
Since the mid-1970s, the majority of Syria's
nuclear facilities have been constructed under the auspices of IAEA technical
cooperation projects, relying heavily on additional foreign assistance.
Syria's few facilities, the most notable being the Chinese-built
miniature neutron source reactor (MNSR), or SRR-1, and the Ion Beam cyclotron
facility, are research-related and located primarily at the Atomic Energy
Commission of Syria (AECS) headquarters in Damascus and the Der Al-Hadjar
Research Center, southeast of Damascus. Ironically, if the destroyed
facility near Al-Kibar was indeed a nuclear reactor, it would have been
Syria's most advanced nuclear facility. However, the IAEA
investigation regarding the site's intended purpose is ongoing, rendering
any definitive conclusions premature.
Relevant Individuals and Institutions
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, (and prior to 2000,
his father, President Hafez al-Assad), is the highest governing authority and is
therefore ultimately responsible for all key decisions regarding Syria's
nuclear program. Prime Minister Muhammad Naji al-Utri's office helps to
guide and regulate Syria's top nuclear agency, the Atomic Energy
Commission of Syria (AECS). [1] The AECS, currently led by Director General
Ibrahim Othman, is composed of Syria's top nuclear experts and manages
Syrian nuclear research. It is "responsible for the peaceful utilization
of atomic and nuclear technologies." [2] An administrative council manages
the AECS's departments, including those involved in nuclear energy,
safety, and regulation. The AECS also serves as the Syrian government's
representative for IAEA technical, regional, and interregional cooperative
projects. [3]
Two additional ministries play a significant role in
shaping Syria's nuclear policies and work extensively with the AECS.
The first is the Ministry of Electricity, which has consistently been
involved in IAEA-Syria technical cooperation projects, including the 1979
feasibility study for Syrian nuclear power options. [4] Ahmad Qusay Kayali is
the current minister of electricity. Additionally, the Ministry of Higher
Education is responsible for all Syrian universities, higher institutes and
professional and technical training institutions, including Damascus University.
[5] The current minister is Dr. Ghitath Barakat.
The most controversial entity often linked to Syria's nuclear program is the Syrian
Scientific Research Center (SSRC). The SSRC's stated goals are to conduct
research and development for the economic and social advancement of Syria. [6]
Outside analysts suspect it serves as a front for Syrian military research,
however, most likely including chemical weapons and missile research, and
possibly including biological and/or nuclear weapons research. [7] However,
there is insufficient evidence available in the open source literature to
confirm this speculation about the SSRC.
Funding for the Nuclear Program
Information on the total cost of Syria's nuclear
program is unavailable in the open source literature. However, Syria received
approximately $14.5 million in IAEA Technical Cooperation Assistance from
1997-2007. [8]
Past, Present and Planned Nuclear Facilities
In 1976, President Hafez al-Assad established the AECS, which undertook limited technical projects with the IAEA
in the 1970s, most notably including nuclear energy feasibility studies. [9]
Only in the early 1980's did the AECS's work begin to progress. In
1982, Syria constructed a nuclear analytical laboratory with the assistance of
the IAEA. This was soon followed by discussions with the IAEA regarding
Syria's ambition to construct six 600MWe power reactors by the 1990s, but
the project never progressed into reactor construction. [10]
During the mid-1980s, Syria began researching processes to recover uranium from
phosphate rock in the hopes of ensuring itself an indigenous uranium supply.
Syria possesses abundant sources of phosphate rock and conducts mining at
several locations, including Charkia and Knifes. [11] The IAEA also provided the
AECS with a uranium recovery micro-pilot plant at Homs, located northeast of
Damascus, which was completed in 1992 and remains operational today. According
to the IAEA, a "pilot plant, an industrial scale plant and then possibly
operations such as refining, conversion, enrichment and fuel fabrication,"
would potentially follow the micro-pilot plant, which was the logical first step
in Syria's civil nuclear program. [12] Syria also signed a contract with
the IAEA and an unnamed supplier in 1996 to improve its technical process for
recovering uranium from triple super phosphate and completed the project in late
2001 [13] However, Syria is not currently capable of conversion, enrichment or
fuel fabrication, and it would not be financially feasible for Damascus to
industrialize its limited uranium extraction efforts. [14] In 1991, under IAEA
technical project SYR/4/004, China began constructing the Der Al-Hadjar Nuclear
Research Center near Damascus, the centerpiece of which is the SRR-1 miniature
neutron source reactor (MNSR). [15] The SRR-1 is Syria's sole (declared)
research reactor, went critical in 1996, and is under IAEA safeguards. [16]
In 1997, the Belgian company, Ion Beam Applications, built
Syria's cyclotron facility. The facility is intended to produce
short-lived radiopharmaceuticals and to help modernize Syria's national
health care system. It is located at the AECS Dubaya Center in Damascus, also
home to Syria's Nuclear Medicine Center. [17]
The IAEA also approved a technical project in 1999 to assist Syria in establishing radioactive
waste management technology and infrastructure at Der Al-Hadjar. [18]
Syria's Department of Radiation and Nuclear Safety and the Radiation
Protection Division also contributed to this project, which concluded in 2007.
