax report was released following a meeting between Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov and U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Marc Grossman (Margaret Coker, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Sept. 30).

The recently released British dossier on Iraq’s suspected WMD programs did not convince Russia, Ivanov said (see GSN, Sept. 24).

“It is inspectors, working in conjunction with Security Council resolutions, who can provide answers to all these questions,” he said.  “We believe it would be an unforgivable error to delay the dispatch of international monitors.”

Any U.S.-led military action against Iraq would have “incalculable consequences,” Chinese Premier Zhu Rongji said after meeting with French Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin.

“If the weapons inspections do not take place, if we do not have clear proof and if we do not have the authorization of the Security Council, we cannot launch a military attack on Iraq,” Zhu said (Lynch, Washington Post).

French officials said Saturday that Bush had not persuaded French President Jacques Chirac to support the U.S. draft resolution.  France has proposed a two-stage approach toward Iraq — one U.N. resolution establishing inspections and a second resolution, to be passed if Hussein fails to comply fully, that would authorize military action (Preston/Tyler, New York Times).

Russia and China have also said they support the two-stage approach, according to the Atlanta Journal-Constitution (Coker, Atlanta Journal-Constitution).

British Prime Minister Tony Blair, the lone U.S. ally on the U.N. Security Council, yesterday indicated tentative support for the French proposal on two U.N. resolutions, saying he could not rule it out.

“We can leave that open for the moment,” Blair said, referring to the French proposal.  “The most important thing is to get a very clear determination from the U.N. Security Council saying that everything we said about Iraq in the past is correct — that these chemical, biological and potentially nuclear weapons pose a real danger to the world, and Iraq has to be disarmed from them” (Agence France-Presse, Sept. 29).

Inspectors, Iraqi Officials Begin Talks

Today in Vienna U.N. weapons inspectors began meeting with Iraqi officials at the International Atomic Energy Agency headquarters to discuss arrangements for a new round of inspections (see GSN, Sept. 24). 

The discussions are being held under the presumption that no Iraqi site is off-limits to inspectors, said Blix, head of the U.N. Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission, which is in charge of investigating Iraq’s suspected biological and chemical weapons.

“The purpose of the talks is that if and when inspections come about, we will not have clashes inside” over what the inspectors will do, Blix said.  “We’d rather go through these things outside in advance.”

U.N. inspectors and Iraqi officials plan to discuss “practical arrangements” for renewed inspections, for example, where inspectors will be based, what security measures will be in place for them and how samples will be transported out of Iraq.  Jacques Baute, head of the IAEA Action Team, which is responsible for Iraq’s nuclear weapons program, plans to join Blix in the discussions, IAEA spokeswoman Melissa Fleming said.

The success of the renewed weapons inspections will depend on Iraq’s cooperation, Fleming said.  U.N. inspectors withdrew from Baghdad four years ago, shortly before U.S. and British air strikes launched because of Iraq’s lack of cooperation then.

“We’re certainly aware of what happened last time,” Fleming said.  “But we uncovered Iraq’s secret nuclear program, and we dismantled it.  We were successful last time.  If we get unfettered access, we will be successful again.”

“We’re looking for Iraqi cooperation here, but these are not political talks,” she said.  “We are not going to be negotiating here.  We’re going to be laying on the table the requirements we’re going to have as inspectors” (Associated Press/New York Times, Sept. 30).

Iraq to Deliver Reports

At the Vienna meeting, Iraq officials are expected to deliver three years worth of semiannual monitoring reports that Baghdad has refused to turn over since the end of inspections, according to the Washington Post.

The reports detail Iraq’s accounting for the number and location of its dual-use items — equipment with both civilian and WMD uses, the Post reported.  Senior Iraqi official Saeed Hasan agreed during a Sept. 17 meeting to give the reports to Blix as part of preparations for renewed inspections. 

The reports will be compared with information from 1991 to 1998 and should help inspectors determine a baseline of what dual-use equipment Iraq had previously and what has been introduced since the end of inspections, further helping inspectors create a priority list for inspections, the Post reported.

Iraq’s delivery of the reports could be a sign that Hussein is serious about cooperating with inspections, U.N. officials have said.  A Bush administration spokesman, however, described it as “one very small step against a pile of obligations he has ignored” (Walter Pincus, Washington Post, Sept. 29).

