few terrorist groups, like Al Qaeda, have demonstrated the desire and the ability to cause mass death and destruction.
Terrorists are influenced by their organization’s goals, which could
involve achieving independence for a region such as Chechnya from a
larger state such as Russia, spurring an apocalypse to cleanse the world
of evil, or creating an Islamic caliphate, which would establish Islamic
law throughout Muslim-majority countries. To achieve these goals,
terrorists can use a variety of means, including improvised explosive
devices, suicide bombers, airplane hijackings, or, in rare cases,
unconventional weapons such as chemical, biological, radiological, or
nuclear weapons. Most terrorist groups do not seek to cause mass death
to accomplish their goals. Instead, weapons, such as RDDs, that would cause disruption, confusion, and mass panic
could help gain notoriety for the terrorists and their objectives. A radiological terrorist attack would cause far less human and physical damage than a nuclear weapon. At the same time, it would highlight the terrorists' ability to obtain and use radioactive materials in a malicious way.
Radiological terrorism is a more attractive option than nuclear terrorism
because of the relative ease with which a radiological weapon can be made and
used. Nuclear terrorism requires obtaining or constructing a nuclear weapon that
produces a nuclear explosion. Either of these options requires great technical
expertise and access to high-security facilities. Making weapons out of chemical
and biological materials also requires a fair amount of technical and scientific
expertise although attacking relatively easily accessible tanks of hazardous
chemicals used throughout the chemical industry could result in harmful effects.
Radiological terrorism, on the other hand, involves using a radioactive source
by itself, packaging radioactive material with a conventional bomb and exploding
it in a public area, or attacking an already existing nuclear facility. Thus,
although conducting an act of radiological terrorism is not easy, this option
generally requires less expertise than most other forms of unconventional
terrorism. Nonetheless, radiological attacks that would result in significant
harm to health and damage to property would typically require advanced knowledge
and skills.
Of the two types of radiological terrorism, use of a radiological device can be considered easier than attacking a nuclear facility. Successfully causing a large release of radiation through a terrorist attack on a nuclear power plant requires knowledge of the plant's physical design and layout, security measures, and weaknesses. It also demands
either accurately attacking and damaging the core of the nuclear reactor or
causing a sustained loss of coolant to the core, which is usually heavily shielded and protected by automatic shutdown functions
and emergency cooling systems. This section will thus focus on the more likely terrorist option of use of a radiological weapon.
Radioactive materials are used everyday in many places throughout the United
States and the world. Potential terrorists, therefore, may find it easier to
gain access to these materials than those needed for chemical, biological, or
nuclear terrorism. Exceptions include tanks of chlorine gas or other hazardous
chemicals in the chemical industry and castor beans that can be relatively
easily made into the biological toxin ricin. Radioactive sources are supposed to
be regulated and well secured, but security measures may be different for each
source and in each country where radioactive materials are stored. In addition,
there are thousands of "orphan sources" located throughout the world. Orphan
sources are radioactive sources that were lost, abandoned, stolen, or otherwise
fell outside of regulatory control. These sources are outside of government
control, and if found by or passed into the hands of terrorists, could be used
for radiological terrorism.
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A radiography source once used for
industrial applications |
The portability of certain types of radioactive sources also enhances the attractiveness of radiological terrorism. Radioactive sources differ greatly in size and level of radiation. Some sources may be relatively big and bulky because of the layers of shielding surrounding the radioactive material. The difficulty in moving these around may make these sources less attractive to terrorists. Other sources, however, are small enough to fit into your pants pocket or in the palm of your hand. For example, the tubes of cesium that were declared missing from a North Carolina hospital in 1998 were only three-quarters of an inch long by one-eighth of an inch wide.
What type of terrorist groups might be drawn to radiological terrorism? Given the relative ease with which a radiological weapon can be made and used, terrorist groups that lack a high level of technical and scientific expertise might find this type of radiological terrorism to be an attractive option. These lower-level capabilities also make it less likely that the groups will be monitored by intelligence and law enforcement agencies, thus increasing the risk posed by these groups. A radiological attack would likely result in mass panic, perhaps some human deaths and injuries, extensive physical and economic damage, and a great deal of attention for the terrorists themselves. Theoretically, this outcome might be considered ideal for groups that seek publicity for their name and their cause, without causing widespread devastation.
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Al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden |
In reality, there have been a limited number of parties with a
demonstrated interest in radiological terrorism. Chechen rebels have shown on
multiple occasions the ability and the willingness to use the threat of both
types of radiological terrorism. Saddam Hussein had enough interest in the
potential of radiological weapons that he tested one in 1987, but this program
was abandoned soon thereafter. Evidence uncovered in Afghanistan in January 2003
has led British authorities to believe that Al Qaeda already possesses a dirty
bomb, although the weapon has not yet been used. There have also been
suggestions of Al Qaeda's interest in attacking nuclear facilities in the United States and other countries. The terrorist group Aum Shinrikyo,
which in 2000 renamed itself Aleph, reportedly acquired information on nuclear facilities in Russia, Ukraine, Japan, and other countries, and some radical environmental groups have threatened and have attempted attacks on nuclear power plants to demonstrate their anti-nuclear beliefs.