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Nuclear Terrorism and Nuclear Diversion in the Former
Soviet Union

Dr. William Potter, Director, Center for Nonproliferation
Studies
August 1997
(For a chronology of reported nuclear smuggling cases please see the NIS
Nuclear Trafficking Database.)
Nuclear Terrorism
Nuclear terrorism subsumes a variety of threats. The ones most often discussed
in the Western press involve the seizure of nuclear weapons by renegade
military factions or the use of diverted fissile material to fashion a
nuclear device. A much more likely scenario in the former Soviet Union
today, however, is an attack on or sabotage of civilian nuclear power installations
or spent fuel storage sites. These are not hypothetical threats. There
have been at least four episodes since 1992 in which nuclear power plants
in the post-Soviet states were the targets of terrorist actions.
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February 1992: Oleg Savchuk, a computer programmer at the Ignalina
Nuclear Power Plant in Lithuania was arrested for trying to sabotage a
reactor at the plant by introducing a virus into the computer system. The
alleged sabotage coincided with a breakdown in the cooling system of the
first reactor, although there was no confirmed link between the two incidents.
Savchuk may have introduced the virus and then called it to the attention
of the plant management in order to receive a bonus for meritorious service.
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4 November 1994: Kestutis Mazuika, a 42 year old Lithuanian national
in Sweden threatened the destruction of the Ignalina
Nuclear Power Plant unless a payment of $8 million were made to a secret
organization (NUC-41 "W") which he claimed
to represent. Mazuika made the demand in a four-page handwritten letter
in Russian he presented to a secretary in the office of the Swedish prime
minister in Stockholm. The letter specified that $1 million was to be handed
over to Mazuika on 7 November, and the remainder was to be deposited in
a Swedish bank. The letter claimed that the secret organization had well-trained
representatives at the Ignalina facility and was prepared to blow up the
plant. Mazuika was arrested when he returned to the prime minister's office
on 7 November 1994. During the investigation of the case he was examined
by a psychiatrist and judged to be mentally sound. He claimed that the
organization NUC-41 "W" forced him to commit the act. Legal action was
taken against Mazuika in both Sweden and Lithuania. He was sentenced to
four years of imprisonment in Sweden, but was released after one year and
returned to Lithuania. Although he was initially charged under Article
96 of the Lithuania Criminal Code -- "Extortion of State Property" -- he
was not sentenced in Lithuania due to his conviction in Sweden. According
to VATESI, the Lithuanian
Nuclear Safety Inspectorate, security at Ignalina was bolstered after
the case.
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9 November 1994: A terrorist threat that was taken very seriously
occurred shortly after Mazuika's arrest and also involved the Ignalina
facility. In the early morning of 9 November 1994, VATESI received information
from the German Federal Ministry for Environment, Nature Conservation,
and Nuclear Safety about an alleged plot to sabotage the Ignalina Nuclear
Power Plant. According to the information, a local organized crime boss
(Georgy Dekanidze) threatened to blow up the Ignalina plant in the event
his son Boris, who was on trial for a contract murder, were sentenced to
death. On 10 November 1994, other Lithuanian authorities received an additional
communication from the same German ministry indicating that preparations
for the act of sabotage had been completed and would be carried out by
several employees of the nuclear plant on 15 November 1994 in the event
of a death verdict. Based upon this information, Lithuanian Prime Minister
Adolfas Slezevicus sought the assistance of the Swedish government, which
agreed to provide a team of bomb experts and trained search dogs. The team
arrived on 14 November, and a search was conducted between 14 and 16 November
1994, during which time units One and Two of the nuclear plant were shut
down. Physical protection of the site was increased as well, and access
to the plant was very restricted. No sign of sabotage, however, was uncovered.
The shutdown cost the plant $10 million. Despite the terrorist threat,
Boris Dekanidze was sentenced to death on 10 November for masterminding
the murder of Lithuanian journalist Vitas Lingys, who had written articles
exposing extortion rackets run by the "Vilnius Brigade."
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Fall 1996: Gosatomnadzor
(the Russian nuclear regulatory agency) received an alert from one of its
representatives in Rostov that an armed group from Chechnya was moving
toward the Balakovo
Nuclear Power Plant, a station with four VVER-1000 reactors located
near Saratov, Russia. This message was passed to the MVD and the FSB, and
preparations reportedly were taken to guard against an armed incursion
of the plant. At the same time, an alert was issued by Rosenergoatom to
all Russian nuclear plants to be on guard against possible terrorist acts.
As it turned out, a group of Chechens was found to be moving along the
Volga, but was stopped well before Balakovo. It has not been possible to
ascertain if the group was indeed intent upon striking the nuclear power
station.