For further information, see:

UNMOVIC

U.N. Resolution 687 (Sanctions Regime)

U.N. Resolution 1409 (“Smart Sanctions”)

U.S. State Department Fact Sheet on Iraqi Sanctions Revisions

IAEA Iraq Action Team


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U.S. Response:  Military Is Not Ready for Chemical Attack, Memo Says

The United States has not sufficiently developed equipment to protect soldiers from chemical and biological weapons, says an internal congressional memo from the House Government Reform Subcommittee on National Security, Veterans Affairs and International Relations (see GSN, May 20).

The Sept. 26 document cites shortcomings in equipment and Defense Department management, adding, however, that there has been “much progress” in the area (John Donnelly, Defense Week, Sept. 30).

The subcommittee plans to hear testimony tomorrow on military readiness for chemical or biological attacks.

“I had little confidence in our capability 10 years ago to defend against chemical and biological attack,” said subcommittee Chairman Christopher Shays (R-Conn.).  “I do believe it is a lot better but there’s part of me that wants to second-guess the military based on past experience” (Tony Capaccio, Bloomberg.com, Sept. 27).


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International Response:  NATO, Russia Complete Anti-Terrorism Exercise

NATO member countries, former Soviet states and Russia completed a joint anti-terrorism exercise Friday that simulated an attack on a chemical installation (see GSN, Sept. 26).

The three-day “Bogorodsk 2002” exercise at the Russian Emergency Situations Ministry in Noginsk involved 1,200 firefighters and emergency response personnel, according to the Associated Press.  Participants extinguished a fire at the installation and performed search and rescue operations while support personnel provided supplies, AP reported.

The exercise demonstrated that NATO and Russia need to cooperate to deal with terrorist attacks, officials said, adding that they were pleased at the results.

“We cannot face these kinds of incidents one nation isolated from the other,” said Juan Martinez-Esparza, NATO’s assistant secretary general in charge of civil emergency planning.  “We have to cooperate.”

The United States did not take part in the exercise.  A team of about 30 observers from various U.S. agencies, including the Federal Emergency Management Agency and the Defense Department, did attend.

“There are things here that the United States can learn and I think that we will learn from our observations,” FEMA Deputy Director Michael Brown said (Eric Engleman, Associated Press/Moscow Times, Sept. 30).


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Nuclear Weapons

United States:  Energy Facility Defends Handling of Returned Fuel

Despite a warning that better inspection procedures are needed, the U.S. Energy Department continues to check just 10 percent of each shipment of highly enriched uranium returned to the United States by non-U.S. governments, South Carolina’s Greenville News reported last week.

The United States loaned nuclear fuel rods to 41 countries in the 1950s and 1960s, allowing recipients to use the material for peaceful research but requiring that they eventually return the spent fuel.  In a November 2000 study, the Energy Department’s Office of Independent Oversight criticized procedures to inspect the returned uranium, warning that countries could return fake fuel while diverting weapon-grade material for military uses.

Officials at the Energy Department’s Savannah River Site — which has received 24 shipments to date and expects 30 more in the next several years — said a procedure to inspect 10 percent of shipments is sufficient, the News reported.

“It is a statistically significant sample,” said Cindy Brizes, an official at Savannah River.  The facility is acquiring equipment to better check the uranium, she added.  U.S. officials already know what is in the shipments before they reach the United States, Savannah River officials said.

U.S. officials do not expect to receive all the loaned uranium as some countries might dispose of the uranium on their own and some might not cooperate with the program, officials said (Tim Smith, Greenville News, Sept. 26).


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CTBT:  Georgia Ratifies Treaty

Georgia ratified the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty Friday (see GSN, Sept. 18).  To date, 166 nations have signed the treaty and 95 have ratified it, including 31 of the 44 nations whose ratifications are necessary for the treaty to enter into force (CTBT Organization Web site, Sept. 30).


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Biological Weapons

U.S. Response:  New CDC Director Julie Gerberding Takes the Helm

By Eliza Newlin Carney

National Journal

ATLANTA — It’s easy to see why Julie Gerberding, the new chief of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, calls her agency’s emergency operations center “an embarrassing physical space.”  The center, which acts as a 24-hour communications hub for national health emergencies, is anything but state-of-the-art.

Although a snazzy digital wall clock records the time in zones around the world, and a dozen or so health experts bustled about on a recent day tracking the West Nile virus, the place has an unmistakably thrown-together feel.  In the single open workroom, computers are plunked down on tables, blackboards adorn one wall and directional signs are printed out on office paper.

