Jump to search Jump to main navigation Jump to main content Jump to footer navigation

Global Security Newswire

Daily News on Nuclear, Biological & Chemical Weapons, Terrorism and Related Issues

Produced by
NationalJournal logo

Iranian ICBM Unlikely Before 2016: CRS Analysis

Iran appears unlikely to develop an ICBM capacity within the next three years, according to a U.S. Congressional Research Service analysis issued on Thursday.

"It is increasingly uncertain whether Iran will be able to achieve an ICBM capability by 2015," Reuters quoted the document as saying. Meeting the milestone would probably require greater assistance from partners such as China and Russia, it adds.

The finding seemingly minimizes past U.S. intelligence assertions that an Iranian ICBM trial flight could take place by 2015 if Tehran received "sufficient foreign assistance," according to Reuters.

The report sees no Iranian launch experimentation effort of the type normally thought to be a prerequisite to ICBM assembly. stated CRS antimissile specialist Steven Hildreth, who sought input from seven outside analysts in preparing the assessment.

The document adds that Iran's satellite activities appear to be substantial and not just cover for ICBM research.

A spokesman for the National Intelligence Director's Office said the Defense Department's 2015 assessment had been "heavily caveated."

Note to our Readers

GSN ceased publication on July 31, 2014. Its articles and daily issues will remain archived and available on NTI’s website.

NTI Analysis

  • 3D Missile Model Collection

    April 22, 2015

    The James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies has created a series of 3D models of ballistic and cruise missiles for the Nuclear Threat Initiative.

  • North Korean Ballistic Missile Models

    April 8, 2015

    This page contains interactive 3D missile models for North Korea. Users can drag the model by pressing and holding their mouse’s scroll wheel. They can zoom in and out on the model by rolling their scroll wheel up and down, and can orbit the model by clicking and dragging their left mouse button.

Country Profile

Flag of Iran


This article provides an overview of Iran's historical and current policies relating to nuclear, chemical, biological and missile proliferation.

Learn More →