
The Paektusan-1 (Taepodong-1) is a two-stage missile with a Nodong as the first stage and a Scud variant (Hwasŏng-5/6) as the second stage. According to South Korea's Ministry of National Defense, North Korea began to develop the Nodong missile in 1988.[1] Pyongyang could have commenced development of the Paektusan-1 at the same time. North Korean defector Kim Kil Sŏn claims that in April 1987, Kim Jong Il visited the Second Natural Science Academy to inspect weapons development programs, and that during this visit he said that the "American bastards couldn't do anything" if North Korea developed the so-called "Taepodong-1/Paektusan-1."[2] If this report is accurate, it would suggest that North Korea was already planning to use the Nodong as the first stage of a two-stage missile before the Nodong's development and testing had been completed.
The Second Natural Science Academy, formerly the Academy of Defense Sciences, is responsible for the research and development of all weapons systems in North Korea. The Second Natural Science Academy ostensibly designed and developed the Paektusan-1 by combining two missiles already in the North Korean inventory to create a two-stage missile. The San'ŭm-dong Research and Development Center, which is probably also known as the "Number Seven Factory," likely produced North Korea's first Paektusan-1 prototypes around 1994.[3]
The first stage of the Paektusan-1, the Nodong, was apparently flight tested at the Musudan-ri Missile Test Site in May 1990, but US satellite imagery indicates the test was a failure (see Nodong Overview and Assessment).[4] In late May 1993, North Korea conducted its only successful flight test of the Nodong from Musudan-ri. Iranian and Pakistani government observers were reportedly present the test launch.[5] In March 1994, US intelligence acknowledged the existence of the Paektusan-1 (Taepodong-1),[6] and in June of the same year, US reconnaissance satellites detected static engine tests for both the Paektusan-1 and Taepodong-2.[7]
On 31 August 1998, the first and only flight test of the Paektusan-1 was conducted at the Musudan-ri Missile Test Site. The missile was launched as a three-stage space launch vehicle (SLV), but it failed to place a small satellite, the Kwangmyŏngsŏng-1, into low-earth orbit. The first stage separated about 300km east of Musudan-ri, and the second stage fell into the Pacific Ocean about 330km east of the Japanese port city of Hachinohe, after flying approximately 1,380km from the launch site. The third stage, which used solid fuel, failed to place the satellite into orbit, but the first and second stages separated successfully and functioned properly. Debris from the launch was tracked to nearly 6,400km from the launch site.[8 ]This test had a major impact on US and Japanese assessments of the ballistic missile threat posed by North Korea.
Although the Paektusan-1 is not a "new" missile, the development timeline of its first stage, the Nodong, appears to be almost impossible to achieve without extensive foreign assistance. Pyongyang has received foreign assistance from several sources, including Russia, China, Egypt, and Iran. Foreign assistance has ranged from Iranian financial support and Chinese technical training in aerospace engineering, to the pro-North Korean General Federation of Korean Residents in Japan (Choch'ongnyŏn) providing Japanese semiconductors. There is also strong evidence that North Korea acquired foreign-made precision machine tools that are needed for missile manufacturing.
North Korea began to construct missile bases capable of launching the Paektusan-1 around 1994. Construction of these bases, including Chiha-ri, Sangnam-ri, Yŏngjŏ-ri, Yongnim-kun, should be complete or nearing completion as of 2003.[9] A few Paektusan-1 missiles may have been deployed, but they are of limited strategic significance since they do not have intercontinental range to hit the United States, and North Korea already possessed missiles capable of striking South Korea and Japan, the Hwasŏng-5/6 and the Nodong, respectively.
North Korea has exported a number of Nodong missiles (see export table), but it is unclear whether all Nodongs have been exported as single-stage missiles, or as the first stage of a Paektusan-1 package. Reports indicate the international market price for the Paektusan-1 would be in the range of about $6 million.[10] North Koreas Yong'aksan Trading Company under the Second Economic Committee's External Economic Bureau handles missile exports, and the Ch'anggwang Credit Bank receives payment from buyers.[11] The foreign exchange earnings from missile exports have enabled Pyongyang to continue or expand its procurement of components and technology from abroad in order to continue the missile development program. Unfortunately, there is no credible open source information about North Korea's internal budget or expenditures on the Paektusan-1 or other ballistic missiles. At present, the only information for this missile comes from a sighting in 1994 at the North Korean launch site and the 31 August 1998 launch in the space launch vehicle (SLV) mode.
