By Jim Wurst Global Security Newswire
GENEVA — The 2003 meeting of the parties to the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) opened today with numerous gloomy assessments by delegations about the state of disarmament and nonproliferation, but with disagreements over responsibility for the situation (see GSN, April 23, 2002).
New Zealand’s minister of disarmament, Marian Hobbs, said today, “The past year has been an inauspicious one for the NPT in general and for the issue of nuclear disarmament in particular.”
Hobbs was speaking on behalf of the New Agenda Coalition of Brazil, Egypt, Ireland, Mexico, New Zealand, South Africa, and Sweden, an ad hoc group working to persuade the nuclear powers to embark on a series of steps leading to nuclear disarmament.
“Trends have been dismal,” she added. “Deeply unsettling events in the Middle East and in Asia surely must serve as a spur to our efforts to fully implement the NPT regime and to underscore emphatically the significance for global stability of compliance with international obligations as well as the universality of the treaty.”
Two of those trends are the withdrawal of North Korea from the NPT, which became final this month (see GSN, April 10), and the invasion of Iraq, an NPT state, which was undertaken in part because of charges that Iraq was developing weapons of mass destruction, including nuclear weapons (see related GSN story, today).
The chairman of the meeting, Hungarian Ambassador Laszlo Molnar, opened the proceedings saying that, with the unanimous support of the parties, the nameplate of North Korea “would be held in custody” by him for the duration of the meeting — in other words, the issue would be taken off the table.
He said a debate over the country’s status would “serve as a detriment” to the work of the NPT. Molnar later told Global Security Newswire that the meeting was “heading for a procedural quagmire” over how to deal with North Korea’s withdrawal and that he took the “unprecedented step” of taking the nameplate in custody “so as not to prejudice the outcome of the ongoing negotiations” over North Korea’s nuclear program.
Most countries called on North Korea to reverse its decision and submit its nuclear facilities to international inspections. Speaking for the New Agenda, Hobbs said the group “supports dialogue over confrontation. We hope for an early, peaceful resolution of the situation, leading to [North Korea’s] return to full compliance with the treaty’s terms.”
Argentina took a harder line, calling on the committee to condemn North Korea’s action.
U.S. Ambassador John Wolf said the dangers to the NPT come from “irresponsible” parties to the treaty, meaning, for the most part, North Korea and Iran (see GSN, April 11).
“Iran provides perhaps the most fundamental challenge ever faced by the NPT,” he said. Under the guise of a civilian nuclear program, Wolf said, “Iran has been conducting an alarming, clandestine program to acquire sensitive nuclear capabilities that we believe make sense only as part of a nuclear weapons program.”
Wolf said the NPT “is dangerously out of balance. Disarmament continues,” while nonproliferation is weakened. “It is not credible to argue that we are not on a steady downward path towards the goals of [nuclear disarmament]. Yet, the path for nuclear proliferation is spiraling upward,” said Wolf. “The NPT’s core purpose is preventing the spread of nuclear weapons. While the treaty has been largely successful in this respect, irresponsible NPT parties are taking action that pose fundamental challenges to the treaty,” Wolf added.
“The time for business as usual is over. The time for resolute action is here,” he said. “We must choose to strengthen our political commitment to the NPT and build stronger barriers against those who try to violate the treaty’s fundamental obligations.”
Wolf made only a passing reference to Iraq, grouping it with North Korea and Iran as countries developing nuclear weapons under the cover of peaceful nuclear programs. Iraq was represented by diplomats accredited to the United Nations under the government of Saddam Hussein. Nawfal Basri, a second secretary from the mission attending today’s meeting, told GSN that there have been no challenges to the credentials of any members of the delegation.
Hobbs referred to Security Council debates over Iraq in her comments, saying that “the recent international debate” over weapons of mass destruction “underlined international concerns about the legitimacy, possession and possible use of such weapons. These statements should provide further impetus to international efforts to de-legitimize all nuclear weapons and to hasten international efforts towards nuclear disarmament.”
“The real guarantee against the use of any weapons of mass destruction anywhere, including nuclear weapons, is their complete elimination and the assurance that they will never be used or produced again,” Hobbs said.
South Africa also sought to broaden the nuclear debate beyond Iraq. Pretoria’s representative, Peter Goosen, said during the council debate that “strong statements … were repeatedly made about the threat that is posed by weapons of mass destruction, about the need to eliminate this threat, about the need to destroy these weapons by many of the members of the international community and about the legitimacy of their possession.” He added, “It is our belief that given this now universal condemnation of the possession, proliferation and possible use of weapons of mass destruction, we should move even more decisively to implement” nuclear disarmament by all states.
