A Primer on WMD
Limiting Use of WMD
 

Russia and China

 
 
Produced by the Monterey Institute's Center for Nonproliferation Studies

The development of defenses against longer-range missiles is highly controversial. The main reason is that if the Unites States develops defenses of this kind, it could upset the nuclear balance between the United States and Russia and between the United States and China. Today, each of these countries knows that it could survive a U.S. nuclear first strike and still be able to retaliate against the United States with its own nuclear-armed missiles, and that the United States could do the same. The existence of this "second-strike capability" provides security to all three countries. It allows each to feel confident that it will not be attacked because it has the ability to retaliate and cause unacceptable damage to the attacker. If one country had missile defenses, however, it might be able to strike first and then block a retaliatory strike. This capability, even if it was never used, could allow the possessor to intimidate other major nuclear countries. Russia may also be concerned that a U.S. BMD system may prompt China to expand its own strategic nuclear force, making China more of a threat to Russia.

   

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This material is produced independently for NTI by the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute of International Studies and does not necessarily reflect the opinions of and has not been independently verified by NTI or its directors, officers, employees, agents. Copyright © 2004 by MIIS.

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