Nuclear Weapons and Arms Control
The AQ Khan Revelations and Subsequent Changes to Pakistani Export Controls
Brazil's Nuclear Ambitions, Past and Present
The Bush Proposals: A Global Strategy for Combating the Spread of Nuclear Weapons Technology or a Sanctioned Nuclear Cartel?
Bush-Putin Summit, November 2001
на русском (In Russian)
China Enters the Nuclear Suppliers Group: Positive Steps in the Global Campaign against Nuclear Weapons Proliferation
Companies Reported to Have Sold or Attempted to Sell Libya Gas Centrifuge Components
Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT)
на русском (In Russian)
Cooperative Threat Reduction and Pakistan
DOE's Domestic Nuclear Security Initiatives
Egypt and Saudi Arabia's Policies toward Iran's Nuclear Program
The Emerging Arab Response to Iran's Unabated Nuclear Program
Entry into Force of the CTBT: All Roads Lead to Washington A Report from the Fifth Article XIV Conference
Going Beyond the Stir: The Strategic Realities of China's No-First-Use Policy
IAEA Board Deplores Iran's Failure to Come into Full Compliance: Is Patience with Iran Running Out?
IAEA Board Welcomes EU-Iran Agreement: Is Iran Providing Assurances or Merely Providing Amusement?
Illicit Nuclear Trafficking in the NIS
на русском(In Russian)
Implications of Proposed India-U.S. Civil Nuclear Cooperation
Indo-Pakistani Military Standoff: Why It Isn't Over Yet
The International Uranium Enrichment Center at Angarsk: A Step Towards Assured Fuel Supply?
Iran and the IAEA: A Troubling Past with a Hopeful Future?
Is Syria a Candidate for Nuclear Proliferation?
The New IAEA Resolution: A Milestone in the Iran-IAEA Saga
North Korea's Nuclear Weapons Program and the Six-party Talks
Nuclear Conflict in the 21st Century: Reviewing the Chinese Nuclear Threat
Nuclear Posture Review
на русском(In Russian)
Nuclear Proliferation and South Asia: Recent Trends
Nuclear Submarine Dismantlement
на русском(In Russian)
Nuclear Trafficking Hoaxes: A Short History of Scams Involving Red Mercury and Osmium-187
A Pause in the Indo-US Nuclear Agreement
Practical Steps for Improving U.S. Nonproliferation Leadership
Presidential Nuclear Initiatives: An Alternative Paradigm for Arms Control
на русском(In Russian)
Plutonium Disposition
на русском(In Russian)
Radiological Materials in Russia
на русском(In Russian)
Reykjavik Summit: The Legacy and a Lesson for the Future
Risks of Plutonium Programs
The Role of Security Assurances: Is Any Progress Possible?
Russian Spent Nuclear Fuel
на русском(In Russian)
Russia's Nuclear Doctrine
на русском(In Russian)
The Second NPT PrepCom for the 2005 Review Conference: Prospects for Progress
Seven Years After the Nuclear Tests: Appraising South Asia's Nuclear Realities
Sixty Years After the Nuclear Devastation, Japan's Role in the NPT
Submarine Dismantlement Assistance
Tactical Nuclear Weapons (TNW)
на русском(In Russian) 
Tactical Nuclear Weapons in Germany: Time for Withdrawal?
Taiwan and Nonproliferation
The Treaty of Moscow
на русском(In Russian) 
UN Disarmament Committee Forecasts Troubled Nonproliferation Future
UN General Assembly Tackles Nonproliferation and Disarmament After Disappointing Summit
U.S.-Russian Civilian Nuclear Cooperation
на русском(In Russian)
Vying for Influence: Saudi Arabia’s Reaction to Iran’s Advancing Nuclear Program
Will Saudi Arabia Acquire Nuclear Weapons?


Biological Weapons
The Anti-plague System in the Newly Independent States, 1992 and Onwards: Assessing Proliferation Risks and Potential for Enhanced Public Health in Central Asia and the Caucasus
Assessing the Threat of Mass-Casualty Bioterrorism
на русском(In Russian)
The Biological Weapons Convention (BWC)
на русском(In Russian)
Biological Weapons Convention (BWC) Compliance Protocol
на русском(In Russian)
Developments in the Biosciences: Do Recent Scientific and Technological Advances Lower the Threshold for the Proliferation of Biological Weapons?
на русском(In Russian)
The Fifth Conference of the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention (BWC)
на русском(In Russian)
International Assistance for Anti-plague Facilities in the Former Soviet Union to Prevent Proliferation of Biological Weapons
на русском(In Russian)
Is the Avian Influenza Virus a Suitable Agent for a Biological Weapon?
Lessons from Select Public Health Events Having Relevance to Bioterrorism Preparedness
на русском(In Russian)
The Next Generation of Sensor Technology for the BioWatch Program
Security and Public Health: How and Why do Public Health Emergencies Affect the Security of a Country?