This is the annual preparatory committee meeting leading up to the treaty’s 2005 review conference. Molnar told participants, “Only if we avoid the temptation of complacency or pessimism, and focus our efforts on what united and now what divides us, can we expect to continue to build on the progress achieved by our predecessors. Our work must ensure that the NPT and the larger nonproliferation regime remain vital and robust as a pillar of international security.”
This preparatory meeting concludes May 9.
By David McGlinchey Global Security Newswire
ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — China does not intend to support any U.N. Security Council action against North Korea over its alleged nuclear weapons development, a Chinese military adviser said here Friday (see GSN, April 25).
“There is no need for the Security Council to take action on this,” said Dingli Shen, a consultant to China’s Defense Ministry and a professor at Fudan University in Shanghai.
Shen spoke here at an international security conference, hosted by the U.S. Energy Department’s Sandia National Laboratories.
The United States held talks last week with diplomats from China and Pyongyang over the nuclear crisis on the Korean Peninsula. At the start of those talks, a North Korean official reportedly told U.S. Assistant Secretary of State James Kelly that Pyongyang has nuclear weapons and is prepared to test or export them.
Assistant Secretary of State for Arms Control Stephen Rademaker said last week that if Pyongyang foiled the talks, the North Korean issue should be forwarded to the U.N. Security Council. He also suggested that Beijing might support Security Council action (see GSN, April 24).
Shen said that within the council there could be “a certain amount of discussion [but] no action is needed.”
Throughout the six-month crisis, Washington has pushed for multilateral talks but has also refused to rule out using military force against North Korea. Shen dismissed the possibility of military action.
“It will not come to a military conflict,” he said.
Talks Not a Failure
The North Korean nuclear weapons claim may have caused the first round of talks to end on a sour note, but the negotiations were not a failure, according to Shen.
“That depends on the definition. Nobody would expect a breakthrough in the first meeting so it was not a failure,” he told Global Security Newswire.
Shen was asked what comes next for Washington and Pyongyang.
“We hope they continue to talk, [we want] continued talks between the D.P.R.K. and the U.S.,” he said.
Clay Moltz, director of the Nonproliferation Program at the Monterey Institute’s Center for Nonproliferation Studies, cautiously agreed.
“It’s not a failure, but it certainly wasn’t a success,” Moltz said. He suggested that neither North Korea nor the United States put their best foot forward in the talks. Kelly was the top U.S. official in Pyongyang last October when the United States leveled the nuclear accusations against Pyongyang. The two sides have not had an official diplomatic meeting since (see GSN, Oct. 17, 2002).
“North Korea obviously sent a less than high-level official. The U.S. sent a guy who had some baggage in North Korea’s eyes,” Moltz said, suggesting that Washington send Secretary of State Colin Powell to the next meeting. Powell has often adopted a more moderate position than other Bush administration officials.
Officials need to “rethink the team that attends, on both sides,” Moltz said, but he cautioned that “any negotiation with North Korea is bound to be prolonged.”
Nuclear Claim Doubted
Several officials, including Moltz, doubted that North Korea would make the world aware of its nuclear weapons stockpile in such an understated manner.
Moltz suggested that Pyongyang was trying to intimidate the United States to begin talks but he said the North Korean rhetoric could moderate if talks continue.
“They might have been trying to look as big and bad as possible … some of this may have been trash talk,” he said.
News coverage of North Korea’s nuclear weapon claim last week left unreported a new North Korean proposal to the United States, the Los Angeles Times reported today (see GSN, April 25).
U.S. Assistant Secretary of State James Kelly told Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Yasuo Fukuda that Pyongyang had put forward a “bold, new proposal” to resolve the nuclear standoff on the Korean Peninsula.
Kelly was more optimistic after the most recent talks than he was after contentious negotiations in October, which featured U.S. allegations of nuclear weapons development and marked the beginning of a freeze on diplomatic contact between the two countries.
The proposal is believed to be a modification of previous demands that Washington guarantee North Korea’s safety in return for a freeze in nuclear development.
“North Korea is desperate to have talks. They are not asking for economic assistance at the moment — it is security assurances,” according to Moon Chung-in, a North Korea expert at Yonsei University in Seoul (Barbara Demick, Los Angeles Times, April 27).
A North Korean spokesman alluded to the proposal in a statement Saturday.
“As the DPRK set out a new proposal for the settlement of the nuclear issue, proceeding from its stand to avert a war on the Korean Peninsula and achieve lasting peace and stability, it will follow the U.S. future attitude toward it,” the spokesman said (Korean Central News Agency, April 26).