It’s little wonder that Gerberding’s first move after taking over as CDC director in July was to speed up the construction of a more modern operations center.  Within two years, Gerberding wants to open the doors to a permanent, cutting-edge command center for emergencies.  In the meantime, she’s hustling to get the CDC’s staff into an interim operations center by Oct. 31.  The interim center, to be housed in a sub-basement, will boast some $4 million worth of satellite phones, videoconference equipment and other high-tech devices.

Gerberding is so eager to speed things along that she authorized construction crews to work on the interim center 24 hours a day, seven days a week.  “24/7 construction is not something you do lightly,” acknowledged Gerberding during a recent interview with National Journal at the CDC’s Atlanta headquarters.  But Gerberding hasn’t been taking anything lightly during her three months as CDC director.  As the first woman to head the country’s leading public health organization, she has been on overdrive since day one.

For Gerberding, 47, directing the $6.8 billion agency, with its 8,600 employees in 11 institutes and divisions, swamps any other challenge she has faced during more than two decades as a doctor, research scientist and infectious-disease expert, including four years at the CDC.  She is stepping in at a time when the CDC, an agency of the U.S. Health and Human Services Department, is under greater public scrutiny than at any other point in its 56-year history.  After being long neglected by policy makers in Washington, the CDC is now a lead player in national defense.

It’s a new and somewhat uncomfortable role for the CDC.  Established in 1946 to track malaria in troops returning from World War II, the agency made its reputation hunting down natural killers such as smallpox, Legionnaires’ disease and the Ebola virus.  More recently, the CDC has turned its attention to chronic illnesses such as heart disease and to preventing injury and exposure to environmental toxins.

But thrust onto the front lines of the war on terrorism, the agency has stumbled.  Last year’s anthrax attacks exposed alarming weaknesses in the country’s public health system and at the CDC.  The agency was faulted for responding too slowly and for failing to communicate effectively with medical providers and the public.  Gerberding’s task is to pick up the pieces and essentially reinvent the agency from the ground up.

At the same time, the war on terrorism could distract the CDC from other, equally urgent threats.  Insidious new germs are spreading domestically, spurred in part by global travel.  Drug-resistant bacteria are emerging more quickly than scientists can develop medications to fight them.  The AIDS virus infects 14,000 new people a day worldwide.  And obesity and diabetes are becoming national epidemics.

The CDC faces these multiple challenges at a time when its physical plant is literally falling apart.  The agency recently unveiled two gleaming new laboratories to research infectious diseases and environmental pathogens.  But most of its laboratories remain inadequate.  In some, plastic tarps protect equipment worth hundreds of thousands of dollars from ceiling leaks.  Other laboratories are infested with rats, mice or termites.

Gerberding has no illusions about the magnitude of the challenge she faces.  On the eve of the Oct. 4 anniversary that marks one year since the CDC confirmed that anthrax had been unleashed in the U.S. mail, Gerberding is in a race against the clock.  Her agency is better prepared than it was a year ago, but it is still not ready.  Asked to describe her reaction to being tapped by President George W. Bush to head the agency, Gerberding replied, “I was honored and thrilled — and a little intimidated.”

An Unlikely Warrior?

Gerberding is a somewhat surprising choice to head the CDC.  She was less well-known than some other candidates, including Robert Redfield, a former Army physician and controversial AIDS vaccine researcher.  Nor is she a particularly forceful or flashy leader.  Outwardly low-key, approachable and even soft-spoken, Gerberding has a reputation as a “people” person — the kind of doctor who would give a frightened patient a hug.

But Gerberding is also known for being cool and decisive under pressure.  She impressed Health and Human Services Secretary Tommy Thompson during last year’s anthrax crisis when she quietly assumed a central role in coordinating the CDC’s response.  As acting deputy director of the CDC’s National Center for Infectious Diseases, Gerberding emerged as an unflappable spokeswoman at a time of near-chaos.

“She was up all the time,” said Tanja Popovic, chief of the CDC’s new epidemiological investigations laboratory, who worked closely with Gerberding during the anthrax investigation.  “She was always available.  You could call her at any time of the day.  I actually never saw her lose her cool.”

