Submarine Proliferation

Pakistan Export Behavior
Capabilities | Import | Export
Naval Dockyard Karachi
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Construction of Agosta |
The shipyard constructs the following vessel:
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Khalid-class (Agosta 90B): diesel-electric submarines designed and produced for the Pakistani Navy
The extent of technology transfer Pakistan received from France's DCN has been extensive. The Pakistani Navy dockyard in Karachi has been significantly modernized, first to assemble and later to undertake the complete construction of submarines with sensitive parts supplied by France. In line with earlier efforts at promoting greater self-reliance, Pakistan has laid the foundation for an indigenous submarine-building capacity.[1,2,3]
Realizing the potential revenue from submarine sales and the need for such profits to maintain its submarine construction capability, Pakistan's deal with France included an export license agreement. The country is thus in a position to sell its vessels in some regional markets, including the Middle East and Southeast Asia, with France's approval.[3,4,5,6] Pursuing its goal of becoming an arms exporter, Pakistan established the Defense Export Promotion Organization in early 2000 and organized its first international defense exhibition in the same year.[1,6]
During the aforementioned exhibition, the sale of two Pakistani Khalid-class submarines to Malaysia was proclaimed, yet the deal did not materialize.[7] Instead, Malaysia opted for France's Scorpène design.[6,8] Pakistan's chances of obtaining submarine contracts are not clear, given that its only model is an aging, albeit modernized, French design, with sensitive technologies that must be procured from France.[9] It thus remains to be seen whether Pakistan's accelerated research and development efforts to increase self-reliance will bear fruit soon enough to allow for it to become a viable exporter.
Nevertheless, Pakistan continues to promote its export potential. Most
recently, Pakistan's Chief of Naval Staff Admiral Shahid Karimullah stated that
the navies of United Arab Emirates, Qatar, and Nigeria have shown interest in
Pakistani-built submarines. Saudi Arabia and
Malaysia have also been mentioned. However, as of August 2005 there have
been no published reports of exports.
Sources:
[1] Interview with Admiral Fasih Bokhari, Chief of Naval
Staff, "The importance of the Pakistani Navy for its
country's security," Naval Forces, 1999, Vol. 20,
No. 1, pp. 22-25; in ProQuest Information and Learning
Company,
http://proquest.umi.com/pqdweb.
[2] Richard Scott, "Agosta 90B surfaces for the
Pakistani Navy," Jane's Navy International, May
1, 1999, Vol. 104, No. 4.
[3] Kaleem Omar, "Arms export drive begins to bear
fruit," The News, February 12, 2001, p. 13; in
"Pakistan to Sign Big Arms Export Deals With Several
Countries," FBIS Document SAP20010213000040.
[4]
Jacques Isnard, "A Navy to
a large extent under France's wing," Le Monde
online edition,
http://www.lemonde.fr, May 9, 2002; in
"Report details close links between France and Pakistani
Navy," FBIS Document EUP20020509000030.
[5] Nasir Jaffry, "2nd Agosta to be ready for trial soon," The
Statesman, February 16, 2002; in "Pakistan Navy to
test 2nd Agosta submarine soon," FBIS Document
SAP20020216000079.
[6] The News online edition,
http://www.jang.com.pk/thenews, November 17, 2000;
in "Pakistan's Naval Chief Speaks on Agosta Submarine
Project," FBIS Document SAP20001117000028.
[7] Jang, November 18, 2000; in "Saudi Arabia,
Malaysia Interested in Buying Aircraft, Submarines from
Pakistan," FBIS Document SAP20001118000027.
[8] "The real Saudi-Pakistani pact," Intelligence Online
Website,
http://www.intelligenceonline.com, October 31, 2003;
in "French website notes Saudi-Arabian and Pakistani
military cooperation," FBIS Document EUP20031031000355.
[9]
Lieutenant Colonel Ghulam
Jillani, "The sale of Agosta Class 90-B submarine,"
Pakistan, March 26, 2001; in "Pakistan
Columnist Discusses Agosta Submarine Technology, Western
Arms Dealers," FBIS Document SAP20010330000048.
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This
material is produced independently for NTI by the James Martin Center for
Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute of International Studies and
does not necessarily reflect the opinions of and has not been independently
verified by NTI or its directors, officers, employees, agents. Copyright © 2007
by MIIS.
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