Syria's AECS has since taken the lead role in waste management and
"all relevant technological and control operations that are required in
the framework of Syria's nuclear programme." [19]
On 6 September 2007, Israel destroyed a facility near Dawr az Zwar. Commonly known as
the "Al-Kibar" facility, it is alleged by U.S. and Israeli
intelligence to have been a partially completed 25MWth gas-cooled
graphite-moderated nuclear reactor, which would have been capable of producing
enough plutonium for one or two weapons per year. [20] The IAEA visited the site
on 23 June 2008, but has not been permitted to return since. [21] As of its 5
June 2009 report, findings regarding the site's purpose remained
inconclusive. [22]
Despite the Al-Kibar controversy, the IAEA
has continued to engage Syria on technical cooperation, regional, and
interregional projects. [23] More than a dozen technical projects remain
ongoing, including a feasibility study and site selection for what would be
Syria's first nuclear power plant. [24] Approved in early 2009, the
project's stated objective is "to perform technical specification
and economic evaluation to obtain the most technically beneficial and
economically advantageous nuclear power plant." [25] However, even if
proven feasible, the project would be unlikely to move forward into construction for many years.
Sources:
[1] Magnus Normark et al., "Syria and WMD Incentives and Capabilities," FOI Swedish Defence Research Agency, June 2004, p. 56.
[2] For more information see, the Atomic Energy Commission of Syria's website, www.aec.org.sy/ index_a.php.
[3] See Ibrahim Othman's presentation at the IAEA Workshop on "Steps for Conducting Nuclear Power Plant Technology Assessments," in Vienna, Austria, 17-20 November 2008, www.iaea.org.
[4] Nuclear Programmes in the Middle East: In the Shadow of Iran, ed. Mark Fitzpatrick, (London, UK: International Institute for Strategic Studies, 2008), pp. 73-82.
[5] Magnus Normark et al., "Syria and WMD Incentives and Capabilities," FOI Swedish Defence Research Agency, June 2004, p. 51.
[6] Magnus Normark et al., "Syria and WMD Incentives and Capabilities," FOI Swedish Defence Research Agency, June 2004, p. 28.
[7] Ellen Laipson, "Syria: Can the Myth Be Maintained Without Nukes?", in Kurt M. Campbell, Robert J. Einhorn, and Mitchell B. Reiss, The Nuclear Tipping Point: Why States Reconsider Their Nuclear Choices, (Washington, DC: 2004), pp. 83-110; Dany Shoham, "Guile, Gas and Germs: Syria's Ultimate Weapons," The Middle East Quarterly, Vol. 9, No. 3, Summer 2002, www.meforum.org; U.S. Department of the Treasury, "Three Entities Targeted by Treasury for Supporting Syria's WMD Proliferation," 4 January 2007, www.treas.gov.
[8] "Nuclear Nonproliferation: Strengthened Oversight Needed to Address Proliferation and Management Challenges in IAEA's Technical Cooperation Program," United States Government Accountability Office, Report to the Subcommittee on Oversight of Government Management, 2 March 2009, www.gao.gov.
[9] Nuclear Programmes in the Middle East: In the Shadow of Iran, ed. Mark Fitzpatrick, (London, UK: International
Institute for Strategic Studies, 2008), pp. 73-82; and "SYR/0/003: Nuclear Energy Planning," IAEA Technical Cooperation Projects, 1979, www-tc.iaea.org/ tcweb/ default.asp.
[10] "SYR/1/002: Nuclear Analytical Laboratory," IAEA Technical Cooperation Projects, 1982, www-tc.iaea.org/ tcweb/ default.asp; Wyn Q. Bowen and Joanna Kidd, "The Nuclear Capabilities and Ambitions of Iran's Neighbors," in Henry Sokolski and Patrick Clawson, Getting Ready for a Nuclear Iran, (Carlisle, PA: 2005), pp. 51-88.