It is generally accepted that this missile is based on a Nodong-type first stage. However, compared to the basic Nodong missile, a shorter burning time than the standard Nodong was observed in the August 1998 flight. This indicated an increased thrust level since a reduced propellant load must be completely excluded. Similar observations regarding the second stage were made: though this stage is generally thought to comprise a Scud-type system, a significant derivation from the standard burn occurred. Specifically, two thrust levels were noticed with an initial high thrust phase followed by a long low thrust phase. Thus, the second stage was either a significantly modified Scud—for example, through the addition of four vernier engines (possibly with a separate turbo pump) parallel to the main engine—or a different stage was used altogether, possibly a modified SA-5. However, recent North Korean information indicates that the one plus four engine arrangement is more likely.
At present, there are not enough reliable data to establish the history of this missile, including the connections to other programs. However, it should be noted that post-Soviet literature describes what might be called a “mother” of Taepodong-1 with the combination of an R-5 as first stage and an R-11 as second stage. This is an initial indication that the origin of the Paektusan may be a mid- to late 1950s Soviet design.
The first stage propulsion system is a liquid rocket engine probably using the storable propellant combination inhibited red fuming nitric acrid (IRFNA) and kerosene. Ignition is accomplished by a hypergolic (self-igniting) start fuel designated Tonka—the WW II German designator for this propellant—filled into the fuel line at the main fuel valve. The propellant feed system is a turbo pump driven by a bipropellant gas generator using the main propellants. The start and shut down valves are one shot devices, actuated by pyrotechnic charges. Tank pressurization is performed by air stored in a toroidal high-pressure bottle in front of the missile’s guidance section and heated by the turbine exhaust gases.
The second stage is basically of a similar design. The North Korean pre-launch photos seem to show an external propellant line design, similar to that of Scud-A/R-11 or SA-5. Further assessments are difficult to make.
It is estimated that the guidance system effectively resembles the Nodong arrangement with body-mounted free gyros, however, with the modification of an additional gyro for accuracy improvement. Prior to launch, the missile is orientated such that the trajectory plane hits the target and the guidance system keeps the missile in this plane. Two of the three body mounted gyros are used for attitude and the third one for lateral acceleration control; the horizon gyro’s mounting must be capable to move to a horizontal position. A pendulum integration gyro assembly serves for speed measurement. The fins are fixed and thrust vector control is accomplished by four jet vanes in the first stage; for the second stage, either four vernier engines are used or thrust vector control is accomplished similar to the first stage by jet vanes.
The missile is equipped with a separable warhead. Although no further information on the warhead load is available, it is assumed that the general design is based on a conventional HE load. However, the relative small mass for a conventional explosive (or bio-chemical weapon) points to an early nuclear warhead of a late 1950s design.
The SLV launch must be seen as an indication that no suitable re-entry vehicle is available at present.