When then-CDC Director Jeffrey Koplan abruptly stepped down March 31, Thompson installed Gerberding as one of four acting principal deputy directors to keep the agency afloat.  Then he began lobbying the White House to put her in charge.  It was not an easy sell, said Kevin Keane, assistant Health and Human Services secretary for public affairs.  “They obviously didn’t know much about Julie at the White House,” Keane said.  “So he had a great deal of work to do to educate them as to what her talents were and why she would fit.”

But Thompson was persistent.  He had been burned before in his efforts to fill numerous vacancies throughout the department.  His No. 1 choice to head the Food and Drug Administration, food safety expert Lester Crawford, was made deputy commissioner but was never installed as chief.

Gerberding’s gender may have had something to do with her selection.  All of the other heads of health agencies under Bush are men.  Her big selling point, however, appears to have been her skills as a communicator.  Those who know her say that Gerberding has a knack for explaining complicated scientific concepts in plain language and for getting along with multiple department heads and constituent groups.

The medical community greeted her appointment with a sigh of relief.  Some had feared that Bush would pick a CDC head with a background in politics, not science.  One possible candidate, for example, was former Representative Tom Coburn (R-Okla.), a socially conservative obstetrician.  But Gerberding, who is married with one stepdaughter, is a scientist to the core.  She’s so apolitical that she declined to tell National Journal her party affiliation.

Raised in Estelline, S.D., the daughter of a teacher and a law enforcement officer, Gerberding knew at age 4 that she wanted to be a doctor.  She went on to earn her B.A. in chemistry and biology at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland.  She did an internship in internal medicine at the University of California (San Francisco) and served as chief medical resident at San Francisco General Hospital.

Her hospital work in San Francisco in the 1980s ended up shaping her career.  The AIDS epidemic was just coming on the scene, and Gerberding developed a passion for fighting infectious disease, particularly HIV.  She gained prominence for being among the first to help write guidelines to protect hospital workers from contracting the virus.

She also became the first woman to receive tenure in her department at the University of California, where she ultimately headed the university’s Prevention Epicenter, a multidisciplinary program to prevent hospital infections.  On joining the CDC in 1998 as director of its Division of Healthcare Quality Promotion, she continued her focus on hospital safety, tackling areas such as drug-resistant infections and medical errors.

She took over the CDC at a difficult time.  Morale had suffered after the departure of Koplan, who was tremendously popular.  Speculation was rampant that Koplan had left because of fallout from the anthrax crisis or because of clashes with Thompson.  In an interview, Koplan denied the rumors, saying simply that it was “time to move on.”  He was a holdover from the Clinton administration and had served just over three years in the position.

Gerberding has big shoes to fill, but she has been warmly received so far.  “She’s very, very smart-and that’s probably one of the most important characteristics that a CDC director needs,” said David Fleming, the agency’s deputy director of science and public health.  “But she is a quick study and articulate as well, and that doesn’t always go with being smart,” he said.

Good News, Bad News

Gerberding’s communications skills may be the medicine that the CDC needs most.  At the time of the anthrax crisis last fall, the agency was excoriated for a host of communications failures.  State and local medical professionals were unsure of whom to turn to for solid medical information.  Agencies at various levels didn’t coordinate messages, prompting citizens to wonder who was in charge.

Notwithstanding the professional performance of Gerberding and many others on the CDC staff, agency officials were faulted for being inaccessible to the news media and for giving out conflicting information.  For their part, some at the CDC were frustrated that Thompson had seized the microphone and was funneling press queries through his office.

“I’m proud to say we learned many lessons,” said Gerberding of the anthrax investigation.  “One very critical lesson was communication.  We needed to prepare people for the fact that we didn’t have all the answers.  We’re used to having all the answers; at least our scientists want to have all the answers before they go forward with public information.  And in a time of crisis, that doesn’t work.”

The CDC’s new modus operandi, said Gerberding, will be to admit it up front when the story is incomplete.  “We have to prepare people for the expectation that ... we’ll tell them everything we can tell them today, and we’ll make the recommendations based on that knowledge today,” she said.  “But tomorrow it may be different.”

To combat confusion within the CDC, Gerberding has tapped immunization expert Joseph Henderson to fill a new position:  associate director for terrorism, preparedness and response.  Henderson, whose previous experience includes 10 years tackling nuclear, biological and chemical warfare with the Air Force, will coordinate all CDC terrorism response activities.

