A Primer on WMD

Curbing WMD Proliferation
Treaties
Diplomacy
Intelligence
Sanctions
Substitutes & Incentives
Export Controls
Cooperative Threat Reduction
Deterrence
Military Measures
 

North Korea History

 
 
Produced by the Monterey Institute's Center for Nonproliferation Studies

Updated October 2006

Many of the tools described in "Curbing WMD Proliferation" were used in U.S. efforts to halt North Korea's nuclear weapons program. In the mid-1980s, the United States learned that North Korea was building facilities to produce materials for nuclear weapons. However, following diplomatic pressure from the Soviet Union, North Korea became a party to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) in 1985. The treaty prohibits development of nuclear weapons. It also required North Korea to place all of its nuclear activities under International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards, including inspections. North Korea did not sign the IAEA safeguards agreement, however, until 1992. This enabled the United States to demand that North Korea accept inspections of its nuclear facilities.

In 1992, IAEA inspections revealed that North Korea had almost certainly produced plutonium secretly. The inspection findings did not match North Korea's declaration of nuclear materials. The United States encouraged the IAEA to learn more about North Korea's nuclear program through additional inspections. North Korea, however, refused to allow further inspections.

The United States brought the matter to the UN Security Council. There the IAEA reported North Korea's actions and the United States persuaded members of the Council that North Korea was violating the NPT and that the United Nations should consider having all countries cut off trade with North Korea. This approach is known as threatening to impose economic sanctions.

North Korea responded by stating that it would consider UN imposition of economic sanctions to be an act of war. This seemed to mean that it would attack South Korea, which has a military alliance with the United States. The U.S. responded by sending additional military forces into the area to support South Korea.

In June 1994, former President Jimmy Carter visited North Korea, as a special representative of President Clinton. He proposed a diplomatic solution. If North Korea agreed to freeze the dangerous parts of its nuclear program, the United States, Japan, and South Korea would give North Korea two nuclear power plants that were less likely to be used for weapons proliferation. This agreement would help its desperately poor economy, which has been suffering from a severe energy shortage. This was an incentive for North Korea to halt its WMD activity. North Korea agreed to this deal, and a few months later, North Korea and the United States signed a joint understanding closing the bargain. The understanding is known as the "October 1994 Agreed Framework between the United States of America and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea." Today, the North Korean nuclear weapons program appears to be frozen and work continues on building the two new nuclear power plants.

In October 2002, however, North Korea verified a U.S. accusation that it had been secretly pursuing a uranium enrichment program, rather than the plutonium-based nuclear weapons program addressed in the Agreed Framework.  This covert program breached the spirit, and possibly the specific terms of its obligations under the 1994 agreement, and may also have violated the country's obligations under the NPT.  However, North Korea argued that violations of the Agreed Framework had occurred first on the U.S. side, and that the escalation of threats by the United States to North Korea's national security entitled North Korea to seek possession of nuclear weapons.

The situation deteriorated further in December 2002 when North Korea announced it would reactivate its Yongbyon facility, a site capable of supporting a plutonium-based nuclear program. Days later, Pyongyang insisted that the IAEA remove all monitoring equipment and seals from all nuclear facilities in North Korea. Subsequently, the DPRK disrupted most of the IAEA safeguards equipment at the Yongbyon facilities, expelled IAEA inspectors from the country, and announced its withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). In the wake of this decision, the United States and the leaders of four other nations, South Korea, China, Japan and Russia, persuaded North Korea to sit at the negotiating table in late August 2003; this ongoing series of negotiations is known as the Six-Party Talks. In February 2005, the DPRK Foreign Ministry declared that North Korea possessed nuclear weapons and  the country would increase its nuclear arsenal to counter the hostile U.S. policy toward it. Nonetheless, the Six-Party Talks resumed after a year's recess in late July 2005.

On September 15, 2005, the six parties reached a tentative agreement, according to which the DPRK commits to abandoning all its nuclear weapons and existing nuclear programs, and to returning to the NPT and allowing IAEA inspections. The DPRK also states that it has a right to peaceful uses of nuclear energy. In return, the United States agrees not to attack the DPRK, and all parties agree to undertake economic and energy cooperation. In the September statement, the parties agree to hold another round of talks in November to work out the details and timetable for implementing the agreement.

This case illustrates how the United States and other countries combined many tools to try to reduce the threat of WMD. The tools included intelligence, enforcement of the NPT, IAEA inspections, the threat of UN economic sanctions, military pressure, and the offer of a reward, or incentive, to slow the spread of nuclear weapons. However, none of these tools has been decisive and multi-party talks continue to try to completely halt the DPRK's nuclear weapons program.

Map of North Korea
North Korea Country Profile

Further Reading:
Arms Control Association, North Korea: Documents, News & Analysis
CNS, North Korea Special Collection

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Robert Norris and Hans Kristensen, "North Korea's Nuclear Program, 2005"

The Nonproliferation Review, James Clay Moltz and C. Kenneth Quinoes, "Getting Serious about a Multilateral Approach to North Korea"


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This material is produced independently for NTI by the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute of International Studies and does not necessarily reflect the opinions of and has not been independently verified by NTI or its directors, officers, employees, agents. Copyright © 2004 by MIIS.

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