Report: Al-Qaida May Gain Control of Some WMD-Armed States

Analysts are eyeing a potential worst-case scenario in which al-Qaida by 2018 gains "effective control" over one or more nations that hold unconventional arms, if political stability slides in regions where the terrorist network already exhibits strength, according to a May study commissioned by Canadian intelligence.

"Armed with chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear (CBRN) deterrents to [counterterrorism] activities, [al-Qaida] poses an entirely new threat to global security" if the scenario comes to pass, says the study of public data, reported by the National Post on Tuesday.

The Canadian Security Intelligence Service, which facilitated the project, said a group of "prominent specialists" had assessed that the "likeliest" possibility was that the terror group would gradually gain in power over time, as its ideology attracts more followers and popular trust in governments declines.

June 13, 2013
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Analysts are eyeing a potential worst-case scenario in which al-Qaida by 2018 gains "effective control" over one or more nations that hold unconventional arms, if political stability slides in regions where the terrorist network already exhibits strength, according to a May study commissioned by Canadian intelligence.