Gerberding herself has given numerous interviews and has started holding press conferences at CDC headquarters in Atlanta, a new practice for the agency.  The press conferences follow a “telebriefing” format that enables reporters nationwide to watch and ask questions, as in a telephone conference call.

Gerberding has also gotten Thompson to sign off on an emergency communications plan for the CDC, making it less likely that her agency and the Health and Human Services Department will veer off in different directions.  She has expanded her communications staff, which has set out to improve service to a broad audience that includes medical clinicians and policy makers.

A major hurdle Gerberding faces is the CDC’s physical isolation.  “You have a geographic divide that’s very real,” said HHS’s Keane.  “They’re in Atlanta, and we’re in Washington.  So you can’t just walk across the street and sit down at a table and work on issues in the same way that the FBI and the Department of Justice could, for example.” Gerberding has handled that problem by spending one to two days a week in her office at HHS.  “Her presence makes a difference,” Keane noted.

Such tactics also help explain why she has kept the peace with officials at HHS and other agencies — a difficult task with so many players on the bioterrorism field.  “She manifests a nice balance between having very good leadership abilities as well as being a team player,” noted Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

Gerberding has also made herself visible on Capitol Hill.  “Just as soon as she received her appointment, she didn’t waste any time,” said Representative Saxby Chambliss (R-Ga.).  “She came to the Hill and set up meetings with critical members of the [Georgia] delegation and critical members of Congress.”

To get a better sense of how the CDC looks from the outside, Gerberding has visited local health departments, medical experts and constituent groups.  The news from the field has been good and bad, she conceded.  States have expressed appreciation for the CDC’s willingness to deploy personnel locally.  But Gerberding said she has also learned that the CDC needs to be “more proactive in providing information and tools for the front-line clinicians, who are very often the first line of public health.”

Public health experts agree that the CDC must build better relationships with health experts in the private sector and with practicing physicians as well as with academic medical institutions.  The field of public health and the day-to-day practice of medicine have become too segregated, argued Gail Cassell, vice president for scientific affairs at Eli Lilly, a Gerberding ally who lobbied for her appointment.  “It’s a necessity that they be better integrated, starting today,” Cassell said.

Still, some observers see progress in the CDC’s handling this summer of the West Nile virus.  Gerberding seized on the outbreak, the worst ever nationally, as an opportunity to practice the procedures that would take effect in the event of a terrorist attack.  The CDC is implementing its emergency communications plan during the outbreak.  The emergency operations center, underequipped though it is, is also in full swing.

“We’ve chosen to use this as an example of the kind of event that CDC needs to be planning for,” Fleming explained.  “So in essence, [we’re] practicing on West Nile for a larger infectious disease threat, [a] bioterrorism threat.”

Also paying dividends is a grant program of close to $1 billion, authorized by Congress earlier this year, to improve emergency response at state and local public health departments.  CDC and HHS officials have toiled to get the money out as swiftly as possible.

“One good sign is, during the West Nile outbreak, how quickly state after state was able to identify those cases and take action,” said Mohammad Akhter, executive director of the American Public Health Association.  “If it wasn’t for Sept. 11, and if it wasn’t for the CDC’s preparedness, we probably would have missed some of those cases.  This is a very good sign that the nation is better prepared than it was a year ago.”

Not There Yet

Still, big problems loom for the CDC.  A major open question is how a U.S. homeland security department will work with the agency.  In theory, at least, scientists studying terrorist biological or chemical agents would remain at the CDC, but homeland security department officials would set their priorities.

“The homeland security department is not taking on essential public health services,” Gerberding said.  “They are taking on the role of coordinating the intelligence, coordinating the large-scale response community.”

But Gerberding has also repeatedly emphasized that the war on terrorism and on other public health threats are inextricably linked.  Her philosophy as director is that the anti-terrorism effort must be built on a strong public health infrastructure — and that fighting terrorism, in turn, will better prepare the CDC to combat other health threats.  Establishing a new department undercuts this dual approach, some public health experts warn.

“It’s extremely difficult to separate out the skill set and people who would do a bioterrorism event from those who would do a naturally occurring outbreak,” Koplan noted.

A larger danger for the CDC may be that its consuming focus on terrorism will distract it from other illnesses and from its long-term prevention mandate.  “CDC is at great risk of having their portfolio knocked out of balance by the tremendous energies now being placed on terrorism,” said Louis Cooper, president of the American Academy of Pediatrics.  “And that’s a real concern to many of us.”