The United States is considering future talks, according to State Department spokesman Richard Boucher.
Last week, China was pushing for further talks but the United States planned to “analyze everything that happened and was said, and then we would decide back here on whether there should be further talks,” he said. “One or more of the parties may be interested in further talks. At this point, we have not decided yet,” he added (State Department release, April 25).
China was reportedly embarrassed by North Korea’s nuclear announcement and U.S. officials are hoping that will translate into more help in pressuring Pyongyang to dismantle nuclear facilities.
Not Sharing Information?
During a March 31 meeting at the United Nations, North Korea reportedly told State Department officials that it was reprocessing spent fuel rods. That information did not become public until last week, and State Department officials apparently did not share it with other U.S. officials in an effort to keep the proposed talks on track, the Washington Post reported yesterday.
“I think heads will roll over this,” a Bush administration official said. “North Korea for the first time ever officially communicated to the U.S. government that they were reprocessing. That that information was not shared is very disturbing,” he added.
The dispute over information sharing underscores a deeper rift in the administration over U.S. policy on North Korea, the Post reported (Glenn Kessler, Washington Post, April 27).
U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said the Beijing meetings “have not moved the ball forward.”
The State Department, however, was less quick to judge.
“We have made it clear again and again that the intention of going to Beijing was, first of all, not to negotiate, not to try to move the ball forward in that sense, but to say what we had to say, hear what we expected to hear and see the Chinese participate,” Boucher said (Michael Lev, Chicago Tribune, April 27).
Partial Blockade Considered
The United States is also considering blockading some North Korean sea traffic to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons, materials or technologies, the London Telegraph reported.
The approach has been nicknamed “Cuban Lite,” for its similarities to the 1963 Cuban missile crisis.
U.S. forces would perform routine interdiction of ships suspected of carrying nuclear materials.
“It wouldn’t be a total blockade. International shipping would not necessarily be blocked from going in to North Korea, but the passage of North Korean shipping would be contingent on what we knew was being carried. We have the ability to track anything in or out of North Korean waters,” said a senior Pentagon adviser. “The virtue in an interdiction strategy is that it would not be formally imposed … there would not be a big set-piece confrontation with the North Koreans. Instead the U.S. would use its intelligence net and only movie in when it needs to,” he added.
A U.S. official suggested that the domestic U.S. policy divide is not as sharp as is commonly thought. More militant U.S. factions do not want a war now and more pacifist factions understand that North Korea is sending confusing signals (Julian Coman, London Telegraph, April 27).
During Cabinet-level meetings in Pyongyang today, South Korean diplomats urged North Korea to drop its nuclear weapons ambitions, a South Korean spokesman said (see GSN, April 25).
“We again urged the D.P.R.K. to honor the South-North joint declaration on denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula signed in 1992,” said Shin Eon-sang, the South Korean spokesman. “At the 45-minute session, we called on the D.P.R.K. to find a peaceful solution to the nuclear issue in a prompt manner, as Pyongyang has started a multilateral dialogue with related countries,” he added (Xinhua News Service, April 28).
North Korea, however, has told Seoul to keep out of its disagreement with the United States, CNN.com reported.
“The Northern side reiterated that the nuclear issue is a matter between the North and the United States,” said a South Korean statement. “But they said they wanted to resolve the matter peacefully,” the statement added (CNN.com, April 28).
North Korean officials also refused to clarify reports that Pyongyang has claimed possession of nuclear weapons (News24.com, April 28).
North Korean, British Officials to Meet
British officials are scheduled to meet with North Korean diplomats in London this week, according to CNN.com.
“In our view it’s important to remain engaged with North Korea. We want to use every opportunity to put our concerns across and urge them to comply with their international obligations,” a British spokeswoman said.
British Foreign Office Minister Bill Rammel is expected to meet with North Korean Vice Foreign Minister Choe Su Hon. Diplomatic relations between the two countries are “under review,” according to the spokeswoman (CNN.com, April 26).
German Shipment Seized
German authorities have detained the director of a German company suspected of supplying aluminum tubes to North Korea for its nuclear development program, Singapore’s Straits Times reported today.
German authorities said the shipment — containing 22 tons of aluminum tubes — was sent to China’s Shenyang Aircraft Corporation but was actually headed to North Korea.
The shipment left Hamburg, Germany, on a French container ship April 3 and was seized nine days later as it was about to enter the Suez Canal.
The shipment was unloaded in Egypt (Singapore Straits Times, April 28).
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