Chemical Weapons
Dusty Agents and the Iraqi Chemical Weapons Arsenal
на русском(In Russian)
First Review Conference of the CWC: Coming of Age
Global CW Assistance
Industrial Chemicals as Weapons: Chlorine
The Seventh Conference of State Parties to the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC)
на русском(In Russian)
Vinalon, the DPRK, and Chemical Weapons Precursors
на русском(In Russian)
What to Expect at the Eighth Conference of State Parties to the CWC


Missiles, Missile Defenses, and Delivery Vehicles
A Look at National Missile Defense and the Ground-Based Midcourse Defense System
Addressing the Spread of Cruise Missiles and Unmanned Air Vehicles (UAVs)
Examining China's Debate on Military Space Programs: Was the ASAT Test Really a Surprise?
Future Space Security
на русском(In Russian)
Japan's Space Law Revision: the Next Step Toward Re-Militarization?
Radiological and Nuclear Detection Devices
Russia's Approach to the U.S. Missile Defense Program
на русском(In Russian)
Space Security and Bush Administration Policy: Results of the First Term
Taiwan's Response to China's Missile Buildup
Theater Missile Defense (TMD) and Northeast Asian Security
на русском(In Russian)
Unmanned Air Vehicles as Terror Weapons: Real or Imagined?


General Nonproliferation Topics
The Chechen Resistance and Radiological Terrorism
China's White Paper on Nonproliferation: Export Controls Hit the Big Time
Department of Homeland Security: Goals and Challenges
на русском(In Russian)
DP World and U.S. Port Security
The European Union and the Arms Ban on China
G8 10 Plus 10 Over 10
на русском(In Russian)
The Global Partnership 2004
Global Submarine Proliferation: Emerging Trends and Problems
Instability in Georgia: A New Proliferation Threat?
Iraq's WMD Scientists in the Crossfire
Islamist Terrorist Threat in the Tri-Border Region
на русском(In Russian)
Kazakhstan's Proposal to Initiate Commercial Imports of Radioactive Waste
на русском(In Russian)
The Mitutoyo Case: Will Japan Learn from its Mistakes or Repeat Them?
Nonproliferation Assistance to the Former Soviet Union
на русском(In Russian)
North Korea's 11th Supreme People's Assembly Elections
Nuclear Watch—Pakistan: The Sorry Affairs of the Islamic Republic
Radiological Materials in Russia
на русском(In Russian)
To Comply or Not to Comply: Outline of the UN Inspections Mechanism in Iraq
на русском(In Russian)
Unlocking the Impasse: Who Holds the Key to the Conference on Disarmament
Was Libyan WMD Disarmament a Significant Success for Nonproliferation?
Weapons of Mass Destruction in Central Asia
на русском(In Russian)
Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Middle East
на русском(In Russian)
Will Emerging Challenges Change Japanese Security Policy?

Issue Brief
redline

Assessing the Threat of Mass-Casualty Bioterrorism
Jason Pate
Senior Research Associate and WMD Terrorism Database Manager
Gary Ackerman
Senior Research Associate
Chemical and Biological Weapons Nonproliferation Program
Center for Nonproliferation Studies
October 2001 (updated March 2003)

Issue Introduction   Issue Brief   Relevant Resources

Relevant Resources

Articles and Reports
 

Richard Pilch, M.D., "Smallpox: Threat, Vaccine, and U.S. Policy," Center for Nonproliferation Studies, January 2003.

 

Michael Barletta, "Biosecurity Measures for Preventing Bioterrorism," Center for Nonproliferation Studies, November 27, 2002.

 

Kristin Thompson, "Legislative Response to Potential Bioterrorist Threat," Center for Nonproliferation Studies, July 12, 2002.

 

Laura Snyder and Jason Pate, "Tracking Anthrax Hoaxes and Attacks," Center for Nonproliferation Studies, May 20, 2002.

 

Gary A. Ackerman and Jeffrey M. Bale, "Al-Qaida and Weapons of Mass Destruction," Center for Nonproliferation Studies, December 31, 2002.

 

Barbara Hatch Rosenberg, "Analysis of the Anthrax Attacks," Federation of American Scientists, September 22, 2002.

Amy Smithson and Leslie-Anne Levy, "Ataxia: The Chemical and Biological Terrorism Threat and the US Response," Stimson Center Report No. 35 (October 2000).

Jean Pascal Zanders, "Assessing the Risks of Chemical and Biological Weapons Proliferation to Terrorists," The Nonproliferation Review 6 (Fall 1999), pp. 17-34.