Even as government leaders scrambled this year to stockpile the smallpox vaccine, for example, the CDC contended with an alarming shortage of routine childhood vaccines for diphtheria, measles, mumps, pertussis, rubella and tetanus, among others.  The crisis has largely abated, but CDC officials can’t guarantee that it won’t recur.  The problem is that not enough drug manufacturers are making the vaccines, which are not lucrative to produce.

In the meantime, according to Cooper, the CDC’s focus on terrorism made it harder to come up with a short-term solution.  “Here we were, trying to create recommendations so that states and private doctors could ration existing vaccines, yet many of the people who could have helped in that process were pulled off to work on issues around terrorism,” he said.

Gerberding insisted that the agency remains true to its long-term mission.  “CDC is not focused on bioterrorism,” she said.  “CDC is focused on public health.  And detecting and responding to emerging public health threats is our core business.  That is what we were founded on; that is what we have been doing for decades.  And so biological terrorism, or chemical terrorism, or nuclear terrorism are just examples of one more public health threat that we need to identify and respond to.”

Government resources, however, can stretch only so far.  The budget squeeze on the CDC will only intensify in the event of continued economic recession or war.  And when it comes to fighting over the budget pie in Washington, the CDC has historically lost out.

Nothing illustrates that better than a visit in the outskirts of Atlanta to the CDC’s Chamblee campus, which houses the agency’s National Center for Environmental Health, where scientists perform measurements on environmental toxins such as lead in blood.  At Chamblee, dilapidated military barracks-style buildings built after World War II stand alongside a new laboratory that houses some of the cleanest, most antiseptically sealed research stations in the United States.

In the old buildings, which were built without central air conditioning, engineers have installed portable cooling units in the ceilings.  The trouble is, condensation from the units forced CDC workers to rig up complicated drip systems that include gutters from Home Depot and plastic tarps.  Under this hodgepodge stand some of the best instruments in the world for making precise measurements.  But because the air conditioning doesn’t work properly, scientists need to cool one of the machines, which cost hundreds of thousands of dollars, with a $19 fan.  A while back, the laboratory lost a $340,000 instrument when a pipe broke.

“If I was trying to attract a very advanced, top-notch scientist to do the threshold advance work we do, and he ... or she came in here and saw that, you can imagine that would not be very attractive,” said Jim Pirkle, deputy director for science of the CDC’s National Center for Environmental Health.  “And it would not really matter what I said about what kind of support we get from the CDC.”

On the other hand, the immaculate and gleaming laboratory next door might make a chemist drool.  Here, visitors must clean and cover their shoes before entering, and filters on the ceilings purify the air.  Light pours in from plate glass windows, and outside, a marble fountain splashes water into a kidney-shaped pool.  “Moving 100 people into this building has been just fabulous for morale,” noted Pirkle.  Unfortunately, another 150 scientists at Chamblee are still working in the old laboratories.

At Chamblee and at the CDC’s main campus in Atlanta, construction workers are toiling to remedy that disparity.  The agency’s ambitious $1.4 billion master plan includes more new laboratories, a new emergency operations center and a global communications and training facility that will act as a public gateway for the CDC.

But even in a best-case scenario, the master plan won’t be completed until 2005.  The plan initially extended over 10 years, but has been accelerated to a five-year time frame.  To stay on schedule, Congress must appropriate $250 million a year for new buildings and improvements.  The money came through in 2002, but for fiscal 2003, Bush has requested only $110 million for the master plan.

“I thought it was unconscionable for the administration to cut CDC [construction] funding by two-thirds,” said Senator Max Cleland (D-Ga.), who is still negotiating on Capitol Hill for a higher amount.  “That doesn’t make any sense.”

The CDC does receive some support from the private sector.  The money to outfit the interim emergency operations center that Gerberding is so eager to open came from Atlanta philanthropist Bernie Marcus, Home Depot’s co-founder.  Marcus donated $3.9 million for state-of-the-art equipment after seeing the emergency command center that the CDC had slapped together in an auditorium during the anthrax outbreak.

Marcus and other Atlanta business leaders have set up a group dubbed the Friends of the CDC to lobby on the agency’s behalf.  A congressionally authorized nonprofit called the CDC Foundation is also raising money to help the agency and will administer Marcus’s $3.9 million contribution.

