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A Primer on WMD

Curbing WMD Proliferation
Treaties
Diplomacy
Intelligence
Sanctions
Substitutes & Incentives
Export Controls
Cooperative Threat Reduction
Deterrence
Military Measures

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Sanctions

 
 
Produced by the Monterey Institute's Center for Nonproliferation Studies

Updated December 2006

In trying to prevent the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD), sanctions can be a middle ground between diplomacy and military force. Sanctions can be imposed by a single country or a multinational group; they often involve trade and financial restrictions. One study lists the four objectives of sanctions as (1) action, to show that something is being done in response to unacceptable proliferation behavior; (2) deterrence, to discourage the country, organization or individual being sanctioned and others from repeating such behavior; (3) constraint, to impose economic of technological barriers to a continuation of the proliferation; and (4) coercion, to encourage better behavior in the future. While sanctions can be an effective nonproliferation tool, they can also impede diplomatic cooperation and cause political, humanitarian, and financial harm to both the sanctioning and sanctioned country. For example, the United States, as required by its federal laws, imposed sanctions on India and Pakistan in 1998 after those countries conducted nuclear weapons tests. The U.S. sanctions banned loans, military assistance, investment, and technology transfers. The U.S. government soon lifted these restrictions as they interfered with the United States growing commercial trade with India and its strategic partnership with Pakistan. 

If WMD activity in a state violates an international treaty, any state party to the treaty in question can try to have the treaty enforced. For example, if a state that is a party to the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) appears to be secretly producing chemical weapons (CW), another state party can demand a challenge inspection. This inspection would be conducted by a multinational team under the auspices of the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW). The inspection might reveal that the state was indeed violating the treaty. If the violator did not stop, it would cease to enjoy the benefits of the CWC, such as access to trade in certain treaty-controlled chemicals. In addition, CWC member-states could agree to refer the issue to the UN Security Council, whose mission is to ensure international security. The UN Security Council could vote to punish the treaty violator by halting trade or ending economic assistance programs. Measures that impose penalties on countries pursuing activities that other states oppose are known as economic and military sanctions. According to some analysts and a U.S. government report, the UN economic sanctions and weapons inspections imposed on Iraq beginning in August 1990 successfully prevented that country from rebuilding its WMD programs. However, U.S. and UN sanctions on North Korea did not dissuade that country from testing ballistic missiles in July or detonating a nuclear device in October 2006.

Cost of Sanctions. States imposing sanctions on others may also suffer unintended consequences. For example, if the United States cuts off trade with a country to punish it for developing WMD or for helping others to do so, the sanctions can also hurt the United States. The profits of many companies, for example, come from selling products that are manufactured cheaply in China. If the United States were to cut off trade with China to punish it for selling missiles to Iran, U.S. businesses would also suffer. Moreover, economic sanctions aimed at restricting a government's unacceptable WMD proliferation, may hurt the sanctioned country's civilian population. According to some analysts, while UN sanctions successfully restrained Iraq from rebuilding its WMD programs, they also imposed needless and widespread suffering on Iraqi civilians. The restrictions on the export of dual-use goods to Iraq prevented Iraqi citizens from receiving necessary medical and water treatment equipment, and as a result child mortality rates increased dramatically. 

Also, many times sanctions do not work because the target country continues its WMD activities despite the sanctions. Another problem is that other countries may not follow the United States in imposing sanctions. This creates an opportunity for companies of other countries to take advantage of the sanctions imposed by the United States and to make profits that might otherwise have gone to U.S. firms. For these reasons, imposing sanctions requires careful review of many issues.

 

Further Reading:

Arms Control Today, David Cortright and George Lopez, "Bombs, Carrots, and Sticks: The Use of Incentives and Sanctions" 
CGP-SSRC, Scott Snyder, "Economic Instruments to Achieve Security Objectives"
RAND, Richard Speier, Brian Chow, S. Rae Starr, Nonproliferation Sanctions
CRS, Dianne Rennack, "Nuclear, Biological, Chemical, and Missile Proliferation Sanctions: Selected Current Law"
Arms Control Today, George Perkovich and Silvia Manzanero, "Plan B: Using Sanctions to End Iran's Nuclear Program" 
The Nonproliferation Review, Daniel Morrow and Michael Carriere, "The Economic Impacts of the 1998 Sanctions on India and Pakistan"
The Nonproliferation Review, Randy Rydell, "Giving Nonproliferation Norms Teeth: Sanctions and the NPPA"
Special Advisor to the DCI, Comprehensive Report on Iraq's WMD (Sept. 2004)
Harper's, Joy Gordon, "Cool War: Economic Sanctions as a Weapon of Mass Destruction"
CRS. Dianne Rennack, "North Korea: Economic Sanctions"


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CNSThis material is produced independently for NTI by the Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute of International Studies and does not necessarily reflect the opinions of and has not been independently verified by NTI or its directors, officers, employees, agents. Copyright © 2008 by MIIS.