Ehud Sprinzak, "The Great Superterrorism Scare,"
Foreign Policy (Fall 1998), pp. 110-124.

Bruce Hoffman, "Terrorism and WMD: Some Preliminary Hypotheses," The Nonproliferation Review 4 (Spring-Summer 1997), pp. 45-53.



Chronologies and Charts

2000 WMD Terrorism Chronology: Incidents Involving Sub-National Actors and Chemical, Biological, Radiological, or Nuclear Materials,
Center for Nonproliferation Studies (April 2001).

Chronology of Aum Shinrikyo's CBW Activities,
Center for Nonproliferation Studies (March 2001).

Resource Page for Agricultural Terrorism,
Center for Nonproliferation Studies (September 2000).

Organizational Chart of US Terrorism Response,
Center for Nonproliferation Studies (July 2000).



Op-Eds and Opinion Pieces

Jason Pate, "Better Plan Needed to Curb Epidemics,"
Newsday, November 29, 2000, p. A43.

Jonathan B. Tucker and Amy Sands, "An Unlikely Threat," The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists Vol. 55 (July/August 1999), pp. 46-52.

Ehud Sprinzak, "What Is The Real Threat, WMD or Car Bombs? Terrorism, Real and Imagined," Washington Post, August 19, 1998, p. A21.

Jessica Stern, "Taking the Terror Out of Bioterrorism," New York Times, April 8, 1998.



Official Documents and Reports

U.S. General Accounting Office, Combating Terrorism: Comments on Counterterrorism Leadership and National Strategy, testimony document no. [GAO-01-556T], March 27, 2001.

Assessing the Threat, First Annual Report to the President and the Congress, Advisory Panel to Assess Domestic Response Capabilities for Terrorism Involving Weapons of Mass Destruction, (Gilmore Commission Report), December 15, 1999.

Combating Terrorism: Need for Comprehensive Threat and Risk Assessments of Chemical and Biological Attacks, report to U.S. General Accounting Office [NSIAD-99-163] (September 1999).



Congressional Testimony

U.S. House Committee on Government Reform, Subcommittee on National Security, Veterans Affairs and International Relations, Combating Terrorism: Federal Response to a Biological Weapons Attack,
July 23, 2001.

U.S. House Committee on Government Reform, Subcommittee on National Security, Veterans Affairs, and International Relations and the Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure, Subcommittee on Economic Development, Public Buildings and Emergency Management, Testimony of James Clapper, Jr.,
April 24, 2001.

U.S. House Committee on Government Reform, Transportation and Infrastructure, The Honorable Wayne T. Gilchrest Joint Hearing Testimony,
April 24, 2001.

U.S. House Committee on Government Reform, Subcommittee on National Security, Veterans Affairs and International Relations, Combating Terrorism: In Search of a National Strategy, March 27, 2001.

U.S. House Subcommittee on National Security, Veteran Affairs, and International Relations, Combating Terrorism: Assessing Threats, Risk Management, and Establishing Priorities by John Parachini,
July 26, 2000.

U.S. General Accounting Office, Subcommittee on Oversight, Investigations, and Emergency Management, Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure,
Combating Terrorism: Issues in Managing Counterterrorist Programs by Norman J. Rabkin,
April 6, 2000.

U.S. House Subcommittee on National Security, Veteran Affairs, and International Relations, Assessing the Threat of Bioterrorism by Ray Zilinskas, October 20, 1999.



Court Documents

Center for Nonproliferation Studies, WMD Terrorism and Usama bin Laden, March 7, 2001.



Books and Print Material

Jonathan B. Tucker, ed., Toxic Terror: Assessing Terrorist Use of Chemical and Biological Weapons (Cambridge: MIT Press, 2000).

Jessica Stern, The Ultimate Terrorists (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2000).

National Research Council, Chemical and Biological Terrorism: Research and Development to Improve Civilian Medical Response (National Research Council, National Academy Press, 2000).

Bruce Hoffman, Inside Terrorism (New York: Columbia University Press, 1999).

Ian O. Lesser, et al., Countering the New Terrorism
(Santa Monica: RAND Corporation, 1999).

Simon Reeve, The New Jackals: Ramzi Yousef, Osama bin Laden and the Future of Terrorism, (Boston: Northeastern University Press, 1999).

Richard A. Falkenrath, et al., America's Achilles' Heel: Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Terrorism and Covert Attack (Cambridge: MIT Press, 1998).

Issue Introduction    Issue Brief    Relevant Resources

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CNSThis material is produced independently for NTI by the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute of International Studies and does not necessarily reflect the opinions of and has not been independently verified by NTI or its directors, officers, employees, agents. Copyright © 2007 by MIIS.

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