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Bermudez, Jr., "A History of Ballistic Missile Development in the DPRK," Occasional Paper No. 2, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, November 1999, p. 28; Chang Chun Ik, Pukhan Haek-Missile Chŏnjaeng (Seoul: Sŏmundang, May 1999), p. 293, 295; Yu Yong Wŏn, "Puk Shinhyŏngjidaeji 'Taepodong12ho' [sic] Saqjŏnggŏri 2Ch'ŏn ~ 3Ch'ŏn5Baek km," Chosun Ilbo, 20 March 1994, p. 4, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>. [4] Bill Gertz, "Libya May Buy N. Korean Missiles," Washington Times, 4 June 1991, p. 4; Yonhap News Agency (Seoul), 24 June 1993, in "Defense Ministry: May Nodong-1 Test Successful," FBIS-EAS-93-120, 24 June 1993, p. 19; Joseph S. Bermudez, Jr., "A History of Ballistic Missile Development in the DPRK," Occasional Paper No. 2, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, November 1999, p. 21; Joseph S. Bermudez, Jr., "An Analysis of North Korean Ballistic Missile Testing," Jane's Intelligence Review, April 1995, p. 186; Chang Chun Ik, Pukhan Haek-Missile Chŏnjaeng (Seoul: Sŏmundang, May 1999), pp. 280-281; "Pukhan, Sae T'ando Missile Saengsan-Haekt'apchae Kanŭng," Joongang Ilbo, 5 June 1990, <http://www.joins.com/>; "Pukhan Kaebal T'ando Missile Ch'otshihŏmbalsa--Mijŏngbogigwandŭl Punsŏk," Joongang Ilbo, 6 July 1990, <http://www.joins.com/>. [5] Kyodo News Service (Tokyo), 14 June 1993, in " DA: DPRK 'Appears' to Have Tested Missile," FBIS-EAS-93-112, 14 June 1993, p. 5; David E. Sanger, "Missile Is Tested by North Koreans," New York Times, 13 June 1993, p. 7; Kim Yong Kol, Hankook Ilbo, 16 June 1993, p. 4, in "Israel Makes Gesture to North Korea for Improvement of Relations," FBIS-EAS-93-114, "Possible Israeli Aid to DPRK Viewed," 16 June 1993, p. 20; "Defense Ministry: May Nodong-1 Test Successful," Yonhap News Agency (Seoul), 24 June 1993, in FBIS-EAS-93-120, 24 June 1993, p. 19; "North Korea Seen Successful in Test of Nodong-1 Missile," Aerospace Daily, 29 June 1993, pp. 538-539; Lee Jŏng Hun, "FROGesŏ Taepodong Kkaji: Pukhan Missile Game," Shindonga, August 1999, p. 203; Joseph S. Bermudez, Jr., "A History of Ballistic Missile Development in the DPRK," Occasional Paper No. 2, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, November 1999, pp. 17, 21; Joseph S. Bermudez, Jr., "An Analysis of North Korean Ballistic Missile Testing," Jane's Intelligence Review, April 1995, pp. 186-189; Chang Chun Ik, Pukhan Haek-Missile Chŏnjaeng (Seoul: Sŏmundang, May 1999), pp. 283-286, 291; Yu Yong Wŏn, "'Puk Changgŏrip'o Chŏnbang Chŭnggang'/Kukpangbu, Rodong 1 Ho Palsasŏnggong Ch'ŏt Kongshikhwag'in," Chosun Ilbo, 25 June 1993, p. 2, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>. [6] R. Jeffrey Smith, "CIA Confirms North Korea's New Missiles," Washington Post, 18 March 1994, p. A24; Bill Gertz, "N. Korea Builds New Missiles," Washington Times, 19 March 1994, p. A3; Chŏng Hae Yong, "Puk Sae Missile 2 Chonggaebal/CIA Kukchang, Kongshikhwagin," Chosun Ilbo, 19 March 1994, <http://www.chosun.com>; "Puk ShinHyŏng Missile Kaebal--Mi CIA Kukchang Hwagin," Joongang Ilbo, 19 March 1994, <http://www.joins.com/>. [7] Chang Chun Ik, Pukhan Haek-Missile Chŏnjaeng (Seoul: Sŏmundang, May 1999), p. 295; Yu Yong Wŏn, "Puk Taepodong 1-2 Ho Punsashihŏm/6 Wŏl Chungsun," Chosun Ilbo, 1 July 1994, <http://www.chosun.com/>. [8 ]Joseph Bermudez, "North Koreans Test Two-Stage IRBM over Japan," Jane's Defence Weekly, 9 September 1998; Joseph S. Bermudez, Jr., "A History of Ballistic Missile Development in the DPRK," Occasional Paper No. 2, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, November 1999, pp. 29-31; "CIA Official Warns against Threat of N. Korean Missiles," Jiji Press Ticker Service, 28 September 1998, in Lexis-Nexis, <http://web.lexis-nexis.com/>; Don Kirk, "North Korea Test-Fires a Missile off Japan's North," International Herald Tribune, 1 September 1998, p. 1, in Lexis-Nexis, <http://web.lexis-nexis.com/>; Bill Gertz, "N. Korean Missile Seen Posing Risk to U.S.; Rocket Might Reach Alaska, Hawaii," Washington Times, 16 September 1998, p. A1; Kyodo News Service, "N. Korea Fires Ballistic Missile into Pacific over Japan," Japan Economic Newswire, 31 August 1998, in Lexis-Nexis, <http://web.lexis-nexis.com/>; Martin Fackler, "North Korea Fires Missile across Northern Japan into Pacific," Associated Press, 31 August 1998, in Lexis-Nexis, <http://web.lexis-nexis.com/>; Sandra Sugawara, "N. Korea Fires Ballistic Missile toward Japan, Tokyo Reports; Pentagon Confirms Firing, Calling It 'Serious Development'," Washington Post, 31 August 1998, p. A17, in Lexis-Nexis, <http://web.lexis-nexis.com/>; Yu Yong Wŏn, "Puk T'ando Missile 'Taepodong 1 Ho'/Aekch'eyŏllyo Sayong," Chosun Ilbo, 2 September 1998, p. 2, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>; O Yŏng Hwan, "'Puk Wisŏng' Sashil'inya...Sagi'nya/Uri Chŏngbu'nŭn Ŏddŏh'ke Pona," Joongang Ilbo, 5 September 1998, p. 3, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>; Kim Yŏng Ch'ŏl, "Puk In'gongwisŏng Palsa Sashil'ilkka," Hankyoreh Shinmun, 5 September 1998, p. 3, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>. [9] Yu Yong Wŏn, "Nodong 1 Ho Missile Puk, 100 Yŏbal Paech'i/Mi, Shimgakhan Uryŏ P'yomyŏng," Chosun Ilbo, 2 March 2001, p. 1, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>; Yu Yong Wŏn, "Nodong 1 Ho Ch'ugabaech'i/Hubang Chihagiji 3 Kot Kŏnsŏltŭng Puk Missile Pimilchŭnggang Kyesok," Chosun Ilbo, 2 March 2001, p. 3, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>; Chosun Ilbo, 2 March 2001, in "ROKG Official Cites US Sources: DPRK Deploys 100 Nodong-1 Missiles Since 1998," FBIS Document ID: KPP20010302000010; Kim Min Sŏk, "Pukhan Missile Kiji Kyesok Chŭngsŏl," Joongang Ilbo, 6 March 2001, p. 8, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>; Thomas W. Lippman and Dana Priest, "N. Korea Expanding Missile Programs," Washington Post, 20 November 1998, <http://www.washingtonpost.com/>; Kang Hyo Sang, "Taepodong 1 Ho Palsa Shilsŏl/Puk, Ch'oeso Tugos'e Kŏnsŏlchung," Chosun Ilbo, 21 November 1998, p. 3, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>; Yu Yong Wŏn, "Pukhan Chiha Missile Kiji Chunggukkukkyŏng Pugŭn'e Kŏnsŏl," Chosun Ilbo, 7 July 1999, p. 1, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>; Yu Yong Wŏn, "Pukhan, Chunggukkukkyŏngbugŭn'e Chiha Missile Kiji Kŏnsŏl," Chosun Ilbo, 7 July 1999, <http://www.chosun.com/>; Kim Yŏng Bŏn, "Puk, Chunggukkyŏng'e Missile Kiji Kŏnsŏlchung," Munhwa Ilbo, 7 July 1999, p. 5, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>; "N. 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[10] Ch'ae Byŏng Gŏn, "Shihŏmbalsa Taepodong 1 Ho Missile/Puk, 2 Nyŏnnae Shilchŏnbaech'i'," Joongang Ilbo, 3 September 1998, p. 1, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>; Kim Dong Wŏn, "'Taepodong 1 Ho Missile Puk, 2 Chŏnnyŏn Shilchŏn Baech'i'/Chŏngbu Tanggukcha Chŏnmang," Segye Ilbo, 3 September 1998, p. 1, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>; Kim In Ch'ŏl, "'Taepodong 1 Ho Missile 2000 Nyŏnkke Shilchŏn Baech'i'/Chŏngbudangguk Chŏnmang," Taehan Maeil, 3 September 1998, p. 1, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>; "North Korea's Taepodong I Missile Priced at $6 Million," Korea Times, 29 October 1999, <http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/>; "North Korea's Taepodong I Missile Priced at Six Million Dollars: Seoul," Agence France Presse, 29 October 1999, in Lexis-Nexis, <http://web.lexis-nexis.com/>; Kim Ji-ho, "Reported N.K. Plan on Missile Export May Be Negotiation Ploy," Korea Herald, 30 October 1999, in Lexis-Nexis, <http://web.lexis-nexis.com/>; Chu Yong Sŏng, "Puk, Taepodong 1 Ho Taedang 600 Man Dallŏro Such'ulgyehoek," Chosun Ilbo, 29 October 1999, <http://www.chosun.com/>; Yonhap News Agency, 12 December 1999, in "DPRK Said To Plan To Export Daepo Dong Missile to Iran," FBIS Document ID FTS19991211000932; "North Korea Seeks Ballistic Missile Exports: Report," Agence France Presse, 12 December 1999, in Lexis-Nexis, <http://web.lexis-nexis.com/>; Yonhap News Agency, 12 December 1999, in "North Korea Reportedly Planning to Export Long-Range Missiles to Iran," BBC Summary of World Broadcasts, 13 December 1999, in Lexis-Nexis, <http://web.lexis-nexis.com/>; Cho Ho Yŏn, "Puk Taepodong Missile Iran Such'ul Kyehoik, 1Kidang 6 Paengmanbul'e," Kyunghyang Shinmun, 13 December 1999, p. 2, in KINDS, <http://www.kinds.or.kr/>; Chu Yong Sŏng, "Puk, Taepodong Missile Iran Such'ul Kyehoek," Chosun Ilbo, 12 December 1999, <http://www.chosun.com/>. [11] Lee Kyo Kwan, "[NK Report] Pukhan Missile Such'ul Ŏddŏhke Hana?" Chosun Ilbo, 5 March 2002, <http://www.chosun.com/>; Yi Kyo-kwan, "How Does North Korea Export Missiles?" Chosun Ilbo, 5 March 2002, in "DPRK Said to Export Body, Main Parts of Missiles Separately," FBIS Document ID KPP20020305000112.
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Updated May 2003 |
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