Analysis

U.S. Nuclear Policies for a Safer World
NTI Co-Chairs Ernest J. Moniz and Sam Nunn call on the United States to resume a position of global leadership to reduce the risks posed by nuclear weapons.

Connecting the Pillars of the NPT: Multilateral Disarmament Verification and Non-Proliferation
To support full implementation of the NPT, it is crucial to find a way for non-nuclear weapon states to fulfill their obligation to contribute to disarmament without accessing nuclear weapons or knowledge of their designs, specific materials, or applied technologies.

Signals in the Noise: Preventing Nuclear Proliferation with Machine Learning & Publicly Available Information
With the Center for Advanced Defense Studies, NTI demonstrates the viability of using publicly available information and machine learning to detect nuclear proliferation.

U.S. Nuclear Modernization: Security & Policy Implications of Integrating Digital Technology
NTI explores the risks and benefits related to the digitization and automation plans for modernization of U.S. nuclear weapons systems and addresses implications for the national security community to consider as the process moves forward.

China’s Growing Missile Arsenal and the Risk of a “Taiwan Missile Crisis“
China's growing missile arsenal and ambiguity about its conventional vs. nuclear-armed missiles could trigger a Taiwan Missile Crisis w/ the US. (CNS)

The Future of IAEA Safeguards: Rebuilding the Vienna Spirit through Russian-U.S. Expert Dialogue
The report includes four short papers written by U.S. and Russian experts with recommendations for the safeguards community, diplomats, and the public to bolster cooperation in this space.

Preventing Global Catastrophic Biological Risks
NTI | bio convened senior leaders from around the world for a scenario-based tabletop exercise designed to identify gaps in global capabilities to prevent and respond to high-consequence biological events.
The Global Missile Defense Race: Strong Test Records and Poor Operational Performance
At least 26 countries possess, or are pursuing, missile defense systems despite their questionable combat efficacy. (CNS)
