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Iran vs. Iraq
Proponents Say: Pursue Engagement with Iran, Pressure on Iraq.
Opponents Say: Negotiations are Unlikely to Produce Results.
- Iran's supreme leader and his radical followers, not the country's more
moderate president, control Iranian foreign and military policies. They are
strongly committed to the terrorist groups challenging Israel and to Iran's
WMD and missile programs. There is no difference between the commitment of
Iran's supreme leader and the country's more moderate president to WMD and
missile programs. Both parties want to sustain Iran's status as a leading
regional power. At best, negotiations will improve the atmosphere between
Iran and the United States, but they will not likely lead to agreements restricting
Iran's WMD and missile programs.
- Iran will not be satisfied with diplomatic concessions from the United States.
It will demand that Israel accept every restriction on WMD that Iran has accepted,
including adherence to the NPT and the CWC. Israel is not prepared to take
these steps in the absence of a comprehensive peace in the Middle East. This
stalemate makes U.S.-Iran talks on WMD a dead-end that will not produce results.
- Even if the United States and Iran agree on additional restrictions on WMD
and missiles, the United States could never be confident that Iran was living
up to those agreements. The country is so large that cheating would be easy.
Even in Iraq, where UN inspectors had total access, that country was able
to hide important parts of its WMD activities, especially its biological weapons
(BW) program. In Iran, inspections under the NPT and the CWC would be much
more limited, and there are no inspections under the BWC. Iran would have
little trouble hiding significant WMD activities.
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Further Reading:
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The Atlantic Council, Kenneth Katzman, "U.S.
- Iranian Relations: An Analytic Compendium of U.S. Policies, Laws and Regulations" |
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CRS, Kenneth Katzman, "Iran:
U.S. Policy and Options" |
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The Nixon Center, Geoffrey Kemp, ed., "Iran's
Nuclear Weapons Options: Issues and Analysis" |
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The Nixon Center, Morton H. Halperin and Geoffrey Kemp, "A
Report on U.S. Policy Options Towards Iraq" |
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The Wisconsin Project, Iraq
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