[11] "SYR/3/003: Uranium Recovery from Phosphoric Acid," IAEA Technical Cooperation Projects, 1986, www-tc.iaea.org/ tcweb/ default.asp.
[12] "SYR/3/003: Uranium Recovery from Phosphoric Acid," IAEA Technical Cooperation Projects, 1986, www-tc.iaea.org/ tcweb/ default.asp.
[13] "SYR/3/005: Purification of Phosphoric Acid," IAEA Technical Cooperation Projects, 1996, www-tc.iaea.org/ tcweb/ default.asp; Wyn Q. Bowen and Joanna Kidd, "The Nuclear Capabilities and Ambitions of Iran's Neighbors," in Henry Sokolski and Patrick Clawson, Getting Ready for a Nuclear Iran, (Carlisle, PA: 2005), pp. 51-88.
[14] "SYR/3/003: Uranium Recovery from Phosphoric Acid," IAEA Technical Cooperation Projects, 1986, www-tc.iaea.org/ tcweb/ default.asp; Wyn Q. Bowen and Joanna Kidd, "The Nuclear Capabilities and Ambitions of Iran's Neighbors," in Henry Sokolski and Patrick Clawson, Getting Ready for a Nuclear Iran, (Carlisle, PA: 2005), pp. 51-88.
[15] "SYR/4/004: Miniature Neutron Source Reactor," IAEA Technical Cooperation Projects, 1991, www-tc.iaea.org/ tcweb/ default.asp.
[16] International Atomic Energy Agency, "Syrian Arab Republic: Research Reactor Details-SRR-1," www.iaea.org; Nuclear Programmes in the Middle East: In the Shadow of Iran, ed. Mark Fitzpatrick, (London, UK: International Institute for Strategic Studies, 2008), pp. 73-82.
[17] "SYR/4/007: Cyclotron Facility for Medical Radioisotopes," IAEA Technical Cooperation Projects, 1997, www-tc.iaea.org/ tcweb/ default.asp; Magnus Normark et al., "Syria and WMD Incentives and Capabilities," FOI Swedish Defence Research Agency, June 2004, p. 55.
[18] "SYR/4/008: Radioactive Waste Management Facility," IAEA Technical Cooperation Projects, 1999, www-tc.iaea.org/ tcweb/ default.asp.
[19] "SYR/4/008: Radioactive Waste Management Facility," IAEA Technical Cooperation Projects, 1999, www-tc.iaea.org/ tcweb/ default.asp.
[20] David Albright and Paul Brannan, "ISIS Report: The Al Kibar Reactor: Extraordinary Camouflage, Troubling Implications," Institute for Science and International Security, 12 May 2008, www.isis-online.org; "North Korea and Syria: Oh what a tangled web they weave," The Economist, 1 May 2008.
[21] IAEA Board of Governors, "Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Syrian Arab Republic," 19 November 2008, www.iaea.org; It is important to note that subsequent to the airstrike Syria leveled and then built over the Al-Kibar site, greatly impeding inspectors' ability to determine the site's previously intended function.
[22] David Albright and Paul Brannan, "IAEA Report of Syria: Undeclared Uranium Particles Found in Hot Cell Facility in Damascus; Syria Not Answering IAEA's Questions," Institute for Science and International Security, 5 June 2009, www.isis-online.org; IAEA Board of Governors, "Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Syrian Arab Republic," 5 June 2009, www.iaea.org.
[23] For more information on active IAEA-Syria Technical Cooperation Projects, see IAEA Technical Cooperation Projects, "Query Project by Country: Syria," www-tc.iaea.org/ tcweb/ tcprogramme/ projectsbycountry/ query/ default.asp; Magnus Normark et al., "Syria and WMD Incentives and Capabilities," FOI Swedish Defence Research Agency, June 2004, p. 64.
[24] "SYR/020: Conducting a Technical and Economic Feasibility Study and Site Selection for a Nuclear Power Plant," IAEA Technical Cooperation Projects, 2009, www-tc.iaea.org/ tcweb/ default.asp.
[25] "SYR/020: Conducting a Technical and Economic Feasibility Study and Site Selection for a Nuclear Power Plant," IAEA Technical Cooperation Projects, 2009, www-tc.iaea.org/ tcweb/ default.asp.
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Updated July 2009 |
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