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Spring (Probably March) 1997: Five men were caught after penetrating
the Kursk
Nuclear Power Station, which houses four RBMK-1000 reactors. The men
had reached the plant generator and reportedly had plans to try to disable
the reactor and seize the control room. Although Russian authorities initially
believed that the men were associated with a "green" group, the intruders
appear to have hatched the attack plan for extortionist purposes. Russian
authorities, who have made only vague public references to a terrorist
incident at a civilian nuclear power station in early 1997, have not treated
the Kursk attack as a serious incident because the perpetrators did not
have the capability to implement their plan and were not linked to a larger,
politically motivated group.
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In addition to the aforementioned five cases involving sabotage, attacks,
threats, or perceived threats against civilian nuclear power stations in
Russia and Lithuania, there have been at least two other nuclear terrorist
episodes in the past two years in Russia. One occurred in 1995 at the Severodvinsk
submarine production facility, where an employee who had not been paid
for several months posted a warning that the shop containing two reactors
would be blown up. The second, widely-reported episode, involved the recovery
of a small quantity of Cesium-137 on the grounds of Izmailovsky Park in
Moscow in late 1995. The radioactive material was found by a Russian television
crew at the location reportedly provided to it by Chechen leader Shamil
Basayev. Russian Interior Ministry officials indicated that the material
might have been obtained from an inventory of nuclear waste or an isotope
storage facility in the Chechen capital. Russian authorities reportedly
had previously received threats from Chechen separatists against a number
of nuclear facilities, including the first breeder reactor at Beloyarsk.
Russian intelligence sources also report that U.S. officials had warned
the Russian government earlier that Chechnya might mount some form of nuclear-related
terrorism and suggested that Russia enhance security (including air defenses)
at its nuclear power sites.
Nuclear Diversion
According to conventional wisdom, since the collapse of the Soviet Union
there have been only four confirmed cases in which more than minuscule
quantities of highly-enriched uranium (HEU) or plutonium have been exported
from the post-Soviet states, and another three cases in which HEU or plutonium
was diverted from Russian nuclear facilities, but was seized prior to export.
An additional four cases of diversion and/or export are sometimes included
in the list of cases of proliferation concern, but these do not as clearly
meet the standard of unambiguous sources to corroborate the diversion,
or the size or enrichment level of the material. (See Appendices One
and Two for a summary of the characteristics
of these cases). The conventional wisdom further holds that there has been
no proliferation significant diversion or export seizure since the confiscation
of 2.72 kg. of HEU on 14 December 1994 in Prague. This alleged lull in
illicit nuclear trafficking has led some analysts to conclude that the
risk of nuclear diversion and export has diminished significantly.
Although this interpretation may be correct, it is also likely that
Western observers of the nuclear trafficking scene have missed significant
instances of diversion and/or export. Despite the pledges at the April
1996 Moscow Nuclear Safety and Security Summit to enhance U.S.-Russian
intelligence cooperation regarding nuclear smuggling, it is doubtful if
Moscow has provided Washington with any meaningful, new information on
nuclear diversions. Besides the six cases of theft or loss of nuclear materials
in Russia reported by Gosatomnadzor in 1996, there are credible reports
of other instances of proliferation-significant nuclear trafficking since
December 1994 involving the non-Russian successor states.
Potentially the most serious and sensitive case involves the possible
seizure this past year in Belarus of individuals possessing HEU, which
Russian and Georgian officials believe came from the I.N.
Vekua Institute in Sukhumi, Georgia. Identification of the source reportedly
was derived from the background of the individuals possessing the material
as well as the enrichment level and characteristics of the HEU.
Although rarely identified as a site of nuclear activity, Sukhumi has
long been a nuclear research center and in 1992 possessed an inventory
of approximately 2 kg of weapons-usable HEU. Because Sukhumi currently
is under Abkhaz control, with no IAEA safeguards in place, neither Moscow
nor Tbilisi knows how much HEU remains on site. Authorities at Sukhumi
also appear to be without reliable information and recently requested assistance
from Minatom to determine the stock of fissile material at the research
facility. The most current information available to Minatom is based upon
an inventory taken in 1992. Although Minatom sought to send a team to Sukhumi
for the purposes of taking a physical inventory there, it was stopped at
the Ahkhaz border by Russian border guards who said they could not enter
without Georgian permission. No such permission was obtained, the Russian
nuclear specialists returned to their home sites, and no further information
is known on the amount of HEU that remains at Sukhumi.
In addition to the Sukhumi-Belarus case, Gosatomnadzor reported the
loss in mid-1996 of approximately one kilogram of HEU enriched to 90% U-235
from the Tomsk Polytechnical University. The material was in a fresh fuel
bundle for the university's research reactor. After an investigation by
two teams from GAN and the facility, it was concluded that the bundle probably
had been included inadvertently in a batch of spent fuel sent to Tomsk-7
in 1994. That date was derived from a comparison of physical inventories
taken at the university. The material was never recovered. Tomsk-7 officials
said it was impossible to try to find the material, and the case was closed.
The other cases of nuclear diversion reported by Gosatomnadzor appear
to involve primarily low-enriched uranium (LEU) and spent fuel. Sites at
which losses have been reported include the A.A.