Such efforts, however, will never fully fund the CDC’s master plan.  Ultimately, it will fall to Gerberding to convince policy makers that the CDC needs new buildings — now.  Her own office offers something of a lesson in crisis management.  While the outer vestibule has tastefully hung gold-framed prints of Grecian urns, the walls of her office are bare.  It’s hard to see how Gerberding will have the leisure to decorate them anytime soon.


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Anthrax:  EPA Orders Third Test of Brentwood Cleaning Equipment

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency has ordered the Postal Service to conduct a third test of the equipment to clean up the anthrax-contaminated Brentwood Road postal facility in Washington, officials said Thursday (see GSN, Sept. 20).

The Postal Service previously conducted a 10-hour test of the “scrubbing” procedure that will be used to neutralize the chlorine dioxide gas used to decontaminate the Brentwood facility.  EPA officials said, however, that a 10-hour test was insufficient to simulate the conditions the scrubbing equipment would undergo during the decontamination process, according to the Washington Post. 

Instead, a 24-hour test would better simulate conditions and guarantee that the Postal Service would get EPA approval to clean up the facility, said Marcos Aquino, EPA coordinator for the cleanup effort.  The 24-hour test is expected to take place within the next two weeks, the Post reported.

The Postal Service will obey the EPA’s order to conduct another test, said Thomas Day, Postal Service vice president of engineering.  He added that “to be perfectly candid, there was a slight disagreement between experts” over the accuracy of the prior test.

Postal employees and community leaders said they had concerns over the Brentwood decontamination effort after learning that the EPA and Postal Service disagreed on the success of the last test.

“At this point, I think we need to talk seriously about an evacuation program for the area because I’m not comfortable with you anymore,” Washington City Council member Vincent Orange told postal officials during a community meeting Thursday night.  “I’m not going to tell the 75,000 people I represent that I’m comfortable with this process” (Petula Dvorak, Washington Post, Sept. 27).

GSN Anthrax Attack Chronology (Dec. 12, 2001)

Journal of the American Medical Association Background on Anthrax

CDC Frequently Asked Questions About Anthrax


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Chemical Weapons

Pakistan:  Islamabad Opens Chemical Plants to International Inspectors

Pakistan has agreed to open five large chemical factories to inspection for the first time since joining the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons in 1993, the Times of India reported today.

Authorities have nearly completed extensive security measures and other arrangements for visits to the plants, which include Dawood Hercules, Fauji Fertilizer, Pak-American Fertilizer and Pak-Arab Fertilizer, according to the Times of India.

“Keeping in view the nature of the job to be done by the inspectors and possible subversion or strike by fugitive al-Qaeda people, security is the main concern for the government and elaborate arrangements have been made in this regard,” Pakistani officials said.

Pakistan has scheduled the inspections to take place in one 24-hour period, according to the Times.  A Pakistani daily, the News, reported that it is unclear how inspectors will be able to visit the five geographically dispersed facilities in one day (The Times of India, Sept. 30).


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United States:  Report Examines Neutralization at Blue Grass Depot

The U.S. Defense Department could use any of three neutralization methods to destroy old chemical weapons at Kentucky’s Blue Grass Army Depot, says a report released this week (see GSN, March 25).

Community groups have protested the Army’s plan to incinerate the weapons, citing the high population density around the depot and the potential for an accident, Louisville, Ky., Courier-Journal reported.

The report, which the National Research Council completed for the Defense Department, examines three processes to neutralize the stockpiles of weapons but does not recommend any one of them over the others.  Water and an acidic compound break down the chemicals in two of the processes, and in the third option the chemicals are neutralized in a bath of electrically charged water in the third option (see GSN, Jan. 4).

The Pentagon will probably decide on a disposal method before the end of this year.

“The community and I have long believed there was a better way to tackle the challenges of destroying the stockpile at the Blue Grass Army Depot,” Senator Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said (James Carroll, Courier-Journal, Sept. 27).


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Missile Proliferation

India:  Sea-to-Surface Missile Tests Complete

India has completed testing on its first sea-to-surface missile, the Times of India reported yesterday (see GSN, Dec. 12, 2001).  The successful testing of the Danush — the sea-based version of the Prithvi missile — paves the way for its induction into the Indian navy.  The Danush uses a liquid propulsion system and has a range of 250 to 300 nautical miles (Times of India, Sept. 29).


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Missile Defense



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