Bochvar All-Russian Institute for Inorganic Materials (VNIINM) in Moscow,
which conducts research on MOX fuel and spent fuel reprocessing and waste
treatment technology;[1] the Electrostal
Machine Building Plant, which fabricates both HEU fuel for naval propulsion
and fast-breeder reactors and LEU fuel for VVER and RMBK reactors; and
the Chepetsk
Mechanical Plant metallurgical plant in Glazov, which is engaged in
the purification of uranium and its conversion to metal. At least one case
at Glazov involved the loss of hundreds of kilograms of LEU, only a portion
of which was recovered.
Notes:
[1] GAN ordered certain activities at the Bochvar Institute
shut down for six months in 1994 because of lax arrangements for handling
plutonium at the site.
APPENDIX ONE
CHRONOLOGY OF PROLIFERATION-SIGNIFICANT CASES OF DIVERSION OF
PROBABLE FSU-ORIGIN HEU AND PLUTONIUM
(For a chronology of reported nuclear smuggling cases please see the NIS
Nuclear Trafficking Database.)
CASE I
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Date of Diversion: May-September 1992
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Date of Seizure: October 9, 1992
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Amount: 1.538 kg of HEU in the form of UO2
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Description of Material: HEU (90% enrichment level)
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Point of Origin: Luch Scientific Production Association, Podolsk
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Point of Seizure: Podolsk, Russia
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CASE II
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Date of Diversion: July 29, 1993
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Date of Seizure: August 1993
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Amount: 1.8 kg of enriched uranium
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Description of Material: HEU (approximately 36% enrichment level)
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Point of Origin: Andreyeva Guba Fuel Storage Area, Russia
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Point of Seizure: Andreyeva Guba
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CASE III
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Date of Diversion: November 27, 1993
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Date of Seizure: June 1994
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Amount: 4.5 kg enriched uranium
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Description of Material: HEU (approximately 20% enrichment level)
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Point of Origin: Fuel Storage Area 3-30, Sevmorput Shipyard near Murmansk
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Point of Seizure: Polyarnyy (near Murmansk, Russia)
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CASE IV
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Date of Diversion: ?
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Date of Seizure: May 10, 1994
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Amount: 5.6 grams Pu-239
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Description of Material: 99.78 pure Pu-239
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Point of Origin: ?
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Point of Seizure: Baden-Wuertemberg (Tengen), Germany
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CASE V
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Date of Diversion: ?
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Date of Seizure: June 13, 1994
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Amount: 800 milligrams
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Description of Material: HEU (enriched to 87.7 %)
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Point of Origin: ?
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Point of Seizure: Landshut, Germany
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CASE VI
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Date of Diversion: ?
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Date of Seizure: August 10, 1994
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Amount: 560 grams of mixed-oxide of plutonium and uranium
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(363 grams of Pu-239)
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Description of Material: Mixed-Oxide (MOX) fuel
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Point of Origin: Institute of Physics and Power Engineering, Obninsk (?)
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Point of Seizure: Munich, Germany
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CASE VII
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Date of Diversion: ?
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Date of Seizure: December 14, 1994
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Amount: 2.72 kg of HEU in the form of UO2
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Description of Material: HEU enriched to 87.7% U-235
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Point of Origin: Obninsk (?)
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Point of Seizure: Prague, Czech Republic
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APPENDIX TWO
ADDITIONAL CASES OF POSSIBLE PROLIFERATION CONCERN
CASE A
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Date of Diversion: 1992
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Date of Seizure: May 1993
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Amount: Approximately 150 grams of HEU implanted in beryllium
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Description of Material: HEU
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Point of Origin: Institute of Physics and Power Engineering, Obninsk
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Point of Seizure: Vilnius, Lithuania
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CASE B
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Date of Diversion: March 1994
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Date of Seizure: June 1994
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Amount: 3.05 kg of HEU
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Description of Material: HEU (approximately 90%-U-235) in the form of UO2
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Point of Origin: Electrostal
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Point of Seizure: St. Petersburg, Russia
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CASE C
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Date of Diversion:
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Date of Seizure: January 1995
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Amount: Less than 1 kg of HEU
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Description of Material: HEU enriched to 87.7% U-235 in the form of UO2
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Point of Origin: Obninsk (?)
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Point of Seizure: Prague, Czech Republic
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CASE D
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Date of Diversion:
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Date of Seizure: March 1995
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Amount: 6 kg of HEU enriched to about 20% U-235
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Description of Material: HEU (20% enrichment level)
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Point of Origin: ?
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Point of Seizure: Kiev, Ukraine
- Comments or questions? E-mail
Cristina Chuen at MIIS CNS: Cristina.ChuenATmiis.edu
This material is produced independently for NTI
by the Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the
Monterey Institute of International Studies and
does not necessarily reflect the opinions of and has
not been independently verified by NTI or its directors, officers,
employees, agents. Copyright © 2002 by MIIS.
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